Sport Tipps
Velbazhd Kyustendil vs Kyustendil
Bulgaria
Third League - South-West 2020/2021 
Spielzusammenfassung
The Third League - South-West 2020/2021 game between Velbazhd Kyustendil and Kyustendil finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kyustendil.
Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter
Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form
4%
6%
90%
Unentschieden-Quote: 6% Favorit: Kyustendil
Modell-Vertrauen
Gesamter Indikatorwert
95%
/ Sehr Hoch Vertrauen
- Kyustendil carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Kyustendil's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 78%).
Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner
Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie
Über 0.5 Tore 92%
Über 1.5 Tore 82%
Über 2.5 Tore 78%
Über 3.5 Tore 6.5%
Über 4.5 Tore 3%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 65.8%
Velbazhd Kyustendil Ohne Gegentor 20%
Kyustendil Ohne Gegentor 12%
Formanalyse der Teams
Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel
| Metrik | Velbazhd Kyustendil | Kyustendil |
|---|---|---|
| Spiele | 30 | 31 |
| Siege | 4 | 12 |
| Unentschieden | 4 | 6 |
| Niederlagen | 22 | 13 |
| Erzielte Tore | 0.5 | 1.26 |
| Gegentore | 2.33 | 1.45 |
| Erwartete Tore (xG) | 1.17 | 0.93 |
| Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten
28. Apr. 2021 Third League - South-West
Velbazhd Kyustendil vs Kyustendil
0:3
24. Okt. 2020 Third League - South-West
Kyustendil vs Velbazhd Kyustendil
3:0
SokaPicks Momentum-Index
Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)
Velbazhd Kyustendil 10 / 100
Kyustendil 83 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).
Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke
Velbazhd Kyustendil Kyustendil
Vorhersage-Engine
Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte
Haupttipp Kyustendil Win (2)
Nebentipp Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS-Prognose Yes (GG)
Über/Unter Tipp Over 2.5
Smart Insights
Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster
Kyustendil has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Away concern: Kyustendil has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Velbazhd Kyustendil scored in 43% of their last 30 games.
Tor-Trends
- VS Kyustendil
0 Erzielte Tore 0.75
0 Kassierte Tore 1.13
0% Über 1.5 63%
0% Über 2.5 38%
0% Über 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Velbazhd Kyustendil
(Home) 29 May
Slivnishki Geroy
6 : 1 Velbazhd Kyustendil
22 May
Velbazhd Kyustendil
1 : 2 Pirin Razlog
15 May
Botev Ihtiman
5 : 0 Velbazhd Kyustendil
12 May
Velbazhd Kyustendil
0 : 5 Belasitsa Petrich
08 May
Oborishte Panagyurishte
4 : 0 Velbazhd Kyustendil
Page 1 of 6
22 May
Velbazhd Kyustendil
1 : 2 Pirin Razlog
12 May
Velbazhd Kyustendil
0 : 5 Belasitsa Petrich
28 Apr
Velbazhd Kyustendil
0 : 3 Kyustendil
21 Apr
Velbazhd Kyustendil
1 : 1 Rilski Sportist
17 Apr
Velbazhd Kyustendil
0 : 2 Granit Vladaya
Page 1 of 4
Kyustendil
(Away) 22 Aug
CSKA Sofia III
1 : 1 Kyustendil
15 Aug
Kyustendil
0 : 1 Balkan Botevgrad
08 Aug
Kostinbrod
3 : 1 Kyustendil
01 Aug
Kyustendil
2 : 1 Slivnishki Geroy
29 May
Septemvri Simitli
2 : 0 Kyustendil
Page 1 of 7
22 Aug
CSKA Sofia III
1 : 1 Kyustendil
08 Aug
Kostinbrod
3 : 1 Kyustendil
29 May
Septemvri Simitli
2 : 0 Kyustendil
17 May
Slavia Sofia 2
8 : 1 Kyustendil
25 Apr
Kostinbrod
2 : 1 Kyustendil
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marek | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 84:24 | 82 |
| 2 | Kyustendil | 34 | 26 | 4 | 4 | 63:14 | 79 |
| 3 | Belasitsa Petrich | 34 | 23 | 9 | 2 | 68:27 | 78 |
| 4 | Vihren | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 63:25 | 75 |
| 5 | Oborishte Panagyurishte | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 55:41 | 60 |
| 6 | Balkan Botevgrad | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 62:34 | 58 |
| 7 | Chavdar Etropole | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 62:46 | 51 |
| 8 | Botev Ihtiman | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 53:41 | 46 |
| 9 | Gotse Delchev | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 37:32 | 45 |
| 10 | Pirin Razlog | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 40:59 | 41 |
| 11 | Nadezhda Dobroslavci | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 40:56 | 36 |
| 12 | Slivnishki Geroy | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 38:44 | 36 |
| 13 | Rilski Sportist | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 30:45 | 34 |
| 14 | Bansko | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 28:47 | 34 |
| 15 | Levski Chepintsi | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 34:72 | 34 |
| 16 | Granit Vladaya | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 34:65 | 32 |
| 17 | Perun | 34 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 25:77 | 22 |
| 18 | Velbazhd Kyustendil | 34 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 16:83 | 16 |
Promotion - Vtora liga 2021/2022 (Main)
