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Afan Lido vs Penybont - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

FAW Welsh Cup
Min, 18 Okt 2026
VS
11.30 AM
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

A one-off knockout match in the FAW Welsh Cup. Little to choose between these two on current form. Penybont have shipped 1.17 goals a game lately, while Afan Lido have conceded 1.74 and scored 1.62. Head-to-head, Afan Lido have won 1 to Penybont's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on 21 Jun 2025, ending 7:0. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 1.94, favoring Penybont. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

18%
Afan Lido
22%
Seri
60%
Penybont
Proyeksi hasil seri: 22% Unggulan: Penybont

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

82% / Sangat Tinggi Keyakinan
  • Look at the last few games and Afan Lido come out ahead of Penybont on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Penybont's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Afan Lido have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Penybont, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 78%).

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 92%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 82%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 78%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 31.5%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 14%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 69.4%
Afan Lido Tanpa Kebobolan 10%
Penybont Tanpa Kebobolan 14%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Afan Lido Penybont
Main 34 29
Menang 15 14
Seri 3 5
Kalah 16 10
Gol Masuk 1.62 1.28
Gol Kemasukan 1.74 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.94
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

21 Jun 2025 Club Friendly
Penybont vs Afan Lido
7:0
23 Jul 2024 Club Friendly
Penybont vs Afan Lido
6:0
4 Agu 2023 League Cup
Penybont vs Afan Lido
1:2
12 Jan 2019 Division 1
Penybont vs Afan Lido
3:3
22 Sep 2018 Division 1
Afan Lido vs Penybont
1:2

Indeks Momentum SokaPicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Afan Lido 18 / 100
Penybont 57 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Afan Lido Penybont

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Penybont Win (2)
Pilihan Kedua Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Afan Lido scored in 71% of their last 34 games.

Penybont has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Afan Lido remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Tren Skor

Afan Lido VS Penybont
1.13 Gol Dicetak 2.13
1.75 Gol Kebobolan 1
50% Atas 1.5 75%
38% Atas 2.5 63%
25% Atas 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Afan Lido

(Home)
09 Oct
Afan Lido
5 : 5
Pure Swansea
02 Oct
Caerau Ely
2 : 0
Afan Lido
25 Sept
Afan Lido
0 : 0
Newport City
11 Sept
Pontypridd United
0 : 1
Afan Lido
04 Sept
Baglan Dragons
2 : 1
Afan Lido
Page 1 of 7

Penybont

(Away)
09 Oct
Penybont
3 : 1
Barry Town
03 Oct
Connahs Q.
1 : 0
Penybont
26 Sept
Penybont
2 : 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC
18 Sept
Ammanford Town
1 : 5
Penybont
15 Sept
Penybont
3 : 2
Briton Ferry
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
TNS -
Coedpoeth -
Guilsfield -
Llannefydd -
Llandudno FC -
Newtown -
Llanuwchllyn -
Bala -
Holyhead -
Connahs Q. -
Porthmadog -
Penycae FC -
Dolgellau Athletic -
Aberystwyth -
Prestatyn -
Flint Town -
Caernarfon -
Llay Welfare -
Holywell Town FC -
Buckley -
Colwyn Bay -
Brickfield Rangers -
Llangefni -
Denbigh -
Bangor 1876 -
Cefn Albion -
Felinheli -
Llysfaen -
Mochdre Sports -
Pontarddulais -
Goytre Utd -
Trefelin -
Llantwit Major -
Afan Lido -
Penybont -
Caerau Ely -
Llanelli -
Blaen-y-Maes -
Ely Rangers -
Radnor Valley -
Cardiff Draconians -
Barry Town -
Tredegar Town -
Cwmaman Institute -
Ammanford Town -
Llangennech -
Pontardawe -
Caerphilly -
Chepstow Town -
Evans Williams -
Rockspur -
Briton Ferry -
Afan United -
Llantwit Fardre -
Baglan Dragons -
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
Ynyshir Albions -
Cambrian United -
Trethomas Bluebirds -
Carmarthen Town -
Newport City -
Haverfordwest -
Cardiff Corries -
1/16-finals
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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