Prediksi Olahraga

Stadium Background

Albion Rovers vs Auchinleck Talbot

Scotland Scotland

Scottish Cup 2024/2025
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

Auchinleck Talbot is highly favored to claim all three points on their visit to Albion Rovers, backed by a win probability of 57%. Albion Rovers averages 1.3 goals scored and 2.0 conceded in recent matches. Auchinleck Talbot shows a form average of 1.5 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 0 wins for Albion Rovers, 1 wins for Auchinleck Talbot, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 28.09.24 ended in a 1:2 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 0.69 for Albion Rovers and 1.94 for Auchinleck Talbot, suggesting the primary value lies in the Auchinleck Talbot double chance or over markets.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

28%
Albion Rovers
15%
Seri
57%
Auchinleck Talbot
Proyeksi hasil seri: 15% Unggulan: Auchinleck Talbot

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

83% / Tinggi Keyakinan
  • Albion Rovers mengumpulkan poin lebih banyak akhir-akhir ini dibanding Auchinleck Talbot.
  • Model memprediksi ancaman gol lebih tinggi bagi tuan rumah (0.69 vs 1.94 xG).
  • Riwayat pertemuan menunjukkan pola jelas menguntungkan tim tamu.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 61%).

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 90%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 82%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 61%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 37%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 18%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 45%
Albion Rovers Tanpa Kebobolan 10%
Auchinleck Talbot Tanpa Kebobolan 20%
Gol Babak Pertama 74%
Gol Babak Kedua 78%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Albion Rovers Auchinleck Talbot
Main 31 30
Menang 10 17
Seri 2 3
Kalah 19 10
Gol Masuk 1.32 1.5
Gol Kemasukan 2.03 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 2.00
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.88 1.00

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

28.09.24 Scottish Cup
Albion Rovers vs Auchinleck Talbot
1:2

Profil Taktis Pertandingan

Posisi Lapangan & Gaya Kontrol

Albion Rovers

Intensitas Tekanan Blok Sedang
Gaya Menyerang Serangan balik cepat
Frekuensi Umpan Sayap Membangun serangan dari tengah
Barisan Bertahan Garis pertahanan tinggi (Jebakan offside)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Auchinleck Talbot

Intensitas Tekanan Pressing ketat (PPDA < 9.5)
Gaya Menyerang Menguasai bola
Frekuensi Umpan Sayap Banyak umpan silang
Barisan Bertahan Garis pertahanan tinggi (Jebakan offside)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Indeks Momentum Sokapicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Albion Rovers 27 / 100
Auchinleck Talbot 55 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Albion Rovers Auchinleck Talbot

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Auchinleck Talbot Win (2)
Pilihan Kedua Auchinleck Talbot & Over 2.5
Hasil Babak Pertama Draw (HT)
Prediksi BTTS No (NG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Detetor Taruhan Value (+EV)

Pasaran di mana peluang model melebihi margin bandar

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +40%
5.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.82
*EV represents Nilai Harapan. Nilai positif menunjukkan bandar menawarkan harga di bawah kemungkinan statistik riil.

Perkiraan Alur Pertandingan

Proyeksi dominasi dan serangan dalam selang 15 menit

0' - 15' Indeks Dominasi

Auchinleck Talbot will likely look to assert dominance early, testing the hosts' defensive structure.

Albion Rovers 31%
Auchinleck Talbot 46%
15' - 30' Indeks Dominasi

Albion Rovers will look to tighten their defensive lines to neutralize Auchinleck Talbot's early runs.

Albion Rovers 27%
Auchinleck Talbot 60%
30' - 45' Indeks Dominasi

Expect Auchinleck Talbot to mount counter-attacks, exploiting gaps as Albion Rovers tries to push forward.

Albion Rovers 28%
Auchinleck Talbot 57%
45' - 60' Indeks Dominasi

Tactical adjustments will see Auchinleck Talbot increase their pressing intensity in the opposition half.

Albion Rovers 29%
Auchinleck Talbot 54%
60' - 75' Indeks Dominasi

Fatigue may set in for Albion Rovers's defense, opening up opportunities for Auchinleck Talbot's forward line.

Albion Rovers 25%
Auchinleck Talbot 63%
75' - 90' Indeks Dominasi

Expect Auchinleck Talbot to manage the closing stages, while Albion Rovers searches for late drama.

Albion Rovers 32%
Auchinleck Talbot 66%

Peta Area Serangan & Tembakan

Tampilan panas dinamis yang dihitung dari zona serangan

Albion Rovers menyerang → ← menyerang Auchinleck Talbot

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Albion Rovers have found the net in 65% of their last 31 matches.

Auchinleck Talbot have conceded at least one goal in 70% of their last 30 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 3.00 goals per match.

Albion Rovers remained undefeated in 4 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Auchinleck Talbot suffered defeat in 2 of their last 5 overall games.

Analisis Risiko

Menilai gangguan potensial dan variabel luar

Tingkat Risiko: Rendah
Faktor Risiko

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Faktor Risiko

Knockout cup fixture where progress is the sole objective; expect high motivation and potential extra time drama.

Faktor Risiko

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Kontrol Komparasi Tim

Perbandingan metrik tim berdampingan

32 Poin di 5 laga terakhir 54
0.38 Expected goals (xG) 2.00
1.88 Expected goals kemasukan (xGA) 1.00