Sport Tipps
Spielereignisse
25'
25'
Elder C.
48'
48'
Campbell G.
56'
56'
Weimann A.
Spielzusammenfassung
Derby in this EFL Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter
Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form
90%
6%
4%
Unentschieden-Quote: 6% Favorit: West Brom
Modell-Vertrauen
Gesamter Indikatorwert
95%
/ Sehr Hoch Vertrauen
- Form's been kind to Derby lately — more wins on the board than West Brom.
- Win probability leans West Brom's way, sitting at 90%.
- Derby arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Derby, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- Starke Defensiven sprechen für ein kontrolliertes, torarmes Spiel.
- History favors Derby here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner
Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie
Über 0.5 Tore 99%
Über 1.5 Tore 88%
Über 2.5 Tore 25%
Über 3.5 Tore 22%
Über 4.5 Tore 10%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 34.8%
West Brom Ohne Gegentor 68%
Derby Ohne Gegentor 10%
Formanalyse der Teams
Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel
| Metrik | West Brom | Derby |
|---|---|---|
| Spiele | 29 | 29 |
| Siege | 10 | 13 |
| Unentschieden | 10 | 2 |
| Niederlagen | 9 | 14 |
| Erzielte Tore | 1.41 | 1.48 |
| Gegentore | 1.17 | 1.34 |
| Erwartete Tore (xG) | 2.13 | 1.06 |
| Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten
23. Jan. 2026 Championship
Derby vs West Brom
1:1
13. Sept. 2025 Championship
West Brom vs Derby
0:1
12. Aug. 2025 EFL Cup
West Brom vs Derby
1:2
21. Apr. 2025 Championship
West Brom vs Derby
1:3
26. Dez. 2024 Championship
Derby vs West Brom
2:1
Schlüsselspieler-Analyse
Top-Akteure und erwartete Torbeteiligungen
West Brom Vergleich
Top-Torschütze Heggebo A.
1 Tore Durchschnitt xG / Spiel 1.64
Durchschnitt xA / Spiel 1.06
Derby Vergleich
Top-Torschütze Ward J.
1 Tore Durchschnitt xG / Spiel 0.96
Durchschnitt xA / Spiel 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum-Index
Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)
West Brom 95 / 100
Derby 10 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).
Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke
West Brom Derby
Vorhersage-Engine
Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte
Haupttipp West Brom Win (1)
Nebentipp Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS-Prognose No (NG)
Über/Unter Tipp Under 2.5
Smart Insights
Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster
West Brom went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
West Brom's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Derby let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Tor-Trends
West Brom VS Derby
2.63 Erzielte Tore 1.5
0.63 Kassierte Tore 1.63
88% Über 1.5 88%
75% Über 2.5 75%
38% Über 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
West Brom
(Home) 08 Aug
Rotherham
1 : 4 West Brom
01 Aug
Peterborough
0 : 2 West Brom
25 Jul
Shrewsbury
1 : 4 West Brom
17 Jul
West Brom
4 : 1 Bromley
11 Jul
Sheffield Wed
0 : 3 West Brom
Page 1 of 6
17 Jul
West Brom
4 : 1 Bromley
25 Apr
West Brom
0 : 0 Ipswich
21 Apr
West Brom
3 : 0 Watford
10 Apr
West Brom
0 : 0 Millwall
03 Apr
West Brom
2 : 2 Wrexham
Page 1 of 3
Derby
(Away) 08 Aug
Derby
1 : 2 Lincoln City
04 Aug
Rotherham
1 : 1 Derby
01 Aug
Burton
1 : 0 Derby
31 Jul
Mansfield
1 : 3 Derby
28 Jul
Derby
1 : 2 Valencia
Page 1 of 6
04 Aug
Rotherham
1 : 1 Derby
