Sport Tipps
Spielzusammenfassung
This CFA - Group D 2008/2009 encounter between Villemomble and Quimper Stade promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Villemomble averages 0.6 goals scored and 2.0 conceded in recent matches. Quimper Stade shows a form average of 0.7 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 0 wins for Villemomble, 1 wins for Quimper Stade, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 30.05.09 ended in a 1:1 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 0.85 for Villemomble and 1.31 for Quimper Stade, suggesting the primary value lies in the Quimper Stade double chance or over markets.
Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter
Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form
Modell-Vertrauen
Gesamter Indikatorwert
- Villemomble hat zuletzt mehr Punkte geholt als Quimper Stade.
- Das Modell prognostiziert eine höhere Torgefahr für die Gastgeber (0.85 vs. 1.31 xG).
- Frühere Begegnungen zeigen einen klaren Vorteil für die Gäste.
- Starke Defensiven sprechen für ein kontrolliertes, torarmes Spiel.
Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner
Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie
Formanalyse der Teams
Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel
| Metrik | Villemomble | Quimper Stade |
|---|---|---|
| Spiele | 28 | 30 |
| Siege | 3 | 5 |
| Unentschieden | 5 | 10 |
| Niederlagen | 20 | 15 |
| Erzielte Tore | 0.61 | 0.73 |
| Gegentore | 1.96 | 1.53 |
H2H
Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten
Taktisches Profil
Feldpositionen & Kontrollstile
Villemomble
Quimper Stade
Sokapicks Momentum-Index
Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)
Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke
Vorhersage-Engine
Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte
Value Bet Finder (+EV)
Spiele mit mathematischem Vorteil gegenüber Buchmachern
Erwarteter Spielverlauf
Dominanzkurven in 15-Minuten-Abschnitten
Quimper Stade will likely look to assert dominance early, testing the hosts' defensive structure.
Villemomble will look to tighten their defensive lines to neutralize Quimper Stade's early runs.
Expect Quimper Stade to mount counter-attacks, exploiting gaps as Villemomble tries to push forward.
Tactical adjustments will see Quimper Stade increase their pressing intensity in the opposition half.
Fatigue may set in for Villemomble's defense, opening up opportunities for Quimper Stade's forward line.
Expect Quimper Stade to manage the closing stages, while Villemomble searches for late drama.
Offensiv-Heatmaps & Schüsse
Dynamische Heat-Overlays aus Zonen-Statistiken
Smart Insights
Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster
Villemomble have found the net in 43% of their last 28 matches.
Quimper Stade have conceded at least one goal in 77% of their last 30 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 1.50 goals per match.
Villemomble remained undefeated in 0 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Quimper Stade suffered defeat in 3 of their last 5 overall games.
Risikoanalyse
Bewertung von Störfaktoren
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Teamvergleich
Direkter Statistikvergleich
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rouen | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 56:27 | 96 |
| 2 | Plabennec | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 41:31 | 94 |
| 3 | Quevilly | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 53:31 | 91 |
| 4 | Orleans | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 48:35 | 89 |
| 5 | Villemomble | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 31:29 | 85 |
| 6 | La Vitreenne | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 36:28 | 83 |
| 7 | Rennes II | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 40:39 | 81 |
| 8 | Racing Club de France | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 36:34 | 80 |
| 9 | Viry-Chatillon | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 43:49 | 78 |
| 10 | Caen II | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 41:43 | 77 |
| 11 | PSG II | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 38:44 | 77 |
| 12 | UJA Maccabi Paris | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 40:43 | 74 |
| 13 | Le Havre II | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 39:43 | 73 |
| 14 | Quimper Stade | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 28:41 | 73 |
| 15 | Red Star | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 28:36 | 72 |
| 16 | Pontivy | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 31:45 | 72 |
| 17 | Guingamp II | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 35:41 | 71 |
| 18 | Vitre | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 25:50 | 62 |