Prediksi Olahraga

Stadium Background

Alfreton vs Chesterfield

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

This Club Friendly 2025 encounter between Alfreton and Chesterfield promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Alfreton averages 1.2 goals scored and 1.7 conceded in recent matches. Chesterfield shows a form average of 1.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 1 wins for Alfreton, 2 wins for Chesterfield, and 2 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 19.07.25 ended in a 1:1 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 0.88 for Alfreton and 1.44 for Chesterfield, suggesting the primary value lies in the Chesterfield double chance or over markets.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

27%
Alfreton
34%
Seri
39%
Chesterfield
Proyeksi hasil seri: 34% Unggulan: Chesterfield

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

74% / Sedang Keyakinan
  • Alfreton mengumpulkan poin lebih banyak akhir-akhir ini dibanding Chesterfield.
  • Model memprediksi ancaman gol lebih tinggi bagi tuan rumah (0.88 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Riwayat pertemuan menunjukkan pola jelas menguntungkan tim tamu.
  • Pertahanan kokoh memprediksi laga ketat dengan skor tipis.

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 91%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 75%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 49%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 29%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 15%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 62%
Alfreton Tanpa Kebobolan 16%
Chesterfield Tanpa Kebobolan 17%
Gol Babak Pertama 68%
Gol Babak Kedua 71%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Alfreton Chesterfield
Main 29 31
Menang 8 14
Seri 9 10
Kalah 12 7
Gol Masuk 1.24 1.32
Gol Kemasukan 1.66 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.50 0.50

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

19.07.25 Club Friendly
Alfreton vs Chesterfield
1:1
16.07.24 Club Friendly
Alfreton vs Chesterfield
1:2
08.07.23 Club Friendly
Alfreton vs Chesterfield
1:5
19.07.22 Club Friendly
Alfreton vs Chesterfield
0:0
17.07.21 Club Friendly
Alfreton vs Chesterfield
3:2

Profil Taktis Pertandingan

Posisi Lapangan & Gaya Kontrol

Alfreton

Intensitas Tekanan Blok Sedang
Gaya Menyerang Serangan balik cepat
Frekuensi Umpan Sayap Membangun serangan dari tengah
Barisan Bertahan Garis pertahanan tinggi (Jebakan offside)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Chesterfield

Intensitas Tekanan Blok Sedang
Gaya Menyerang Serangan balik cepat
Frekuensi Umpan Sayap Banyak umpan silang
Barisan Bertahan Bertahan dalam
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Analisis Pemain Kunci Laga

Kontributor gol terbaik di lapangan

Alfreton Bandingkan

Pencetak Gol Terbanyak Fewster B.
1 Gol
Pengumpan Terbanyak N/A
0 Ast
Rata-rata xG / laga 0.96
Rata-rata xA / laga 0.63

Chesterfield Bandingkan

Pencetak Gol Terbanyak Dunkley C.
1 Gol
Pengumpan Terbanyak N/A
0 Ast
Rata-rata xG / laga 1.25
Rata-rata xA / laga 0.77

Peringatan Pemain Absen

No availability alerts or suspensions reported for this fixture.

Indeks Momentum Sokapicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Alfreton 28 / 100
Chesterfield 39 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Alfreton Chesterfield

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Double Chance: Chesterfield or Draw (X2)
Pilihan Kedua Under 3.5 Goals
Hasil Babak Pertama Draw (HT)
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Under 2.5

Detetor Taruhan Value (+EV)

Pasaran di mana peluang model melebihi margin bandar

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +42%
5.26
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.33
*EV represents Nilai Harapan. Nilai positif menunjukkan bandar menawarkan harga di bawah kemungkinan statistik riil.

Perkiraan Alur Pertandingan

Proyeksi dominasi dan serangan dalam selang 15 menit

0' - 15' Indeks Dominasi

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

Alfreton 30%
Chesterfield 31%
15' - 30' Indeks Dominasi

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

Alfreton 26%
Chesterfield 41%
30' - 45' Indeks Dominasi

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

Alfreton 27%
Chesterfield 39%
45' - 60' Indeks Dominasi

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

Alfreton 28%
Chesterfield 37%
60' - 75' Indeks Dominasi

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

Alfreton 24%
Chesterfield 43%
75' - 90' Indeks Dominasi

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

Alfreton 31%
Chesterfield 45%

Peta Area Serangan & Tembakan

Tampilan panas dinamis yang dihitung dari zona serangan

Alfreton menyerang → ← menyerang Chesterfield

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Alfreton have found the net in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Chesterfield have conceded at least one goal in 65% of their last 31 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 3.20 goals per match.

Alfreton remained undefeated in 5 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Chesterfield suffered defeat in 1 of their last 5 overall games.

Analisis Risiko

Menilai gangguan potensial dan variabel luar

Tingkat Risiko: Sedang
Faktor Risiko

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Faktor Risiko

Friendly match context where both Alfreton and Chesterfield will focus on tactical prep rather than league table pressure.

Faktor Risiko

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Kontrol Komparasi Tim

Perbandingan metrik tim berdampingan

33 Poin di 5 laga terakhir 52
1.25 Expected goals (xG) 1.38
1.50 Expected goals kemasukan (xGA) 0.50