01 Aug
Burton
1 : 0 Derby
31 Jul
Mansfield
1 : 3 Derby
24 Jul
Freiburg
3 : 1 Derby
17 Jul
Alfreton
0 : 2 Derby
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Barrow 0
Preston 1
Wrexham 4
Hull City 3
Portsmouth 1
Reading 2
Gillingham 1
AFC Wimbledon 2
Burnley -
TBD -
West Brom 1
Derby 2
Cardiff 2
Swindon 1
Cheltenham 2
Exeter 0
Wolves -
TBD -
TBD -
West Ham -
Everton -
TBD -
Chesterfield 0
Mansfield 2
Tranmere 1
Burton 2
Harrogate 1
Lincoln City 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chelsea -
Birmingham 2
Sheffield Utd 1
Blackpool 0
Port Vale 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal -
Barnsley 3
Fleetwood Town 2
Salford 0
Rotherham 1
Oxford Utd 1
Colchester 0
TBD -
Brighton -
Liverpool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Watford 1
Norwich 2
Northampton 0
Southampton 1
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Newport 0
Millwall 1
Coventry 1
Luton 0
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stoke City 1
Walsall 0
Blackburn 1
Bradford City 2
Tottenham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Accrington 2
Peterborough 1
Middlesbrough 0
Doncaster 4
Wigan 1
Notts County 0
Stockport County 3
Crewe 1
Bromley 2
Ipswich 1
Leyton Orient 0
Wycombe 1
Fulham -
TBD -
Bristol City 2
Milton Keynes Dons 0
Bristol Rovers 0
Cambridge Utd 2
Charlton 3
Stevenage 1
Swansea 3
Crawley Town 1
Plymouth 3
QPR 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nottingham -
Sunderland -
TBD -
Huddersfield 3
Leicester 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Manchester City -
Bolton 3
Sheffield Wed 4
TBD -
Leeds -
Grimsby 3
Shrewsbury 1
TBD -
Manchester United -
Bournemouth -
TBD -
TBD -
Brentford -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/32-finals
Preston 2
Wrexham 3
Reading 2
AFC Wimbledon 1
Burnley 2
Derby 1
Cardiff 3
Cheltenham 0
Wolves 3
West Ham 2
Everton 2
Mansfield 0
Burton 0
Lincoln City 1
TBD -
Chelsea -
Birmingham 0
Port Vale 1
TBD -
Arsenal -
Barnsley 2
Rotherham 1
Oxford Utd 0
Brighton 6
Liverpool -
TBD -
Norwich 0
Southampton 3
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
Millwall 2
Coventry 1
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
Stoke City 0
Bradford City 3
Tottenham -
TBD -
Accrington 0
Doncaster 2
Wigan 1
Stockport County 0
Bromley 1
Wycombe 2
Fulham 2
Bristol City 0
Cambridge Utd 3
Charlton 1
Swansea 2
Plymouth 1
TBD -
Nottingham -
Sunderland 1
Huddersfield 2
TBD -
Manchester City -
Sheffield Wed 2
Leeds 1
Grimsby 3
Manchester United 2
Bournemouth 0
Brentford 2
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/16-finals
Wrexham 2
Reading 0
Burnley 1
Cardiff 2
Wolves 2
Everton 0
Lincoln City 1
Chelsea 2
Port Vale 0
Arsenal 2
Barnsley 0
Brighton 6
Liverpool 2
Southampton 1
Crystal Palace 2
Millwall 1
Newcastle Utd 4
Bradford City 1
Tottenham 3
Doncaster 0
Wigan 0
Wycombe 2
Fulham 1
Cambridge Utd 0
Swansea 3
Nottingham 2
Huddersfield 0
Manchester City 2
Sheffield Wed 0
Grimsby 1
Brentford 2
Aston Villa 1
1/8-finals
Wrexham 1
Cardiff 2
Wolves 3
Chelsea 4
Arsenal 2
Brighton 0
Liverpool 0
Crystal Palace 3
Newcastle Utd 2
Tottenham 0
Wycombe 1
Fulham 2
Swansea 1
Manchester City 3
Grimsby 0
Brentford 5
Quarter-finals
Cardiff 1
Chelsea 3
Arsenal 2
Crystal Palace 1
Newcastle Utd 2
Fulham 1
Manchester City 2
Brentford 0
Semi-finals
Chelsea 2
Arsenal 4
Newcastle Utd 1
Manchester City 5
Final
Arsenal 0
Manchester City 2
