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Zambia vs Burundi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations
Zambia Logo

Zambia

Mi., 11. Nov. 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Burundi Logo

Burundi

Unser Tipp
Zusammenfassung Siegchance Tore Form H2H Taktik Spieler Indizes Vorhersagen Spielverlauf Genauigkeit Vergleich

Spielzusammenfassung

A one-off knockout match in the Africa Cup of Nations. Little to choose between these two on current form. Burundi have shipped 1.24 goals a game lately, while Zambia have conceded 1.57 and scored 1.18. Head-to-head, Zambia have won 2 to Burundi's 0, with 3 draws. They last met on 18. Nov. 2025, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.88 vs 1.13, favoring Zambia. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter

Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form

4%
Zambia
6%
Unentschieden
90%
Burundi
Unentschieden-Quote: 6% Favorit: Burundi

Modell-Vertrauen

Gesamter Indikatorwert

95% / Sehr Hoch Vertrauen
  • Burundi haven't matched Zambia's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Burundi's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Zambia have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Zambia, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 78%).

Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner

Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie

Über 0.5 Tore 92%
Über 1.5 Tore 82%
Über 2.5 Tore 78%
Über 3.5 Tore 31.5%
Über 4.5 Tore 14%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 60.6%
Zambia Ohne Gegentor 20%
Burundi Ohne Gegentor 17%

Formanalyse der Teams

Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel

Metrik Zambia Burundi
Spiele 28 29
Siege 10 8
Unentschieden 4 5
Niederlagen 14 16
Erzielte Tore 1.18 1.03
Gegentore 1.57 1.24
Erwartete Tore (xG) 0.88 1.13
Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten

18. Nov. 2025 Friendly International
Burundi vs Zambia
0:0
8. Dez. 2013 CECAFA Championship
Zambia vs Burundi
1:0
1. Dez. 2013 CECAFA Championship
Zambia vs Burundi
1:0
30. Nov. 2010 CECAFA Championship
Zambia vs Burundi
0:0
4. Jan. 2009 Friendly International
Burundi vs Zambia
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum-Index

Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)

Zambia 10 / 100
Burundi 84 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).

Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke

ANGRIFF ABWEHR BALLBESITZ DISZIPLIN
Zambia Burundi

Vorhersage-Engine

Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte

Haupttipp Burundi Win (2)
Nebentipp Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS-Prognose Yes (GG)
Über/Unter Tipp Over 2.5

Smart Insights

Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster

Zambia scored in 61% of their last 28 games.

Burundi let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 0.80 goals.

Solid form: Zambia remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Tor-Trends

Zambia VS Burundi
0.63 Erzielte Tore 1
1.25 Kassierte Tore 1.13
50% Über 1.5 50%
25% Über 2.5 38%
25% Über 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Zambia

(Home)
29 Sept
Zambia
2 : 0
Togo
25 Sept
Algeria
3 : 1
Zambia
31 Mar
Argentina
5 : 0
Zambia
29 Dec
Zambia
0 : 3
Morocco
26 Dec
Zambia
0 : 0
Comoros
Page 1 of 6

Burundi

(Away)
29 Sept
Burundi
2 : 2
Algeria
25 Sept
Togo
1 : 0
Burundi
26 May
Morocco
5 : 0
Burundi
31 Mar
Burundi
4 : 0
Chad
27 Mar
Chad
0 : 4
Burundi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
2 Gabon 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
3 Niger 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
4 Lesotho 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Egypt 2 1 1 0 5:0 4
2 Angola 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
3 Malawi 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
4 South Sudan 2 0 0 2 1:7 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ivory Coast 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
2 Gambia 2 2 0 0 6:3 6
3 Somalia 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
4 Ghana 2 0 0 2 2:6 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Africa 2 2 0 0 7:1 6
2 Guinea 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
3 Eritrea 2 0 1 1 1:6 1
4 Kenya 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 D.R. Congo 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
2 Zimbabwe 2 1 0 1 4:4 3
3 Equatorial Guinea 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
4 Sierra Leone 2 0 0 2 2:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benin 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
2 Burkina Faso 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
3 Mauritania 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
4 Central Africa 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cameroon 2 1 1 0 4:2 4
2 Comoros 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
3 Namibia 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
4 Congo 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uganda 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
2 Botswana 2 0 2 0 4:4 2
3 Tunisia 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
4 Libya 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Algeria 2 1 1 0 5:3 4
2 Zambia 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
3 Togo 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
4 Burundi 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Senegal 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
2 Mozambique 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
3 Sudan 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
4 Ethiopia 2 0 0 2 0:2 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rwanda 2 2 0 0 5:2 6
2 Mali 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
3 Cape Verde 2 0 0 2 2:5 0
4 Liberia 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guinea Bissau 2 2 0 0 5:0 6
2 Nigeria 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
3 Tanzania 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
4 Madagascar 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)