Sport Tipps
Thun W vs Rapperswil-Jona W
Switzerland
Super League Women 2025/2026 Stade Municipal 
Spielzusammenfassung
Thun W enters this Super League Women 2025/2026 fixture as the clear favorite, carrying a strong win probability of 60%. Thun W averages 1.5 goals scored and 2.2 conceded in recent matches. Rapperswil-Jona W shows a form average of 1.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 1 wins for Thun W, 1 wins for Rapperswil-Jona W, and 3 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 04.04.26 ended in a 2:2 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.20 for Thun W and 1.00 for Rapperswil-Jona W, suggesting the primary value lies in the Thun W double chance or over markets.
Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter
Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form
Modell-Vertrauen
Gesamter Indikatorwert
- Thun W hat zuletzt mehr Punkte geholt als Rapperswil-Jona W.
- Das Modell prognostiziert eine höhere Torgefahr für die Gastgeber (1.20 vs. 1.00 xG).
- Frühere Begegnungen zeigen einen klaren Vorteil für das Heimteam.
- Starke Defensiven sprechen für ein kontrolliertes, torarmes Spiel.
Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner
Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie
Formanalyse der Teams
Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel
| Metrik | Thun W | Rapperswil-Jona W |
|---|---|---|
| Spiele | 31 | 30 |
| Siege | 7 | 3 |
| Unentschieden | 6 | 13 |
| Niederlagen | 18 | 14 |
| Erzielte Tore | 1.48 | 0.97 |
| Gegentore | 2.23 | 1.97 |
| Erwartete Tore (xG) | 1.13 | 0.63 |
| Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) | 2.00 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten
Taktisches Profil
Feldpositionen & Kontrollstile
Thun W
Rapperswil-Jona W
Schlüsselspieler-Analyse
Top-Akteure und erwartete Torbeteiligungen
Thun W Vergleich
Rapperswil-Jona W Vergleich
Kader-Verfügbarkeit
Sokapicks Momentum-Index
Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)
Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke
Vorhersage-Engine
Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte
Value Bet Finder (+EV)
Spiele mit mathematischem Vorteil gegenüber Buchmachern
Erwarteter Spielverlauf
Dominanzkurven in 15-Minuten-Abschnitten
Thun W is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.
Rapperswil-Jona W will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of Thun W's attacks.
Expect Thun W to create chances through sustained possession before the break.
Tactical adjustments at half-time will see Thun W vary their attacking width.
Fatigue may set in for Rapperswil-Jona W, allowing Thun W's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.
Expect a final offensive push from Thun W, while Rapperswil-Jona W takes risks to salvage a result.
Offensiv-Heatmaps & Schüsse
Dynamische Heat-Overlays aus Zonen-Statistiken
Smart Insights
Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster
Thun W have found the net in 74% of their last 31 matches.
Rapperswil-Jona W have conceded at least one goal in 73% of their last 30 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 2.60 goals per match.
Thun W remained undefeated in 3 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Rapperswil-Jona W suffered defeat in 4 of their last 5 overall games.
Risikoanalyse
Bewertung von Störfaktoren
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Teamvergleich
Direkter Statistikvergleich
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Servette W | 18 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 42:5 | 47 |
| 2 | Young Boys W | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 32:13 | 36 |
| 3 | Basel W | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 23:13 | 35 |
| 4 | Grasshopper W | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 33:22 | 33 |
| 5 | Zurich W | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 33:20 | 29 |
| 6 | St. Gallen W | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 25:28 | 26 |
| 7 | Rapperswil-Jona W | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 19:30 | 16 |
| 8 | Aarau W | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 11:28 | 11 |
| 9 | Luzern W | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 21:50 | 10 |
| 10 | Thun W | 18 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 17:47 | 6 |