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Al Nassr vs Neftchi Fargona - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

AFC Champions League King Saud University Stadium, Riyadh
Sen, 12 Okt 2026
VS
06.15 PM
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

Al Nassr host Neftchi Fargona in the AFC Champions League. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Al Nassr at 2.43 goals for, 1.07 against; Neftchi Fargona at 2.14 for, 0.86 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (1.88 xG vs 1.56) point toward Neftchi Fargona. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

36%
Al Nassr
44%
Seri
20%
Neftchi Fargona
Proyeksi hasil seri: 44% Unggulan: Draw

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

71% / Sedang Keyakinan
  • Al Nassr have won more games recently than Neftchi Fargona.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this AFC Champions League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 78%).

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 92%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 82%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 78%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 44%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 20%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 69%
Al Nassr Tanpa Kebobolan 15%
Neftchi Fargona Tanpa Kebobolan 10%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Al Nassr Neftchi Fargona
Main 30 28
Menang 21 20
Seri 2 4
Kalah 7 4
Gol Masuk 2.43 2.14
Gol Kemasukan 1.07 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.56
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

Indeks Momentum SokaPicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Al Nassr 35 / 100
Neftchi Fargona 20 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Al Nassr Neftchi Fargona

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Neftchi Fargona Win (2)
Pilihan Kedua Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Al Nassr's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Al Nassr went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Neftchi Fargona conceded in 43% of 28 recent games.

Difficult form: Neftchi Fargona registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Tren Skor

Al Nassr VS Neftchi Fargona
2.13 Gol Dicetak 1.63
1.5 Gol Kebobolan 1.63
100% Atas 1.5 63%
88% Atas 2.5 63%
50% Atas 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Nassr

(Home)
09 Oct
Al Nassr
3 : 0
Al Diriyah
15 Sept
Al Ain
4 : 0
Al Nassr
12 Sept
Al Khaleej
1 : 1
Al Nassr
09 Sept
Al Nassr
2 : 1
Abha
05 Sept
Al Ittihad
2 : 1
Al Nassr
Page 1 of 6

Neftchi Fargona

(Away)
07 Oct
Neftchi Fargona
2 : 2
Xorazm Urganch
20 Sept
Lok. Tashkent
0 : 1
Neftchi Fargona
14 Sept
Neftchi Fargona
1 : 0
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
09 Sept
Neftchi Fargona
2 : 1
Termez Surkhon
04 Sept
Nasaf Qarshi
6 : 2
Neftchi Fargona
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kashima Antlers 1 1 0 0 7:1 3
2 Gamba Osaka 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
3 Shanghai Port 1 1 0 0 6:4 3
4 Beijing Guoan 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
5 Vissel Kobe 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
6 Jeonbuk 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
7 Daejeon 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
8 Buriram United F.C. 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
9 Johor DT 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
10 Kashiwa Reysol 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
11 Port MTI FC 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
12 Kyoto 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
13 Ratchaburi 1 0 0 1 4:6 0
14 Pohang 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
15 Cong An Ha Noi 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
16 Newcastle Jets 1 0 0 1 1:7 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ain 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
2 Esteghlal TEH 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
3 Al Hilal 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
4 Al Qadsiah 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
5 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
6 Neftchi Fargona 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
7 Pakhtakor 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
8 Al Ittihad 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
9 Al Ahli SC 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
10 Shamal 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
11 Al Gharafa 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
12 Al Wasl 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
13 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
14 Tractor 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
15 Al Sadd 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
16 Al Nassr 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)