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Wealdstone vs Derby U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League Cup Grosvenor Vale, London
Di., 3. Nov. 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Unser Tipp

Spielzusammenfassung

The first leg ended 2-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Derby U21 have shipped 2.41 goals a game lately, while Wealdstone have conceded 1.55 and scored 1.45. Head-to-head, Wealdstone have won 1 to Derby U21's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on 3. Dez. 2024, ending 2:0. The numbers (2.48 xG vs 1.50) point toward Wealdstone. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter

Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form

50%
Wealdstone
28%
Unentschieden
22%
Derby U21
Unentschieden-Quote: 28% Favorit: Wealdstone

Modell-Vertrauen

Gesamter Indikatorwert

76% / Hoch Vertrauen
  • Look at the last few games and Wealdstone come out ahead of Derby U21 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Wealdstone's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Wealdstone have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Wealdstone, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 78%).

Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner

Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie

Über 0.5 Tore 97%
Über 1.5 Tore 87%
Über 2.5 Tore 78%
Über 3.5 Tore 68%
Über 4.5 Tore 31%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 75.4%
Wealdstone Ohne Gegentor 16%
Derby U21 Ohne Gegentor 10%

Formanalyse der Teams

Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel

Metrik Wealdstone Derby U21
Spiele 29 29
Siege 10 7
Unentschieden 5 8
Niederlagen 14 14
Erzielte Tore 1.45 1.59
Gegentore 1.55 2.41
Erwartete Tore (xG) 2.48 1.50
Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten

3. Dez. 2024 National League Cup
Wealdstone vs Derby U21
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum-Index

Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)

Wealdstone 48 / 100
Derby U21 22 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).

Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke

ANGRIFF ABWEHR BALLBESITZ DISZIPLIN
Wealdstone Derby U21

Vorhersage-Engine

Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte

Haupttipp Wealdstone Win (1)
Nebentipp Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS-Prognose Yes (GG)
Über/Unter Tipp Over 2.5

Smart Insights

Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster

Wealdstone found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Derby U21 has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Derby U21 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Tor-Trends

Wealdstone VS Derby U21
2.25 Erzielte Tore 1.86
1.13 Kassierte Tore 2.71
88% Über 1.5 86%
63% Über 2.5 86%
50% Über 3.5 86%

Recent Form & Match History

Wealdstone

(Home)
10 Oct
Wealdstone
0 : 6
Yeovil
03 Oct
Barrow
2 : 1
Wealdstone
29 Sept
Forest Green
1 : 1
Wealdstone
26 Sept
Wealdstone
4 : 0
Gateshead
19 Sept
Tamworth
2 : 1
Wealdstone
Page 1 of 6

Derby U21

(Away)
13 Oct
Scunthorpe
3 : 2
Derby U21
10 Oct
Brentford U21
4 : 2
Derby U21
18 Sept
Burnley U21
4 : 1
Derby U21
11 Sept
Derby U21
1 : 3
Tottenham U21
08 Sept
Gateshead
1 : 3
Derby U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Halifax 3 3 0 0 13:4 9
2 Scunthorpe 3 3 0 0 8:3 8
3 Wolves U21 3 2 0 1 3:4 5
4 Derby U21 3 1 0 2 7:9 4
5 Wealdstone 2 1 0 1 7:3 3
6 Nottingham U21 2 1 0 1 2:3 2
7 Gateshead 3 0 0 3 2:4 2
8 Stoke City U21 3 0 0 3 2:14 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Ham U21 3 3 0 0 9:3 9
2 Norwich U21 3 2 0 1 5:6 5
3 Ipswich U21 3 2 0 1 3:5 5
4 Hornchurch 3 1 0 2 5:3 4
5 Aldershot 3 1 0 2 7:8 4
6 Braintree 3 1 0 2 5:6 4
7 Fulham U21 3 2 0 1 4:5 4
8 Worthing FC 3 0 0 3 2:4 1
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Middlesbrough U21 3 3 0 0 16:2 9
2 Boreham Wood 3 2 0 1 8:4 7
3 Tamworth 3 2 0 1 7:6 6
4 Solihull Moors 4 2 0 2 6:7 6
5 Everton U21 3 2 0 1 2:2 5
6 Newcastle Utd U21 4 1 0 3 7:10 3
7 Leeds U21 3 1 0 2 5:8 3
8 Hartlepool 3 0 0 3 1:13 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Truro 3 3 0 0 9:2 9
2 Woking 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
3 Sutton 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
4 West Brom U21 3 2 0 1 3:3 5
5 Birmingham U21 3 2 0 1 4:6 5
6 Southampton U21 3 1 0 2 8:11 3
7 Leicester U21 3 0 0 3 3:6 2
8 Boston United 3 0 0 3 7:10 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)