Sport Tipps

Stadium Background

Tocha vs Esmoriz

Portugal Portugal

Taça de Portugal 2017/2018 Complexo Desportivo da Tocha, Tocha
Unser Tipp

Spielzusammenfassung

Esmoriz in this Taça de Portugal 2017/2018 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter

Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form

22%
Tocha
28%
Unentschieden
50%
Esmoriz
Unentschieden-Quote: 28% Favorit: Esmoriz

Modell-Vertrauen

Gesamter Indikatorwert

76% / Hoch Vertrauen
  • Esmoriz have won more games recently than Tocha.
  • Model gives Esmoriz a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Esmoriz arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Esmoriz, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 78%).

Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner

Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie

Über 0.5 Tore 92%
Über 1.5 Tore 82%
Über 2.5 Tore 78%
Über 3.5 Tore 25%
Über 4.5 Tore 11%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 73.4%
Tocha Ohne Gegentor 13%
Esmoriz Ohne Gegentor 15%

Formanalyse der Teams

Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel

Metrik Tocha Esmoriz
Spiele 30 30
Siege 3 9
Unentschieden 9 11
Niederlagen 18 10
Erzielte Tore 0.83 1.07
Gegentore 1.83 1.27
Erwartete Tore (xG) 1.00 1.69
Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten

3. Sept. 2017 Taça de Portugal
Tocha vs Esmoriz
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum-Index

Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)

Tocha 22 / 100
Esmoriz 48 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).

Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke

ANGRIFF ABWEHR BALLBESITZ DISZIPLIN
Tocha Esmoriz

Vorhersage-Engine

Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte

Haupttipp Esmoriz Win (2)
Nebentipp Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS-Prognose Yes (GG)
Über/Unter Tipp Over 2.5

Smart Insights

Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster

Esmoriz's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Esmoriz registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Tocha scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Tor-Trends

Tocha VS Esmoriz
1 Erzielte Tore 1
2.38 Kassierte Tore 1
88% Über 1.5 50%
63% Über 2.5 50%
50% Über 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tocha

(Home)
21 Sept
Tocha
1 : 4
Penafiel
23 Sept
Tocha
2 : 4
Rebordosa
10 Sept
Lusitano FCV
0 : 2
Tocha
27 Sept
Anca
3 : 1
Tocha
03 Sept
Tocha
1 : 2
Esmoriz
Page 1 of 6

