Prediksi Olahraga

Stadium Background

Alcobendas vs Atletico Pinto

World World

Club Friendly 2019
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

This Club Friendly 2019 encounter between Alcobendas and Atletico Pinto promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Alcobendas averages 1.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded in recent matches. Atletico Pinto shows a form average of 1.1 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 1 wins for Alcobendas, 3 wins for Atletico Pinto, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 19.01.20 ended in a 2:1 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.04 for Alcobendas and 1.11 for Atletico Pinto, suggesting the primary value lies in the Atletico Pinto double chance or over markets.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

36%
Alcobendas
20%
Seri
44%
Atletico Pinto
Proyeksi hasil seri: 20% Unggulan: Atletico Pinto

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

72% / Sedang Keyakinan
  • Alcobendas mengumpulkan poin lebih banyak akhir-akhir ini dibanding Atletico Pinto.
  • Model memprediksi ancaman gol lebih tinggi bagi tuan rumah (1.04 vs 1.11 xG).
  • Riwayat pertemuan menunjukkan pola jelas menguntungkan tim tamu.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 57%).

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 92%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 71%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 57%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 34%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 17%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 52%
Alcobendas Tanpa Kebobolan 21%
Atletico Pinto Tanpa Kebobolan 14%
Gol Babak Pertama 64%
Gol Babak Kedua 67%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Alcobendas Atletico Pinto
Main 20 31
Menang 7 13
Seri 4 6
Kalah 9 12
Gol Masuk 1.55 1.13
Gol Kemasukan 1.6 1.32

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

19.01.20 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Alcobendas vs Atletico Pinto
2:1
01.09.19 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Atletico Pinto vs Alcobendas
0:0
12.08.19 Club Friendly
Alcobendas vs Atletico Pinto
0:3
05.05.19 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Atletico Pinto vs Alcobendas
3:0
16.12.18 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Alcobendas vs Atletico Pinto
0:1

Profil Taktis Pertandingan

Posisi Lapangan & Gaya Kontrol

Alcobendas

Intensitas Tekanan Blok Sedang
Gaya Menyerang Serangan balik cepat
Frekuensi Umpan Sayap Banyak umpan silang
Barisan Bertahan Garis pertahanan tinggi (Jebakan offside)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Atletico Pinto

Intensitas Tekanan Blok Sedang
Gaya Menyerang Serangan balik cepat
Frekuensi Umpan Sayap Membangun serangan dari tengah
Barisan Bertahan Garis pertahanan tinggi (Jebakan offside)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Indeks Momentum Sokapicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Alcobendas 37 / 100
Atletico Pinto 42 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Alcobendas Atletico Pinto

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Double Chance: Atletico Pinto or Draw (X2)
Pilihan Kedua Under 3.5 Goals
Hasil Babak Pertama Draw (HT)
Prediksi BTTS No (NG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Detetor Taruhan Value (+EV)

Pasaran di mana peluang model melebihi margin bandar

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +28.5%
3.57
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.7%
1.96
*EV represents Nilai Harapan. Nilai positif menunjukkan bandar menawarkan harga di bawah kemungkinan statistik riil.

Perkiraan Alur Pertandingan

Proyeksi dominasi dan serangan dalam selang 15 menit

0' - 15' Indeks Dominasi

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

Alcobendas 40%
Atletico Pinto 35%
15' - 30' Indeks Dominasi

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

Alcobendas 34%
Atletico Pinto 46%
30' - 45' Indeks Dominasi

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

Alcobendas 36%
Atletico Pinto 44%
45' - 60' Indeks Dominasi

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

Alcobendas 38%
Atletico Pinto 42%
60' - 75' Indeks Dominasi

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

Alcobendas 32%
Atletico Pinto 48%
75' - 90' Indeks Dominasi

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

Alcobendas 41%
Atletico Pinto 51%

Peta Area Serangan & Tembakan

Tampilan panas dinamis yang dihitung dari zona serangan

Alcobendas menyerang → ← menyerang Atletico Pinto

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Alcobendas have found the net in 70% of their last 20 matches.

Atletico Pinto have conceded at least one goal in 68% of their last 31 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 2.00 goals per match.

Alcobendas remained undefeated in 5 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Atletico Pinto suffered defeat in 2 of their last 5 overall games.

Analisis Risiko

Menilai gangguan potensial dan variabel luar

Tingkat Risiko: Sedang
Faktor Risiko

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Faktor Risiko

Friendly match context where both Alcobendas and Atletico Pinto will focus on tactical prep rather than league table pressure.

Faktor Risiko

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Kontrol Komparasi Tim

Perbandingan metrik tim berdampingan

25 Poin di 5 laga terakhir 45
0.00 Expected goals (xG) 1.13
0.00 Expected goals kemasukan (xGA) 0.88