Sport Tipps
Spielzusammenfassung
Tupa in this Paulista A4 2020 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tupa.
Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter
Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form
22%
28%
50%
Unentschieden-Quote: 28% Favorit: Assisense
Modell-Vertrauen
Gesamter Indikatorwert
76%
/ Hoch Vertrauen
- Tupa have won more games recently than Assisense.
- Win probability leans Assisense's way, sitting at 50%.
- Regular Paulista A4 2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 78%).
Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner
Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie
Über 0.5 Tore 92%
Über 1.5 Tore 82%
Über 2.5 Tore 78%
Über 3.5 Tore 38%
Über 4.5 Tore 17%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 74.2%
Tupa Ohne Gegentor 16%
Assisense Ohne Gegentor 10%
Formanalyse der Teams
Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel
| Metrik | Tupa | Assisense |
|---|---|---|
| Spiele | 30 | 30 |
| Siege | 13 | 9 |
| Unentschieden | 4 | 10 |
| Niederlagen | 13 | 11 |
| Erzielte Tore | 1.33 | 1.3 |
| Gegentore | 1.53 | 1.37 |
| Erwartete Tore (xG) | 1.44 | 1.44 |
| Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten
30. Mai 2026 Paulista B
Tupa vs Assisense
1:1
24. Apr. 2026 Paulista B
Assisense vs Tupa
3:2
8. Juni 2025 Paulista B
Tupa vs Assisense
1:2
2. Mai 2025 Paulista B
Assisense vs Tupa
2:3
8. Nov. 2020 Paulista A4
Tupa vs Assisense
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum-Index
Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)
Tupa 23 / 100
Assisense 47 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).
Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke
Tupa Assisense
Vorhersage-Engine
Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte
Haupttipp ASS Win (2)
Nebentipp Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS-Prognose Yes (GG)
Über/Unter Tipp Over 2.5
Smart Insights
Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster
Tupa scored in 87% of their last 30 games.
Defensive concern: Assisense conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.60 goals.
Recent resilience: Tupa stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.
Tor-Trends
Tupa VS Assisense
1.63 Erzielte Tore 1.63
1.25 Kassierte Tore 1.25
88% Über 1.5 75%
50% Über 2.5 38%
38% Über 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Tupa
(Home) 05 Jul
Independente SP
2 : 0 Tupa
28 Jun
Tupa
0 : 2 Independente SP
20 Jun
Tupa
1 : 2 Santa Fe SP
14 Jun
Riopretano
0 : 1 Tupa
06 Jun
America SP
3 : 1 Tupa
Page 1 of 6
28 Jun
Tupa
0 : 2 Independente SP
20 Jun
Tupa
1 : 2 Santa Fe SP
30 May
Tupa
1 : 1 Assisense
09 May
Tupa
2 : 0 Riopretano
02 May
Tupa
2 : 0 America SP
Page 1 of 3
Assisense
(Away) 04 Jul
Matonense
0 : 0 Assisense
27 Jun
Assisense
0 : 1 Matonense
20 Jun
Assisense
4 : 4 Riopretano
14 Jun
Jose Bonifacio EC
1 : 0 Assisense
05 Jun
Assisense
4 : 2 Santa Fe SP
Page 1 of 6
04 Jul
Matonense
0 : 0 Assisense
14 Jun
Jose Bonifacio EC
1 : 0 Assisense
30 May
Tupa
1 : 1 Assisense
17 May
Riopretano
1 : 1 Assisense
01 May
Santa Fe SP
0 : 1 Assisense
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bandeirante | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 21:3 | 20 |
| 2 | Andradina Esporte Clube | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10:11 | 13 |
| 3 | America SP | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8:8 | 10 |
| 4 | Tanabi | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:13 | 8 |
| 5 | AEA Aracatuba | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3:15 | 6 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2020 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gremio Prudente | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 18:6 | 18 |
| 2 | Osvaldo Cruz | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8:8 | 13 |
| 3 | Vocem | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12:5 | 12 |
| 4 | Tupa | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:13 | 11 |
| 5 | Assisense | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4:18 | 1 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2020 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Francana | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 16:7 | 20 |
| 2 | XV de Jau | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 11:7 | 13 |
| 3 | Sao-Carlense | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 10:8 | 11 |
| 4 | Inter de Bebedouro | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5:12 | 5 |
| 5 | Matonense | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5:13 | 4 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2020 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independente SP | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 2 | Rio Branco SP | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 12:7 | 13 |
| 3 | AA Itarare | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15:9 | 13 |
| 4 | Uniao Barbarense | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:13 | 7 |
| 5 | Elosport | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8:19 | 5 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2020 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amparo SP | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:9 | 14 |
| 2 | Itapirense | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:7 | 11 |
| 3 | Flamengo SP | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:13 | 11 |
| 4 | Brasilis | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11:11 | 10 |
| 5 | Guarulhos | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 11:14 | 9 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2020 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sao Jose EC | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 26:8 | 21 |
| 2 | Manthiqueira | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17:10 | 16 |
| 3 | Uniao Suzano | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 18:11 | 11 |
| 4 | Uniao Mogi | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 17:13 | 9 |
| 5 | Atletico Mogi | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2:38 | 0 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2020 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 7)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jabaquara | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10:3 | 16 |
| 2 | Maua FC | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:4 | 14 |
| 3 | SKA Brasil | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13:10 | 13 |
| 4 | Mauaense | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10:9 | 10 |
| 5 | Barcelona SP | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4:21 | 2 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2020 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