Esmoriz

(Away)
24 Sept
Esmoriz
0 : 1
Vilaverdense FC
03 Sept
Tocha
1 : 2
Esmoriz
30 Apr
SC Pombal
1 : 0
Esmoriz
23 Apr
Esmoriz
0 : 1
Boavista
17 Apr
Anadia
0 : 1
Esmoriz
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Moreirense -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
GD Resende 1
Lamego 0
Uniao Lamas 2
Canelas 2010 3
Operario 2
Charneca Caparica 0
Recreativo Canaviais 1
Guadalupe 4
Pedras Salgadas 2
CDC Montalegre 0
Machico 0
FC Felgueiras 4
Chaves -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Electrico FC 3
Mosteirense 0
Macao 0
Fatima 4
BSAD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gondomar 3
Regua 1
TBD -
Santa Clara -
Vitoria Guimaraes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aguia Vimioso 1
Desportivo Moncao 0
TBD -
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira -
Academico Viseu -
TBD -
Fornos de Algodres 1
Lusitano FCV 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Feirense -
Portimonense -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gil Vicente -
TBD -
Ferreiras 2
Moura AC 5
Lusitano GC 3
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 1
GD Coruchense 2
Pero Pinheiro 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Porto -
Cova De Piedade -
TBD -
Atletico Arcos 3
Minas de Argozelo 5
Pedras Rubras 3
Camacha 1
Agueda 0
Anadia 1
Amarante FC 1
AD Fafe 0
TBD -
Varzim -
Almodovar 5
CDR Quarteirense 2
CD Rabo Peixe 0
Sporting Ideal 3
AD Oliveirense 5
Sendim 0
Vilafranquense 1
Mafra 2
Mortagua FC 5
Figueirense 1
GS Loures 1
Torreense 2
GD Uniao Torcatense 2
Esposende 1
Oriental 1
Lusitano VRSA 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maritimo -
Vilaverdense FC 2
GD Braganca 0
Tocha 1
Esmoriz 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Boavista -
Sintrense 2
FC Crato 1
Aroes 0
Trofense 1
Covilha -
TBD -
Mondinense 0
Vizela 3
Famalicao -
TBD -
Rio Tinto 0
Coimbroes 1
SC Salgueiros 3
Cinfaes 2
FC Flamengos 0
Alta Lisboa 4
Oleiros 1
Alcanenense 0
Paredes 0
Sousense 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sporting CP -
Rio Ave -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Crato -
TBD -
SC Sabugal 2
Sanjoanense 3
Sao Martinho 2
SC Vila Real 1
Riachense 0
UC Idanhense 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Braga -
Vitoria Setubal -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leiria e Marrazes -
TBD -
TBD -
Pinhalnovense -
Olhanense 3
Almancilense 1
TBD -
Lamego -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Benfica -
U. Madeira -
TBD -
TBD -
Sertanense -
Marinhense 2
Sertanense 0
TBD -
Oriental -
Gafanha 1
Nogueirense 0
TBD -
SC Lourinhanense -
Maria de Fonte 2
SC Mirandela 1
Camara de Lobos 0
Freamunde 2
Leiria 3
GD Sourense 0
Leiria e Marrazes 1
SB Castelo Branco 5
Moncarapachense 1
Armacenenses 0
Alianca de Gandra 0
SC Espinho 1
SC Vila Real -
TBD -
TBD -
Oliveirense -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aves -
Caldas SC 2
SC Lourinhanense 0
SC Lusitania 0
Montijo 3
Aguias do Moradal 2
Alcains 1
Ferreira de Aves 0
FC Cesarense 1
GD Coruchense -
TBD -
TBD -
Mondinense -
Sacavenense 2
1º Dezembro 0
TBD -
Arouca -
Nacional -
TBD -
SC Pombal 0
Condeixa 3
Real SC -
TBD -
Cerveira 1
Merelinense 3
Pacos Ferreira -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
SC Mirandela -
TBD -
TBD -
Academica -
SC Praiense 4
Vale Formoso 1
Castrense 1
Louletano 2
GD Braganca -
TBD -
TBD -
Alcains -
Casa Pia 2
Pinhalnovense 0
TBD -
Recreativo Canaviais -
Penafiel -
TBD -
TBD -
Vilafranquense -
Leixoes -
TBD -
TBD -
