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Bala vs Holyhead - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

FAW Welsh Cup Maes Tegid, Bala
Sab, 17 Okt 2026
VS
01.00 PM
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

The first leg ended 1-3. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Holyhead have shipped 1.41 goals a game lately, while Bala have conceded 1.67 and scored 1.53. Head-to-head, Bala have won 1 to Holyhead's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on 6 Feb 2016, ending 1:3. The numbers (2.00 xG vs 1.38) point toward Holyhead. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

42%
Bala
20%
Seri
38%
Holyhead
Proyeksi hasil seri: 20% Unggulan: Bala

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

67% / Sedang Keyakinan
  • Holyhead carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Bala's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Holyhead arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Holyhead, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 78%).

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 92%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 82%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 78%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 70%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 32%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 72.6%
Bala Tanpa Kebobolan 17%
Holyhead Tanpa Kebobolan 10%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Bala Holyhead
Main 30 32
Menang 10 14
Seri 5 4
Kalah 15 14
Gol Masuk 1.53 1.59
Gol Kemasukan 1.67 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.38
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

6 Feb 2016 FAW Welsh Cup
Holyhead vs Bala
1:3
25 Apr 2009 Cymru Alliance
Bala vs Holyhead
1:4
23 Agu 2008 Cymru Alliance
Holyhead vs Bala
2:2

Indeks Momentum SokaPicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Bala 41 / 100
Holyhead 36 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Bala Holyhead

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Draw (X)
Pilihan Kedua Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Games between these two average 4.33 goals.

Attacking prowess: Bala scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Holyhead's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 32 matches.

Holyhead's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Tren Skor

Bala VS Holyhead
1.88 Gol Dicetak 1.13
1.63 Gol Kebobolan 2.13
75% Atas 1.5 75%
75% Atas 2.5 63%
38% Atas 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bala

(Home)
09 Oct
Bala
2 : 3
Buckley
03 Oct
Caersws FC
3 : 3
Bala
26 Sept
Bala
2 : 4
Mold Alexandra
15 Sept
Penrhyncoch
0 : 1
Bala
11 Sept
Denbigh
5 : 2
Bala
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Holyhead

(Away)
02 Oct
Denbigh
2 : 4
Holyhead
26 Sept
Holyhead
0 : 2
Guilsfield
12 Sept
Holyhead
0 : 1
Newtown
05 Sept
Llanuwchllyn
4 : 0
Holyhead
31 Aug
Holyhead
2 : 2
Porthmadog
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
TNS -
Coedpoeth -
Guilsfield -
Llannefydd -
Llandudno FC -
Newtown -
Llanuwchllyn -
Bala -
Holyhead -
Connahs Q. -
Porthmadog -
Penycae FC -
Dolgellau Athletic -
Aberystwyth -
Prestatyn -
Flint Town -
Caernarfon -
Llay Welfare -
Holywell Town FC -
Buckley -
Colwyn Bay -
Brickfield Rangers -
Llangefni -
Denbigh -
Bangor 1876 -
Cefn Albion -
Felinheli -
Llysfaen -
Mochdre Sports -
Pontarddulais -
Goytre Utd -
Trefelin -
Llantwit Major -
Afan Lido -
Penybont -
Caerau Ely -
Llanelli -
Blaen-y-Maes -
Ely Rangers -
Radnor Valley -
Cardiff Draconians -
Barry Town -
Tredegar Town -
Cwmaman Institute -
Ammanford Town -
Llangennech -
Pontardawe -
Caerphilly -
Chepstow Town -
Evans Williams -
Rockspur -
Briton Ferry -
Afan United -
Llantwit Fardre -
Baglan Dragons -
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
Ynyshir Albions -
Cambrian United -
Trethomas Bluebirds -
Carmarthen Town -
Newport City -
Haverfordwest -
Cardiff Corries -
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