Sport Tipps
Spielzusammenfassung
This Oberliga Bayern Süd 2014/2015 encounter between Unterhaching II and Bad Kotzting promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Unterhaching II averages 1.0 goals scored and 1.8 conceded in recent matches. Bad Kotzting shows a form average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 0 wins for Unterhaching II, 1 wins for Bad Kotzting, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 16.05.15 ended in a 2:3 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 0.97 for Unterhaching II and 1.19 for Bad Kotzting, suggesting the primary value lies in the Bad Kotzting double chance or over markets.
Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter
Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form
Modell-Vertrauen
Gesamter Indikatorwert
- Unterhaching II hat zuletzt mehr Punkte geholt als Bad Kotzting.
- Das Modell prognostiziert eine höhere Torgefahr für die Gastgeber (0.97 vs. 1.19 xG).
- Frühere Begegnungen zeigen einen klaren Vorteil für die Gäste.
- Starke Defensiven sprechen für ein kontrolliertes, torarmes Spiel.
Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner
Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie
Formanalyse der Teams
Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel
| Metrik | Unterhaching II | Bad Kotzting |
|---|---|---|
| Spiele | 35 | 30 |
| Siege | 9 | 11 |
| Unentschieden | 8 | 3 |
| Niederlagen | 18 | 16 |
| Erzielte Tore | 1.03 | 1.17 |
| Gegentore | 1.83 | 1.67 |
H2H
Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten
Taktisches Profil
Feldpositionen & Kontrollstile
Unterhaching II
Bad Kotzting
Sokapicks Momentum-Index
Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)
Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke
Vorhersage-Engine
Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte
Value Bet Finder (+EV)
Spiele mit mathematischem Vorteil gegenüber Buchmachern
Erwarteter Spielverlauf
Dominanzkurven in 15-Minuten-Abschnitten
Bad Kotzting will likely look to assert dominance early, testing the hosts' defensive structure.
Unterhaching II will look to tighten their defensive lines to neutralize Bad Kotzting's early runs.
Expect Bad Kotzting to mount counter-attacks, exploiting gaps as Unterhaching II tries to push forward.
Tactical adjustments will see Bad Kotzting increase their pressing intensity in the opposition half.
Fatigue may set in for Unterhaching II's defense, opening up opportunities for Bad Kotzting's forward line.
Expect Bad Kotzting to manage the closing stages, while Unterhaching II searches for late drama.
Offensiv-Heatmaps & Schüsse
Dynamische Heat-Overlays aus Zonen-Statistiken
Smart Insights
Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster
Unterhaching II have found the net in 57% of their last 35 matches.
Bad Kotzting have conceded at least one goal in 80% of their last 30 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 3.50 goals per match.
Unterhaching II remained undefeated in 3 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Bad Kotzting suffered defeat in 4 of their last 5 overall games.
Risikoanalyse
Bewertung von Störfaktoren
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Teamvergleich
Direkter Statistikvergleich
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rain/Lech | 36 | 26 | 5 | 5 | 100:29 | 83 |
| 2 | Pullach | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 72:33 | 75 |
| 3 | Pipinsried | 36 | 21 | 9 | 6 | 81:43 | 72 |
| 4 | Bogen | 36 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 43:35 | 57 |
| 5 | Vilzing | 36 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 49:55 | 53 |
| 6 | Wolfratshausen | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 60:57 | 52 |
| 7 | Hankofen-Hailing | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 49:51 | 52 |
| 8 | Unterfohring | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 68:41 | 51 |
| 9 | Landsberg | 36 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 66:56 | 51 |
| 10 | Sonthofen | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 47:46 | 48 |
| 11 | TSV 1860 Rosenheim | 36 | 14 | 6 | 16 | 47:60 | 48 |
| 12 | Dachau | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 55:62 | 45 |
| 13 | Vfb Eichstatt | 36 | 10 | 15 | 11 | 47:50 | 45 |
| 14 | TSV Schwabmunchen | 36 | 11 | 11 | 14 | 43:51 | 44 |
| 15 | Bad Kotzting | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 48:65 | 43 |
| 16 | Landshut | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 49:69 | 40 |
| 17 | Raisting | 36 | 8 | 12 | 16 | 41:61 | 36 |
| 18 | DJK Rosenheim | 36 | 10 | 5 | 21 | 56:79 | 35 |
| 19 | Unterhaching II | 36 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 41:119 | 17 |