Prediksi Olahraga

Spanyol

Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025

Castro

Tips Kami

Ringkasan Peluang Gol Performa H2H Taktik Pemain Indeks Prediksi Aliran Laga Heatmap Risiko Akurasi Bandingkan

Ringkasan Pertandingan

This Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025 encounter between Atletico Mineros and Castro promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Atletico Mineros averages 1.0 goals scored and 1.7 conceded in recent matches. Castro shows a form average of 1.1 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 0 wins for Atletico Mineros, 3 wins for Castro, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 05.04.25 ended in a 0:2 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.60 for Atletico Mineros and 1.30 for Castro, suggesting the primary value lies in the Castro double chance or over markets.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

33%

Atletico Mineros

22%

Seri

45%

Castro

Proyeksi hasil seri: 22% Unggulan: Castro

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

74% / Sedang Keyakinan

Atletico Mineros mengumpulkan poin lebih banyak akhir-akhir ini dibanding Castro.
Model memprediksi ancaman gol lebih tinggi bagi tuan rumah (1.60 vs 1.30 xG).
Riwayat pertemuan menunjukkan pola jelas menguntungkan tim tamu.
Pertahanan kokoh memprediksi laga ketat dengan skor tipis.

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 91%

Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 76%

Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 42%

Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 25%

Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 13%

Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 42%

Atletico Mineros Tanpa Kebobolan 19%

Castro Tanpa Kebobolan 10%

Gol Babak Pertama 68%

Gol Babak Kedua 72%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik	Atletico Mineros	Castro
Main	30	32
Menang	8	11
Seri	7	6
Kalah	15	15
Gol Masuk	0.97	1.13
Gol Kemasukan	1.7	1.31

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

05.04.25 Tercera RFEF - Group 3

Atletico Mineros vs Castro

Penguasaan: 53% - 47% Kartu: 3 - 3

0:2

24.11.24 Tercera RFEF - Group 3

Castro vs Atletico Mineros

Penguasaan: 48% - 45% Kartu: 3 - 0

2:0

05.05.24 Tercera RFEF - Group 3

Atletico Mineros vs Castro

Penguasaan: 49% - 42% Kartu: 3 - 2

1:1

14.01.24 Tercera RFEF - Group 3

Castro vs Atletico Mineros

Penguasaan: 50% - 51% Kartu: 4 - 2

2:0

Profil Taktis Pertandingan

Posisi Lapangan & Gaya Kontrol

Atletico Mineros

Intensitas Tekanan Blok Sedang

Gaya Menyerang Serangan balik cepat

Frekuensi Umpan Sayap Membangun serangan dari tengah

Barisan Bertahan Garis pertahanan tinggi (Jebakan offside)

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Castro

Intensitas Tekanan Pressing ketat (PPDA < 9.5)

Gaya Menyerang Menguasai bola

Frekuensi Umpan Sayap Membangun serangan dari tengah

Barisan Bertahan Garis pertahanan tinggi (Jebakan offside)

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Analisis Pemain Kunci Laga

Kontributor gol terbaik di lapangan

Atletico Mineros Bandingkan

Pencetak Gol Terbanyak N/A

0 Gol

Pengumpan Terbanyak N/A

0 Ast

Rata-rata xG / laga 0

Rata-rata xA / laga 0

Castro Bandingkan

Pencetak Gol Terbanyak Iglesias I.

1 Gol

Pengumpan Terbanyak Fernandez D.

1 Ast

Rata-rata xG / laga 1.36

Rata-rata xA / laga 0.83

Peringatan Pemain Absen

No availability alerts or suspensions reported for this fixture.

Indeks Momentum Sokapicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Atletico Mineros 34 / 100

Castro 43 / 100

Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

Atletico Mineros Castro

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Double Chance: Castro or Draw (X2)

Pilihan Kedua Under 3.5 Goals

Hasil Babak Pertama Draw (HT)

Prediksi BTTS No (NG)

Pasaran Over/Under Under 2.5

Detetor Taruhan Value (+EV)

Pasaran di mana peluang model melebihi margin bandar

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +32%

4.00

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +16.8%

2.78

*EV represents Nilai Harapan. Nilai positif menunjukkan bandar menawarkan harga di bawah kemungkinan statistik riil.

Perkiraan Alur Pertandingan

Proyeksi dominasi dan serangan dalam selang 15 menit

0' - 15' Indeks Dominasi

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

Atletico Mineros 36%

Castro 36%

15' - 30' Indeks Dominasi

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

Atletico Mineros 31%

Castro 47%

30' - 45' Indeks Dominasi

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

Atletico Mineros 33%

Castro 45%

45' - 60' Indeks Dominasi

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

Atletico Mineros 35%

Castro 43%

60' - 75' Indeks Dominasi

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

Atletico Mineros 30%

Castro 50%

75' - 90' Indeks Dominasi

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

Atletico Mineros 38%

Castro 52%

Peta Area Serangan & Tembakan

Tampilan panas dinamis yang dihitung dari zona serangan

Atletico Mineros menyerang → ← menyerang Castro

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Atletico Mineros have found the net in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Castro have conceded at least one goal in 72% of their last 32 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 2.00 goals per match.

Atletico Mineros remained undefeated in 3 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Castro suffered defeat in 4 of their last 5 overall games.

Analisis Risiko

Menilai gangguan potensial dan variabel luar

Tingkat Risiko: Sedang

Faktor Risiko

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Faktor Risiko

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Faktor Risiko

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Kontrol Komparasi Tim

Perbandingan metrik tim berdampingan

31 Poin di 5 laga terakhir 39

0.00 Expected goals (xG) 1.50

0.00 Expected goals kemasukan (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	UD Samano	34	20	10	4	52:22	70
2	CD Tropezon	34	20	7	7	58:30	67
3	Atletico Albericia	34	19	7	8	64:39	64
4	Cayon CD	34	19	5	10	61:41	62
5	Castro	34	16	11	7	45:26	59
6	Vimenor	34	17	6	11	63:42	57
7	Bezana	34	15	9	10	46:41	54
8	Torina	34	14	8	12	49:44	50
9	CD Barquereno	34	13	10	11	60:59	49
10	Guarnizo	34	11	15	8	44:37	48
11	SD Revilla	34	12	6	16	46:53	42
12	CD Colindres	34	9	9	16	36:53	36
13	Gama	34	9	9	16	34:56	36
14	Atletico Mineros	34	9	8	17	33:58	35
15	Barreda Balompie	34	8	10	16	49:65	34
16	Naval Reinosa	34	9	6	19	40:59	33
17	CD Siete Villas	34	7	7	20	29:53	28
18	CD Monte	34	5	5	24	33:64	20