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Wellington Rec vs Dergview

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2024/2025
Sa., 23. Nov. 2024
VS
01:30 PM
Unser Tipp

Spielzusammenfassung

A one-off knockout match in the Irish Cup 2024/2025. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Dergview have shipped 2.1 goals a game lately, while Wellington Rec have conceded 1.8 and scored 2.05. Head-to-head, Wellington Rec have won 0 to Dergview's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on 23. Nov. 2024, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.35 vs 1.63, favoring Wellington Rec. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter

Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form

31%
Wellington Rec
40%
Unentschieden
29%
Dergview
Unentschieden-Quote: 40% Favorit: Draw

Modell-Vertrauen

Gesamter Indikatorwert

66% / Mittel Vertrauen
  • Wellington Rec have won more games recently than Dergview.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Wellington Rec have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 78%).

Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner

Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie

Über 0.5 Tore 92%
Über 1.5 Tore 82%
Über 2.5 Tore 78%
Über 3.5 Tore 70%
Über 4.5 Tore 32%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 73%
Wellington Rec Ohne Gegentor 14%
Dergview Ohne Gegentor 10%

Formanalyse der Teams

Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel

Metrik Wellington Rec Dergview
Spiele 20 30
Siege 10 4
Unentschieden 0 8
Niederlagen 10 18
Erzielte Tore 2.05 0.97
Gegentore 1.8 2.1
Erwartete Tore (xG) 1.35 1.63
Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten

23. Nov. 2024 Irish Cup
Wellington Rec vs Dergview
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum-Index

Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)

Wellington Rec 31 / 100
Dergview 28 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).

Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke

ANGRIFF ABWEHR BALLBESITZ DISZIPLIN
Wellington Rec Dergview

Vorhersage-Engine

Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte

Haupttipp Draw (X)
Nebentipp Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS-Prognose Yes (GG)
Über/Unter Tipp Over 2.5

Smart Insights

Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster

Defensive concern: Dergview conceded in 97% of 29 recent games.

Wellington Rec scored in 74% of their last 19 games.

Difficult form: Dergview registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 0.00 goals when they meet.

Tor-Trends

Wellington Rec VS Dergview
0 Erzielte Tore 1.25
2 Kassierte Tore 1.5
50% Über 1.5 100%
50% Über 2.5 63%
50% Über 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Wellington Rec

(Home)
15 Jul
Wellington Rec
0 : 4
Crusaders
04 Jan
Linfield
4 : 0
Wellington Rec
23 Nov
Wellington Rec
:
Dergview
29 Sept
Lisburn Distillery
2 : 0
Wellington Rec
30 Sept
St. Patricks Young
3 : 2
Wellington Rec
Page 1 of 4

Dergview

(Away)
01 Aug
Dergview
1 : 1
Bangor FC
18 Jul
Dergview
0 : 3
Dungannon
09 Jul
Harland & Wolff
3 : 0
Dergview
22 Nov
Lisburn Rangers
5 : 4
Dergview
07 Oct
Dergview
3 : 7
Larne
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Knockbreda 3
Banbridge 0
TBD -
Crusaders -
Limavady -
TBD -
TBD -
Larne -
Cliftonville -
TBD -
Banbridge Rangers 2
Queens University 1
Glenavon -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundela -
Portstewart 0
Belfast Celtic 1
Moyola 1
St. James' Swifts 0
Ballymena -
TBD -
TBD -
Ards -
Lurgan Town Boys 0
Dollingstown 1
TBD -
Ballyclare -
Institute -
TBD -
TBD -
Loughgall -
Bangor FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Newington FC -
Annagh -
TBD -
TBD -
Portadown -
Harland & Wolff -
TBD -
TBD -
Glentoran -
Linfield -
TBD -
Wellington Rec -
Dergview -
Islandmagee 0
Ballymacash 4
TBD -
Ballinamallard -
Carrick Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
Newry City -
Dungannon -
TBD -
Rosario Youth 2
Rathfriland Rangers 4
Coleraine -
TBD -
TBD -
Armagh -
1/16-finals
Knockbreda 0
Crusaders 3
Limavady 1
Larne 0
Cliftonville 4
Banbridge Rangers 0
Glenavon 2
Dundela 0
Belfast Celtic 0
Moyola 1
Ballymena 1
Ards 2
Dollingstown 1
Ballyclare 0
Institute 2
Loughgall 3
Bangor FC 2
Newington FC 1
Annagh 3
Portadown 2
Harland & Wolff 2
Glentoran 4
Linfield 4
Wellington Rec 0
Ballymacash 1
Ballinamallard 2
Carrick Rangers 4
Newry City 3
Dungannon 5
Rathfriland Rangers 0
Coleraine 5
Armagh 0
1/8-finals
Crusaders 1
Limavady 0
Cliftonville 3
Glenavon 2
Moyola 1
Ards 3
Dollingstown 0
Loughgall 3
Bangor FC 3
Annagh 0
Glentoran 2
Linfield 1
Ballinamallard 0
Carrick Rangers 3
Dungannon 2
Coleraine 1
Quarter-finals
Crusaders 1
Cliftonville 2
Ards 2
Loughgall 0
Bangor FC 3
Glentoran 1
Carrick Rangers 1
Dungannon 3
Semi-finals
Cliftonville 3
Ards 0
Bangor FC 0
Dungannon 2
Final
Cliftonville 1
Dungannon 2