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Anadia vs Aguias do Moradal

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2017/2018
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

This Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2017/2018 encounter between Anadia and Aguias do Moradal promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Anadia averages 1.1 goals scored and 1.4 conceded in recent matches. Aguias do Moradal shows a form average of 0.8 goals scored and 2.1 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 1 wins for Anadia, 1 wins for Aguias do Moradal, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 11.03.18 ended in a 4:3 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.23 for Anadia and 1.19 for Aguias do Moradal, suggesting the primary value lies in the Anadia double chance or over markets.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

52%
Anadia
20%
Seri
28%
Aguias do Moradal
Proyeksi hasil seri: 20% Unggulan: Anadia

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

80% / Tinggi Keyakinan
  • Anadia mengumpulkan poin lebih banyak akhir-akhir ini dibanding Aguias do Moradal.
  • Model memprediksi ancaman gol lebih tinggi bagi tuan rumah (1.23 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Riwayat pertemuan menunjukkan pola jelas menguntungkan tuan rumah.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 56%).

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 92%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 70%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 56%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 34%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 17%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 49%
Anadia Tanpa Kebobolan 20%
Aguias do Moradal Tanpa Kebobolan 12%
Gol Babak Pertama 63%
Gol Babak Kedua 67%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Anadia Aguias do Moradal
Main 31 30
Menang 10 6
Seri 9 3
Kalah 12 21
Gol Masuk 1.13 0.83
Gol Kemasukan 1.42 2.13

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

11.03.18 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Anadia vs Aguias do Moradal
4:3
05.11.17 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Aguias do Moradal vs Anadia
2:1

Profil Taktis Pertandingan

Posisi Lapangan & Gaya Kontrol

Anadia

Intensitas Tekanan Blok Sedang
Gaya Menyerang Serangan balik cepat
Frekuensi Umpan Sayap Membangun serangan dari tengah
Barisan Bertahan Garis pertahanan tinggi (Jebakan offside)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Aguias do Moradal

Intensitas Tekanan Blok Sedang
Gaya Menyerang Serangan balik cepat
Frekuensi Umpan Sayap Membangun serangan dari tengah
Barisan Bertahan Garis pertahanan tinggi (Jebakan offside)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Indeks Momentum Sokapicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Anadia 51 / 100
Aguias do Moradal 28 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Anadia Aguias do Moradal

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Double Chance: Anadia or Draw (1X)
Pilihan Kedua Under 3.5 Goals
Hasil Babak Pertama Home Win (HT)
Prediksi BTTS No (NG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Detetor Taruhan Value (+EV)

Pasaran di mana peluang model melebihi margin bandar

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +18%
2.27
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12%
2.00
*EV represents Nilai Harapan. Nilai positif menunjukkan bandar menawarkan harga di bawah kemungkinan statistik riil.

Perkiraan Alur Pertandingan

Proyeksi dominasi dan serangan dalam selang 15 menit

0' - 15' Indeks Dominasi

Anadia is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.

Anadia 57%
Aguias do Moradal 22%
15' - 30' Indeks Dominasi

Aguias do Moradal will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of Anadia's attacks.

Anadia 49%
Aguias do Moradal 29%
30' - 45' Indeks Dominasi

Expect Anadia to create chances through sustained possession before the break.

Anadia 52%
Aguias do Moradal 28%
45' - 60' Indeks Dominasi

Tactical adjustments at half-time will see Anadia vary their attacking width.

Anadia 55%
Aguias do Moradal 27%
60' - 75' Indeks Dominasi

Fatigue may set in for Aguias do Moradal, allowing Anadia's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.

Anadia 47%
Aguias do Moradal 31%
75' - 90' Indeks Dominasi

Expect a final offensive push from Anadia, while Aguias do Moradal takes risks to salvage a result.

Anadia 60%
Aguias do Moradal 32%

Peta Area Serangan & Tembakan

Tampilan panas dinamis yang dihitung dari zona serangan

Anadia menyerang → ← menyerang Aguias do Moradal

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Anadia have found the net in 65% of their last 31 matches.

Aguias do Moradal have conceded at least one goal in 90% of their last 30 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 5.00 goals per match.

Anadia remained undefeated in 4 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Aguias do Moradal suffered defeat in 3 of their last 5 overall games.

Analisis Risiko

Menilai gangguan potensial dan variabel luar

Tingkat Risiko: Sedang
Faktor Risiko

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Faktor Risiko

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Faktor Risiko

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Kontrol Komparasi Tim

Perbandingan metrik tim berdampingan

39 Poin di 5 laga terakhir 21
1.25 Expected goals (xG) 0.00
1.38 Expected goals kemasukan (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Leiria30234368:2173
2Lusitano FCV30205547:1965
3SB Castelo Branco30178548:2359
4Sertanense30158751:2253
5Agueda30147939:3249
6Gafanha30139836:2348
7Anadia301210839:2846
8Maritimo B301431344:3045
9Nogueirense301191037:3842
10Oleiros301261235:3642
11Marinhense301181143:4141
12Mortagua FC301131623:4036
13Ferreira de Aves30921934:6929
14Aguias do Moradal30561929:5421
15GD Sourense30381928:5717
16Fornos de Algodres30042615:834