Sport Tipps
Ustrem Donchevo vs Olympic Varna - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Bulgaria
Third League - North-East 
Spielzusammenfassung
The Third League - North-East game between Ustrem Donchevo and Olympic Varna finished 3-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Olympic Varna.
Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter
Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form
60%
22%
18%
Unentschieden-Quote: 22% Favorit: Ustrem Donchevo
Modell-Vertrauen
Gesamter Indikatorwert
82%
/ Sehr Hoch Vertrauen
- Ustrem Donchevo carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Ustrem Donchevo a 60% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 88%).
- History favors Ustrem Donchevo here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner
Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie
Über 0.5 Tore 99%
Über 1.5 Tore 100%
Über 2.5 Tore 88%
Über 3.5 Tore 75%
Über 4.5 Tore 34%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 80.2%
Ustrem Donchevo Ohne Gegentor 10%
Olympic Varna Ohne Gegentor 10%
Formanalyse der Teams
Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel
| Metrik | Ustrem Donchevo | Olympic Varna |
|---|---|---|
| Spiele | 31 | 29 |
| Siege | 14 | 10 |
| Unentschieden | 4 | 2 |
| Niederlagen | 13 | 17 |
| Erzielte Tore | 2.16 | 1.93 |
| Gegentore | 2.13 | 2.83 |
| Erwartete Tore (xG) | 2.13 | 2.75 |
| Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten
22. Aug. 2026 Third League - North-East
Ustrem Donchevo vs Olympic Varna
3:4
9. Mai 2026 Third League - North-East
Olympic Varna vs Ustrem Donchevo
1:2
8. Nov. 2025 Third League - North-East
Ustrem Donchevo vs Olympic Varna
4:1
SokaPicks Momentum-Index
Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)
Ustrem Donchevo 56 / 100
Olympic Varna 18 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).
Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke
Ustrem Donchevo Olympic Varna
Vorhersage-Engine
Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte
Haupttipp Ustrem Donchevo Win (1)
Nebentipp Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS-Prognose Yes (GG)
Über/Unter Tipp Over 2.5
Smart Insights
Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster
Ustrem Donchevo scored in 90% of their last 31 games.
Olympic Varna has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Ustrem Donchevo stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Tor-Trends
Ustrem Donchevo VS Olympic Varna
1.63 Erzielte Tore 2.25
3.25 Kassierte Tore 2.63
100% Über 1.5 100%
88% Über 2.5 88%
75% Über 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Ustrem Donchevo
(Home) 17 Oct
Fratria II
1 : 2 Ustrem Donchevo
10 Oct
Ustrem Donchevo
4 : 3 Dorostol
03 Oct
Devnya 2005
2 : 1 Ustrem Donchevo
26 Sept
Ustrem Donchevo
1 : 1 Septemvri Tervel
20 Sept
Benkovski
3 : 2 Ustrem Donchevo
Page 1 of 7
10 Oct
Ustrem Donchevo
4 : 3 Dorostol
26 Sept
Ustrem Donchevo
1 : 1 Septemvri Tervel
12 Sept
Ustrem Donchevo
2 : 4 Volov Shumen
29 Aug
Ustrem Donchevo
2 : 3 Svetkavitsa 2014
22 Aug
Ustrem Donchevo
3 : 4 Olympic Varna
Page 1 of 4
Olympic Varna
(Away) 17 Oct
Svetkavitsa 2014
3 : 0 Olympic Varna
10 Oct
Olympic Varna
1 : 0 Botev Novi Pazar
26 Sept
Aksakovo
3 : 2 Olympic Varna
20 Sept
Cherno More II
2 : 0 Olympic Varna
12 Sept
Chernomorets Balchik
4 : 3 Olympic Varna
Page 1 of 6
17 Oct
Svetkavitsa 2014
3 : 0 Olympic Varna
26 Sept
Aksakovo
3 : 2 Olympic Varna
20 Sept
Cherno More II
2 : 0 Olympic Varna
12 Sept
Chernomorets Balchik
4 : 3 Olympic Varna
30 Aug
Ludogorets III
5 : 1 Olympic Varna
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ludogorets III | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 25:5 | 25 |
| 2 | Volov Shumen | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 29:10 | 22 |
| 3 | Chernomorets Balchik | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15:7 | 20 |
| 4 | Svetkavitsa 2014 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 17:11 | 19 |
| 5 | Chernolomets | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 22:9 | 18 |
| 6 | Septemvri Tervel | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13:8 | 15 |
| 7 | Benkovski | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 16:12 | 13 |
| 8 | Botev Novi Pazar | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 14:10 | 12 |
| 9 | Devnya 2005 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 10:15 | 12 |
| 10 | Cherno More II | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14:11 | 11 |
| 11 | Septemvri Dragoevo | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13:21 | 11 |
| 12 | FK Riltzi | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10:20 | 10 |
| 13 | Olympic Varna | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 16:24 | 9 |
| 14 | Fratria II | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 10:26 | 9 |
| 15 | Aksakovo | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 15:20 | 7 |
| 16 | Ustrem Donchevo | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 19:30 | 7 |
| 17 | Dorostol | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5:24 | 0 |
Promotion - Vtora liga 2027/2028 (Main)
