Sport Tipps
South Melbourne vs Bentleigh Greens
Australia
NPL Victoria The Home of the Matildas 
Spielzusammenfassung
This NPL Victoria encounter between South Melbourne and Bentleigh Greens promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. South Melbourne averages 2.1 goals scored and 1.6 conceded in recent matches. Bentleigh Greens shows a form average of 1.1 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 5 wins for South Melbourne, 0 wins for Bentleigh Greens, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 19.06.26 ended in a 1:5 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 2.69 for South Melbourne and 1.38 for Bentleigh Greens, suggesting the primary value lies in the South Melbourne double chance or over markets.
Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter
Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form
Modell-Vertrauen
Gesamter Indikatorwert
- South Melbourne hat zuletzt mehr Punkte geholt als Bentleigh Greens.
- Das Modell prognostiziert eine höhere Torgefahr für die Gastgeber (2.69 vs. 1.38 xG).
- Frühere Begegnungen zeigen einen klaren Vorteil für das Heimteam.
- Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 62%).
Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner
Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie
Formanalyse der Teams
Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel
| Metrik | South Melbourne | Bentleigh Greens |
|---|---|---|
| Spiele | 29 | 29 |
| Siege | 15 | 11 |
| Unentschieden | 2 | 6 |
| Niederlagen | 12 | 12 |
| Erzielte Tore | 2.07 | 1.07 |
| Gegentore | 1.59 | 1.69 |
| Erwartete Tore (xG) | 2.00 | 0.50 |
| Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) | 2.25 | 3.38 |
H2H
Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten
Taktisches Profil
Feldpositionen & Kontrollstile
South Melbourne
Bentleigh Greens
Schlüsselspieler-Analyse
Top-Akteure und erwartete Torbeteiligungen
South Melbourne Vergleich
Bentleigh Greens Vergleich
Kader-Verfügbarkeit
Sokapicks Momentum-Index
Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)
Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke
Vorhersage-Engine
Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte
Value Bet Finder (+EV)
Spiele mit mathematischem Vorteil gegenüber Buchmachern
Erwarteter Spielverlauf
Dominanzkurven in 15-Minuten-Abschnitten
Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.
The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.
The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.
Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.
As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.
A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.
Offensiv-Heatmaps & Schüsse
Dynamische Heat-Overlays aus Zonen-Statistiken
Smart Insights
Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster
South Melbourne have found the net in 79% of their last 29 matches.
Bentleigh Greens have conceded at least one goal in 66% of their last 29 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 3.00 goals per match.
South Melbourne remained undefeated in 3 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Bentleigh Greens suffered defeat in 5 of their last 5 overall games.
Risikoanalyse
Bewertung von Störfaktoren
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Teamvergleich
Direkter Statistikvergleich
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oakleigh Cannons | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 41:18 | 41 |
| 2 | Hume City | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 39:22 | 40 |
| 3 | Avondale FC | 19 | 11 | 1 | 7 | 53:25 | 34 |
| 4 | Heidelberg Utd | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 31:24 | 31 |
| 5 | Melbourne City U21 | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 35:20 | 29 |
| 6 | Preston Lions | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 28:15 | 29 |
| 7 | South Melbourne | 19 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 29:32 | 28 |
| 8 | George Cross | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 25:26 | 26 |
| 9 | Dandenong City SC | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:25 | 22 |
| 10 | St Albans | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 21:34 | 22 |
| 11 | Altona Magic | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 21:35 | 19 |
| 12 | Bentleigh Greens | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 17:42 | 16 |
| 13 | Dandenong Thunder | 19 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 20:42 | 12 |
| 14 | Green Gully | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 13:39 | 10 |