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Alianza vs Once Caldas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Copa Colombia Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau, Valledupar
Jum, 14 Agu 2026
VS
12.00 AM
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

The first leg ended 1-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Alianza at 1.04 goals for, 1.36 against; Once Caldas at 1.44 for, 1.11 against. Past meetings favor Alianza slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 10 Sep 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.19 xG vs 1.13) point toward Once Caldas. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

22%
Alianza
28%
Seri
50%
Once Caldas
Proyeksi hasil seri: 28% Unggulan: Once Caldas

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

76% / Tinggi Keyakinan
  • Once Caldas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Once Caldas are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Once Caldas arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 78%).

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 92%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 82%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 78%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 25.5%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 11%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 71.8%
Alianza Tanpa Kebobolan 20%
Once Caldas Tanpa Kebobolan 12%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Alianza Once Caldas
Main 28 27
Menang 9 11
Seri 7 9
Kalah 12 7
Gol Masuk 1.04 1.44
Gol Kemasukan 1.36 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.13
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

10 Sep 2026 Copa Colombia
Once Caldas vs Alianza
1:0
14 Agu 2026 Copa Colombia
Alianza vs Once Caldas
0:0
8 Feb 2026 Primera A
Alianza vs Once Caldas
1:1
15 Agu 2025 Primera A
Alianza vs Once Caldas
0:0
2 Mar 2025 Primera A
Once Caldas vs Alianza
1:2

Indeks Momentum SokaPicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Alianza 24 / 100
Once Caldas 47 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Alianza Once Caldas

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Once Caldas Win (2)
Pilihan Kedua Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Alianza's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Once Caldas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 27 matches.

Solid form: Alianza remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Tren Skor

Alianza VS Once Caldas
1.25 Gol Dicetak 0.75
1.5 Gol Kebobolan 1.13
63% Atas 1.5 50%
63% Atas 2.5 25%
38% Atas 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Alianza

(Home)
20 Oct
Dep. Pasto
0 : 1
Alianza
09 Oct
Alianza
2 : 2
Aguilas Doradas
03 Oct
Dep. Cali
3 : 1
Alianza
27 Sept
Jaguares de Cordoba
1 : 2
Alianza
19 Sept
Alianza
1 : 4
Santa Fe
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Once Caldas

(Away)
18 Oct
Ind. Medellin
0 : 2
Once Caldas
10 Oct
Once Caldas
1 : 0
Llaneros
04 Oct
Inter Bogotá
1 : 1
Once Caldas
26 Sept
Once Caldas
1 : 3
Bucaramanga
20 Sept
Dep. Pasto
1 : 0
Once Caldas
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Inter Bogotá 2
Real Cundinamarca 1
Quindio 1
Llaneros 2
Barranquilla 2
Millonarios 1
America De Cali 4
Dep. Pereira 1
Atl. Nacional 3
Dep. Cali 0
Dep. Pasto 1
Ind. Medellin 4
Santa Fe 3
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. 2
Once Caldas 1
Alianza 0
Quarter-finals
Inter Bogotá 4
Llaneros 1
Barranquilla -
America De Cali -
Atl. Nacional 3
Ind. Medellin 2
Santa Fe -
Once Caldas -
Semi-finals
Inter Bogotá -
TBD -
Atl. Nacional -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -