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Wellington United W vs Southern United W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

New Zealand New Zealand

National League Women
Sa., 17. Okt. 2026
VS
11:00 PM
Unser Tipp

Spielzusammenfassung

Wellington United W host Southern United W in the National League Women. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Southern United W have shipped 1.5 goals a game lately, while Wellington United W have conceded 1.5 and scored 2.71. Head-to-head, Wellington United W have won 0 to Southern United W's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on 5. Okt. 2025, ending 1:1. xG projections (3.25 - 1.50) back Southern United W to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter

Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form

90%
Wellington United W
6%
Unentschieden
4%
Southern United W
Unentschieden-Quote: 6% Favorit: Wellington United W

Modell-Vertrauen

Gesamter Indikatorwert

95% / Sehr Hoch Vertrauen
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Wellington United W at 2.71 per game, Southern United W at 1.93.
  • Wellington United W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular National League Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 78%).
  • History favors Southern United W here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner

Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie

Über 0.5 Tore 92%
Über 1.5 Tore 82%
Über 2.5 Tore 78%
Über 3.5 Tore 69%
Über 4.5 Tore 31%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 74.6%
Wellington United W Ohne Gegentor 16%
Southern United W Ohne Gegentor 10%

Formanalyse der Teams

Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel

Metrik Wellington United W Southern United W
Spiele 28 28
Siege 13 13
Unentschieden 6 4
Niederlagen 9 11
Erzielte Tore 2.71 1.93
Gegentore 1.5 1.5
Erwartete Tore (xG) 3.25 1.50
Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten

5. Okt. 2025 National League Women
Wellington United W vs Southern United W
1:1
26. Okt. 2024 National League Women
Wellington United W vs Southern United W
1:2
13. Okt. 2023 National League Women
Wellington United W vs Southern United W
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum-Index

Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)

Wellington United W 84 / 100
Southern United W 10 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).

Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke

ANGRIFF ABWEHR BALLBESITZ DISZIPLIN
Wellington United W Southern United W

Vorhersage-Engine

Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte

Haupttipp Wellington United W Win (1)
Nebentipp Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS-Prognose Yes (GG)
Über/Unter Tipp Over 2.5

Smart Insights

Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster

Wellington United W scored in 89% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Southern United W conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Wellington United W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Tor-Trends

Wellington United W VS Southern United W
4.25 Erzielte Tore 1.88
1.13 Kassierte Tore 2.25
75% Über 1.5 88%
75% Über 2.5 63%
75% Über 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Wellington United W

(Home)
04 Oct
Wellington United W
0 : 1
Auckland United W
22 Nov
Wellington United W
1 : 0
Auckland United W
15 Nov
Central Football W
0 : 9
Wellington United W
07 Nov
Wellington United W
7 : 0
Petone W
01 Nov
Canterbury United W
1 : 8
Wellington United W
Page 1 of 6

Southern United W

(Away)
04 Oct
Southern United W
0 : 3
Fencibles W
26 Sept
Auckland United W
5 : 0
Southern United W
23 Nov
Southern United W
0 : 7
Western Springs W
15 Nov
Auckland United W
2 : 0
Southern United W
08 Nov
Southern United W
7 : 0
Central Football W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eastern Suburbs W 2 2 0 0 7:0 6
2 Auckland United W 2 2 0 0 6:0 6
3 Fencibles W 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
4 Waterside Karori W 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
5 Wellington Phoenix 2 W 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
6 Wellington United W 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
7 Canterbury United W 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
8 West Coast Rangers W 2 0 0 2 1:6 0
9 Southern United W 2 0 0 2 0:8 0
Promotion - National League Women (Play Offs)