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Baglan Dragons vs Aberystwyth - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru South
Sab, 24 Okt 2026
VS
01.30 PM
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

Baglan Dragons host Aberystwyth in the Cymru South. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Aberystwyth have shipped 1.29 goals a game lately, while Baglan Dragons have conceded 1.81 and scored 0.77. Head-to-head, Baglan Dragons have won 0 to Aberystwyth's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on 7 Feb 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (0.88 - 1.63) back Aberystwyth to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

36%
Baglan Dragons
44%
Seri
20%
Aberystwyth
Proyeksi hasil seri: 44% Unggulan: Draw

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

71% / Sedang Keyakinan
  • Aberystwyth carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Cymru South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 78%).

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 92%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 82%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 78%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 31.5%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 14%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 68.6%
Baglan Dragons Tanpa Kebobolan 14%
Aberystwyth Tanpa Kebobolan 17%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Baglan Dragons Aberystwyth
Main 31 28
Menang 8 13
Seri 6 4
Kalah 17 11
Gol Masuk 0.77 1.54
Gol Kemasukan 1.81 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

7 Feb 2026 Cymru South
Baglan Dragons vs Aberystwyth
0:1
9 Agu 2025 Cymru South
Aberystwyth vs Baglan Dragons
2:1

Indeks Momentum SokaPicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Baglan Dragons 35 / 100
Aberystwyth 21 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Baglan Dragons Aberystwyth

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Aberystwyth Win (2)
Pilihan Kedua Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Defensive concern: Aberystwyth conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Baglan Dragons stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Baglan Dragons's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Tren Skor

Baglan Dragons VS Aberystwyth
1.13 Gol Dicetak 2
1.25 Gol Kebobolan 0.63
63% Atas 1.5 50%
63% Atas 2.5 50%
13% Atas 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Baglan Dragons

(Home)
10 Oct
Baglan Dragons
1 : 1
Pontypridd United
02 Oct
Llanelli
1 : 2
Baglan Dragons
25 Sept
Baglan Dragons
1 : 2
Carmarthen Town
12 Sept
Cardiff Draconians
2 : 1
Baglan Dragons
04 Sept
Baglan Dragons
2 : 1
Afan Lido
Page 1 of 7

Aberystwyth

(Away)
10 Oct
Aberystwyth
0 : 1
Caerau Ely
03 Oct
Pontypridd United
1 : 3
Aberystwyth
25 Sept
Aberystwyth
0 : 0
Pure Swansea
12 Sept
Caerphilly
2 : 3
Aberystwyth
31 Aug
Aberystwyth
4 : 0
Llanelli
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pure Swansea 9 6 3 0 30:11 21
2 Pontypridd United 10 6 2 2 24:17 20
3 Aberystwyth 9 6 1 2 22:9 19
4 Caerau Ely 10 6 1 3 22:18 19
5 Baglan Dragons 11 5 2 4 12:12 17
6 Ynyshir Albions 9 4 4 1 15:9 16
7 Carmarthen Town 10 4 3 3 22:21 15
8 Trethomas Bluebirds 10 3 4 3 20:18 13
9 Treowen 10 4 1 5 19:21 13
10 Afan Lido 11 3 3 5 18:22 12
11 Caerphilly 10 3 2 5 12:19 11
12 Pontardawe 9 3 1 5 15:17 10
13 Cardiff Draconians 8 2 3 3 11:14 9
14 Newport City 8 2 2 4 12:9 8
15 Llantwit Major 9 2 2 5 8:21 8
16 Llanelli 11 0 2 9 9:33 2
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)