Sport Tipps
Viitorul Targu Jiu II vs Ghecon Lapusata
Romania
Liga 3 - Seria 4 2010/2011 
Spielzusammenfassung
Viitorul Targu Jiu II enters this Liga 3 - Seria 4 2010/2011 fixture as the clear favorite, carrying a strong win probability of 58%. Viitorul Targu Jiu II averages 1.4 goals scored and 2.7 conceded in recent matches. Ghecon Lapusata shows a form average of 0.8 goals scored and 2.0 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 3 wins for Viitorul Targu Jiu II, 1 wins for Ghecon Lapusata, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 30.03.12 ended in a 3:2 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 0.92 for Viitorul Targu Jiu II and 2.69 for Ghecon Lapusata, suggesting the primary value lies in the Viitorul Targu Jiu II double chance or over markets.
Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter
Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form
Modell-Vertrauen
Gesamter Indikatorwert
- Viitorul Targu Jiu II hat zuletzt mehr Punkte geholt als Ghecon Lapusata.
- Das Modell prognostiziert eine höhere Torgefahr für die Gastgeber (0.92 vs. 2.69 xG).
- Frühere Begegnungen zeigen einen klaren Vorteil für das Heimteam.
- Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 67%).
Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner
Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie
Formanalyse der Teams
Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel
| Metrik | Viitorul Targu Jiu II | Ghecon Lapusata |
|---|---|---|
| Spiele | 32 | 30 |
| Siege | 11 | 5 |
| Unentschieden | 2 | 4 |
| Niederlagen | 19 | 21 |
| Erzielte Tore | 1.41 | 0.8 |
| Gegentore | 2.72 | 2.03 |
H2H
Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten
Taktisches Profil
Feldpositionen & Kontrollstile
Viitorul Targu Jiu II
Ghecon Lapusata
Sokapicks Momentum-Index
Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)
Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke
Vorhersage-Engine
Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte
Value Bet Finder (+EV)
Spiele mit mathematischem Vorteil gegenüber Buchmachern
Erwarteter Spielverlauf
Dominanzkurven in 15-Minuten-Abschnitten
Viitorul Targu Jiu II is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.
Ghecon Lapusata will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of Viitorul Targu Jiu II's attacks.
Expect Viitorul Targu Jiu II to create chances through sustained possession before the break.
Tactical adjustments at half-time will see Viitorul Targu Jiu II vary their attacking width.
Fatigue may set in for Ghecon Lapusata, allowing Viitorul Targu Jiu II's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.
Expect a final offensive push from Viitorul Targu Jiu II, while Ghecon Lapusata takes risks to salvage a result.
Offensiv-Heatmaps & Schüsse
Dynamische Heat-Overlays aus Zonen-Statistiken
Smart Insights
Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster
Viitorul Targu Jiu II have found the net in 69% of their last 32 matches.
Ghecon Lapusata have conceded at least one goal in 83% of their last 30 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 2.50 goals per match.
Viitorul Targu Jiu II remained undefeated in 5 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Ghecon Lapusata suffered defeat in 5 of their last 5 overall games.
Risikoanalyse
Bewertung von Störfaktoren
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Teamvergleich
Direkter Statistikvergleich
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CSM Slatina | 26 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 39:15 | 56 |
| 2 | Piatra Olt | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 48:20 | 51 |
| 3 | Matasari | 26 | 15 | 3 | 8 | 46:26 | 48 |
| 4 | Jiul Rovinari | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 37:18 | 47 |
| 5 | Visina Noua | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 48:31 | 42 |
| 6 | Viitorul Targu Jiu II | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 44:31 | 41 |
| 7 | Minerul Motru | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 33:28 | 38 |
| 8 | Prometeu Craiova | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 43:38 | 35 |
| 9 | FC Caracal | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 43:31 | 33 |
| 10 | Oltchim Ramnicu | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 34:40 | 32 |
| 11 | Cetatea Turnu Magurele | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 29:34 | 32 |
| 12 | FC Drobeta-Turnu Severin | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 32:54 | 29 |
| 13 | Ghecon Lapusata | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 29:50 | 20 |
| 14 | Triumf Barca | 26 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 22:111 | 7 |