Sport Tipps
Spennymoor vs Merthyr Town - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
National League North 
Spielereignisse
45'
45'
Spiers W.
60'
60'
Simpson K.
88'
88'
Taylor G.
Spielzusammenfassung
Spennymoor in this National League North matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Spennymoor.
Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter
Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form
90%
6%
4%
Unentschieden-Quote: 6% Favorit: Spennymoor
Modell-Vertrauen
Gesamter Indikatorwert
95%
/ Sehr Hoch Vertrauen
- Form's been kind to Spennymoor lately — more wins on the board than Merthyr Town.
- 90% — that's where the model lands on Spennymoor taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 78%).
- Spennymoor have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner
Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie
Über 0.5 Tore 98%
Über 1.5 Tore 87.5%
Über 2.5 Tore 78%
Über 3.5 Tore 70%
Über 4.5 Tore 32%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 80.6%
Spennymoor Ohne Gegentor 16%
Merthyr Town Ohne Gegentor 11%
Formanalyse der Teams
Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel
| Metrik | Spennymoor | Merthyr Town |
|---|---|---|
| Spiele | 29 | 29 |
| Siege | 10 | 8 |
| Unentschieden | 8 | 7 |
| Niederlagen | 11 | 14 |
| Erzielte Tore | 1.45 | 1.45 |
| Gegentore | 1.45 | 1.62 |
| Erwartete Tore (xG) | 1.25 | 1.44 |
| Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten
15. Aug. 2026 National League North
Spennymoor vs Merthyr Town
2:1
14. März 2026 National League North
Merthyr Town vs Spennymoor
2:3
18. Okt. 2025 National League North
Spennymoor vs Merthyr Town
6:4
Schlüsselspieler-Analyse
Top-Akteure und erwartete Torbeteiligungen
Spennymoor Vergleich
Top-Torschütze Taylor G.
2 Tore Durchschnitt xG / Spiel 0.96
Durchschnitt xA / Spiel 0.63
Merthyr Town Vergleich
Top-Torschütze Simpson K.
1 Tore Durchschnitt xG / Spiel 1.31
Durchschnitt xA / Spiel 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum-Index
Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)
Spennymoor 84 / 100
Merthyr Town 10 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).
Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke
Spennymoor Merthyr Town
Vorhersage-Engine
Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte
Haupttipp Spennymoor Win (1)
Nebentipp Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:3
BTTS-Prognose Yes (GG)
Über/Unter Tipp Over 2.5
Smart Insights
Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster
Spennymoor found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).
Defensive concern: Merthyr Town conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.
Spennymoor has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Tor-Trends
Spennymoor VS Merthyr Town
1.5 Erzielte Tore 0.88
2 Kassierte Tore 1
100% Über 1.5 75%
75% Über 2.5 25%
63% Über 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Spennymoor
(Home) 03 Oct
Spennymoor
4 : 1 Chester
26 Sept
Southport
2 : 2 Spennymoor
19 Sept
AFC Emley
0 : 4 Spennymoor
12 Sept
Spennymoor
1 : 1 Macclesfield
08 Sept
Spennymoor
1 : 3 Spalding United
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Spennymoor
4 : 1 Chester
12 Sept
Spennymoor
1 : 1 Macclesfield
08 Sept
Spennymoor
1 : 3 Spalding United
31 Aug
Spennymoor
1 : 1 Hednesford
22 Aug
Spennymoor
1 : 4 Oxford City
Page 1 of 4
Merthyr Town
(Away) 26 Sept
Merthyr Town
1 : 2 Marine
22 Sept
Truro
2 : 0 Merthyr Town
19 Sept
Merthyr Town
1 : 1 Truro
12 Sept
Scarborough Athletic
0 : 0 Merthyr Town
08 Sept
Chester
0 : 1 Merthyr Town
Page 1 of 6
22 Sept
Truro
2 : 0 Merthyr Town
12 Sept
Scarborough Athletic
0 : 0 Merthyr Town
08 Sept
Chester
0 : 1 Merthyr Town
31 Aug
Buxton
2 : 1 Merthyr Town
22 Aug
South Shields
1 : 1 Merthyr Town
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hereford | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 22:5 | 23 |
| 2 | Macclesfield | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 13:6 | 21 |
| 3 | Oxford City | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18:7 | 20 |
| 4 | South Shields | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15:13 | 20 |
| 5 | Hebburn Town | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16:16 | 18 |
| 6 | Spalding United | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14:8 | 17 |
| 7 | Chester | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13:9 | 17 |
| 8 | King’s Lynn | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20:15 | 16 |
| 9 | Buxton | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 18:18 | 16 |
| 10 | Bedford | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:14 | 16 |
| 11 | Morecambe | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14:9 | 14 |
| 12 | Chorley | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16:17 | 14 |
| 13 | Merthyr Town | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12:11 | 13 |
| 14 | Scarborough Athletic | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:12 | 12 |
| 15 | Hednesford | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 17:17 | 12 |
| 16 | Marine | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 12:12 | 12 |
| 17 | Harborough | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:12 | 12 |
| 18 | Worksop | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 10:16 | 12 |
| 19 | Brackley | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11:19 | 12 |
| 20 | Southport | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13:20 | 9 |
| 21 | Telford | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8:15 | 9 |
| 22 | Darlington FC | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12:21 | 7 |
| 23 | Spennymoor | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11:21 | 7 |
| 24 | Radcliffe | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 9:20 | 6 |
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
