Sport Tipps
Spielzusammenfassung
This Oberliga Hamburg 2022/2023 encounter between TuS Osdorf and HEBC Hamburg promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. TuS Osdorf averages 1.3 goals scored and 2.6 conceded in recent matches. HEBC Hamburg shows a form average of 1.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 1 wins for TuS Osdorf, 3 wins for HEBC Hamburg, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 30.04.23 ended in a 4:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.79 for TuS Osdorf and 1.24 for HEBC Hamburg, suggesting the primary value lies in the HEBC Hamburg double chance or over markets.
Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter
Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form
Modell-Vertrauen
Gesamter Indikatorwert
- TuS Osdorf hat zuletzt mehr Punkte geholt als HEBC Hamburg.
- Das Modell prognostiziert eine höhere Torgefahr für die Gastgeber (1.79 vs. 1.24 xG).
- Frühere Begegnungen zeigen einen klaren Vorteil für die Gäste.
- Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 76%).
Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner
Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie
Formanalyse der Teams
Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel
| Metrik | TuS Osdorf | HEBC Hamburg |
|---|---|---|
| Spiele | 30 | 32 |
| Siege | 6 | 11 |
| Unentschieden | 5 | 8 |
| Niederlagen | 19 | 13 |
| Erzielte Tore | 1.33 | 1.59 |
| Gegentore | 2.63 | 1.75 |
H2H
Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten
Taktisches Profil
Feldpositionen & Kontrollstile
TuS Osdorf
HEBC Hamburg
Schlüsselspieler-Analyse
Top-Akteure und erwartete Torbeteiligungen
TuS Osdorf Vergleich
HEBC Hamburg Vergleich
Kader-Verfügbarkeit
Sokapicks Momentum-Index
Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)
Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke
Vorhersage-Engine
Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte
Value Bet Finder (+EV)
Spiele mit mathematischem Vorteil gegenüber Buchmachern
Erwarteter Spielverlauf
Dominanzkurven in 15-Minuten-Abschnitten
Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.
The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.
The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.
Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.
As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.
A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.
Offensiv-Heatmaps & Schüsse
Dynamische Heat-Overlays aus Zonen-Statistiken
Smart Insights
Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster
TuS Osdorf have found the net in 67% of their last 30 matches.
HEBC Hamburg have conceded at least one goal in 84% of their last 32 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 4.80 goals per match.
TuS Osdorf remained undefeated in 2 of their last 5 overall matchups.
HEBC Hamburg suffered defeat in 5 of their last 5 overall games.
Risikoanalyse
Bewertung von Störfaktoren
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Teamvergleich
Direkter Statistikvergleich
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sasel | 36 | 26 | 4 | 6 | 108:40 | 82 |
| 2 | Dassendorf | 36 | 23 | 8 | 5 | 104:37 | 77 |
| 3 | Eimsbutteler | 36 | 21 | 10 | 5 | 87:37 | 73 |
| 4 | Altona | 36 | 21 | 8 | 7 | 78:45 | 71 |
| 5 | Niendorfer TSV | 36 | 21 | 7 | 8 | 83:50 | 70 |
| 6 | Paloma | 36 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 71:54 | 65 |
| 7 | Suderelbe | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 86:61 | 57 |
| 8 | TSV Concordia | 36 | 16 | 6 | 14 | 72:63 | 54 |
| 9 | HEBC Hamburg | 36 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 58:52 | 50 |
| 10 | SC Victoria Hamburg | 36 | 14 | 5 | 17 | 80:80 | 47 |
| 11 | Harksheide | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 45:67 | 43 |
| 12 | Turkiye Wilhelmsburg | 36 | 12 | 5 | 19 | 65:76 | 41 |
| 13 | Tornesch | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 53:89 | 40 |
| 14 | TSV Buchholz 08 | 36 | 11 | 6 | 19 | 45:79 | 39 |
| 15 | Rugenbergen | 36 | 9 | 8 | 19 | 47:75 | 35 |
| 16 | Hamm United | 36 | 9 | 6 | 21 | 45:80 | 33 |
| 17 | Hamburger III | 36 | 9 | 4 | 23 | 55:91 | 31 |
| 18 | TuS Osdorf | 36 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 45:93 | 26 |
| 19 | Curslack-Neuengamme | 36 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 59:117 | 23 |