GD Sourense -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tondela -
Estoril -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Amora 3
Vitoria FC Pico 0
Estrela Vendas Novas 1
SC Farense 7
1/64-finals
Moreirense -
TBD -
GD Resende 0
Canelas 2010 3
Operario 3
Guadalupe 2
Pedras Salgadas 1
FC Felgueiras 2
Chaves -
TBD -
Electrico FC 2
Fatima 4
BSAD -
TBD -
Gondomar 0
Santa Clara 1
Vitoria Guimaraes -
TBD -
Aguia Vimioso 2
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 3
Academico Viseu 1
Lusitano FCV 0
TBD -
Feirense -
Portimonense -
TBD -
Gil Vicente 0
Moura AC 1
Lusitano GC 4
Pero Pinheiro 1
TBD -
FC Porto -
Cova De Piedade 4
Minas de Argozelo 0
Pedras Rubras 0
Anadia 4
Amarante FC 1
Varzim 0
Almodovar 0
Sporting Ideal 1
AD Oliveirense 2
Mafra 1
Mortagua FC 0
Torreense 2
GD Uniao Torcatense 2
Lusitano VRSA 0
TBD -
Maritimo -
Vilaverdense FC 1
Esmoriz 0
TBD -
Boavista -
Sintrense 1
Trofense 0
Covilha 1
Vizela 2
Famalicao 3
Coimbroes 1
SC Salgueiros 2
Alta Lisboa 3
Oleiros 3
Sousense 0
TBD -
Sporting CP -
Rio Ave -
TBD -
FC Crato 0
Sanjoanense 3
Sao Martinho 4
UC Idanhense 0
TBD -
Braga -
Vitoria Setubal -
TBD -
Leiria e Marrazes 0
Pinhalnovense 4
Olhanense 4
Lamego 1
TBD -
Benfica -
U. Madeira 2
Sertanense 0
Marinhense 0
Oriental 1
Gafanha 3
SC Lourinhanense 2
Maria de Fonte 2
Freamunde 4
Leiria 2
SB Castelo Branco 0
Moncarapachense 0
SC Espinho 1
SC Vila Real 1
Oliveirense 0
TBD -
Aves -
Caldas SC 1
Montijo 0
Aguias do Moradal 2
FC Cesarense 3
GD Coruchense 5
Mondinense 2
Sacavenense 0
Arouca 1
Nacional 3
Condeixa 1
Real SC 1
Merelinense 3
Pacos Ferreira -
TBD -
SC Mirandela 1
Academica 2
SC Praiense 2
Louletano 0
GD Braganca 1
Alcains 2
Casa Pia 5
Recreativo Canaviais 0
Penafiel 0
Vilafranquense 1
Leixoes 2
GD Sourense 0
TBD -
Tondela -
Estoril -
TBD -
Amora 2
SC Farense 3
1/32-finals
Moreirense 3
Canelas 2010 1
Operario 2
FC Felgueiras 4
Chaves 3
Fatima 0
BSAD 1
Santa Clara 2
Vitoria Guimaraes 6
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 1
Academico Viseu 0
Feirense 1
Portimonense 1
Moura AC 0
Lusitano GC 0
FC Porto 6
Cova De Piedade 2
Anadia 1
Amarante FC 1
Sporting Ideal 2
AD Oliveirense 1
Torreense 0
GD Uniao Torcatense 0
Maritimo 1
Vilaverdense FC 1
Boavista 0
Sintrense 1
Vizela 3
Famalicao 2
Alta Lisboa 0
Oleiros 2
Sporting CP 4
Rio Ave 4
Sanjoanense 0
Sao Martinho 2
Braga 3
Vitoria Setubal 2
Pinhalnovense 1
Olhanense 0
Benfica 1
U. Madeira 3
Oriental 2
Gafanha 0
Freamunde 1
Leiria 2
SC Espinho 0
SC Vila Real 0
Aves 1
Caldas SC 2
FC Cesarense 1
GD Coruchense 0
Arouca 3
Nacional 4
Merelinense 2
Pacos Ferreira 1
Academica 2
SC Praiense 4
Alcains 1
Casa Pia 1
Vilafranquense 2
Leixoes 3
Tondela 2
Estoril 0
SC Farense 1
1/16-finals
Moreirense 5
FC Felgueiras 2
Chaves 0
Santa Clara 2
Vitoria Guimaraes 2
Feirense 1
Portimonense 2
FC Porto 3
Cova De Piedade 4
Sporting Ideal 1
AD Oliveirense 2
Maritimo 3
Vilaverdense FC 3
Vizela 2
Famalicao 0
Sporting CP 2
Rio Ave 1
Braga 0
Vitoria Setubal 0
Benfica 2
U. Madeira 4
Freamunde 2
Leiria 0
Aves 3
Caldas SC 2
Arouca 1
Nacional 0
Academica 1
SC Praiense 3
Vilafranquense 2
Leixoes 1
SC Farense 2
1/8-finals
Moreirense 3
Santa Clara 2
Vitoria Guimaraes 0
FC Porto 4
Cova De Piedade 1
Maritimo 0
Vilaverdense FC 0
Sporting CP 4
Rio Ave 3
Benfica 2
U. Madeira 1
Aves 5
Caldas SC 2
Academica 1
SC Praiense 0
SC Farense 1
Quarter-finals
Moreirense 1
FC Porto 2
Cova De Piedade 1
Sporting CP 2
Rio Ave 4
Aves 5
Caldas SC 3
SC Farense 2
Semi-finals
FC Porto 1
Sporting CP 2
Aves 3
Caldas SC 1
Final
Sporting CP 1
Aves 2