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South Africa vs Kenya - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations
South Africa Logo

South Africa

Mi., 11. Nov. 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Kenya Logo

Kenya

Unser Tipp
Zusammenfassung Siegchance Tore Form H2H Taktik Spieler Indizes Vorhersagen Spielverlauf Genauigkeit Vergleich

Spielzusammenfassung

A one-off knockout match in the Africa Cup of Nations. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: South Africa at 1.4 goals for, 0.86 against; Kenya at 1.06 for, 1.39 against. Head-to-head, South Africa have won 2 to Kenya's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on 16. Okt. 2012, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 0.63 vs 1.13, favoring South Africa. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter

Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form

60%
South Africa
22%
Unentschieden
18%
Kenya
Unentschieden-Quote: 22% Favorit: South Africa

Modell-Vertrauen

Gesamter Indikatorwert

82% / Sehr Hoch Vertrauen
  • South Africa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • South Africa are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • South Africa have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor South Africa, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 78%).

Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner

Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie

Über 0.5 Tore 92%
Über 1.5 Tore 82%
Über 2.5 Tore 78%
Über 3.5 Tore 6.5%
Über 4.5 Tore 3%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 67.8%
South Africa Ohne Gegentor 20%
Kenya Ohne Gegentor 20%

Formanalyse der Teams

Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel

Metrik South Africa Kenya
Spiele 43 33
Siege 19 9
Unentschieden 14 10
Niederlagen 10 14
Erzielte Tore 1.4 1.06
Gegentore 0.86 1.39
Erwartete Tore (xG) 0.63 1.13
Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten

16. Okt. 2012 Friendly International
Kenya vs South Africa
1:2
9. Feb. 2011 Friendly International
South Africa vs Kenya
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum-Index

Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)

South Africa 58 / 100
Kenya 20 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).

Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke

ANGRIFF ABWEHR BALLBESITZ DISZIPLIN
South Africa Kenya

Vorhersage-Engine

Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte

Haupttipp South Africa Win (1)
Nebentipp Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS-Prognose Yes (GG)
Über/Unter Tipp Over 2.5

Smart Insights

Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster

South Africa scored in 67% of their last 43 games.

Defensive concern: Kenya conceded in 70% of 33 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: South Africa remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Tor-Trends

South Africa VS Kenya
0.63 Erzielte Tore 1.25
1 Kassierte Tore 0.63
63% Über 1.5 63%
13% Über 2.5 38%
0% Über 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

South Africa

(Home)
04 Oct
Egypt
0 : 1
South Africa
30 Sept
Eritrea
0 : 5
South Africa
26 Sept
South Africa
2 : 1
Guinea
28 Jun
South Africa
0 : 1
Canada
25 Jun
South Africa
1 : 0
South Korea
Page 1 of 9

Kenya

(Away)
05 Oct
Rwanda
0 : 0
Kenya
01 Oct
Guinea
1 : 0
Kenya
26 Sept
Kenya
1 : 1
Eritrea
07 Jun
Kenya
4 : 0
Lesotho
04 Jun
Lesotho
1 : 1
Kenya
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
2 Gabon 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
3 Niger 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
4 Lesotho 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Egypt 2 1 1 0 5:0 4
2 Angola 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
3 Malawi 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
4 South Sudan 2 0 0 2 1:7 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ivory Coast 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
2 Gambia 2 2 0 0 6:3 6
3 Somalia 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
4 Ghana 2 0 0 2 2:6 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Africa 2 2 0 0 7:1 6
2 Guinea 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
3 Eritrea 2 0 1 1 1:6 1
4 Kenya 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 D.R. Congo 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
2 Zimbabwe 2 1 0 1 4:4 3
3 Equatorial Guinea 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
4 Sierra Leone 2 0 0 2 2:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benin 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
2 Burkina Faso 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
3 Mauritania 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
4 Central Africa 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cameroon 2 1 1 0 4:2 4
2 Comoros 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
3 Namibia 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
4 Congo 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uganda 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
2 Botswana 2 0 2 0 4:4 2
3 Tunisia 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
4 Libya 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Algeria 2 1 1 0 5:3 4
2 Zambia 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
3 Togo 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
4 Burundi 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Senegal 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
2 Mozambique 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
3 Sudan 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
4 Ethiopia 2 0 0 2 0:2 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rwanda 2 2 0 0 5:2 6
2 Mali 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
3 Cape Verde 2 0 0 2 2:5 0
4 Liberia 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guinea Bissau 2 2 0 0 5:0 6
2 Nigeria 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
3 Tanzania 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
4 Madagascar 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)