Prediksi Olahraga
Ringkasan Pertandingan
Ujpest II is highly favored to claim all three points on their visit to Balassagyarmat SE, backed by a win probability of 60%. Balassagyarmat SE averages 0.0 goals scored and 4.0 conceded in recent matches. Ujpest II shows a form average of 1.6 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 0 wins for Balassagyarmat SE, 1 wins for Ujpest II, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 26.03.23 ended in a 0:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.35 for Balassagyarmat SE and 1.30 for Ujpest II, suggesting the primary value lies in the Ujpest II double chance or over markets.
Peluang Kemenangan
Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang
Keyakinan Model
Skor indikator gabungan
- Balassagyarmat SE mengumpulkan poin lebih banyak akhir-akhir ini dibanding Ujpest II.
- Model memprediksi ancaman gol lebih tinggi bagi tuan rumah (1.35 vs 1.30 xG).
- Riwayat pertemuan menunjukkan pola jelas menguntungkan tim tamu.
- Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 67%).
Peluang Gol
Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG
Analisis Performa Terakhir
Rata-rata per laga
| Metrik | Balassagyarmat SE | Ujpest II |
|---|---|---|
| Main | 1 | 30 |
| Menang | 0 | 10 |
| Seri | 0 | 8 |
| Kalah | 1 | 12 |
| Gol Masuk | 0 | 1.63 |
| Gol Kemasukan | 4 | 1.5 |
H2H
Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama
Profil Taktis Pertandingan
Posisi Lapangan & Gaya Kontrol
Balassagyarmat SE
Ujpest II
Indeks Momentum Sokapicks
Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)
Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan
Prediksi Mesin
Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama
Detetor Taruhan Value (+EV)
Pasaran di mana peluang model melebihi margin bandar
Perkiraan Alur Pertandingan
Proyeksi dominasi dan serangan dalam selang 15 menit
Ujpest II will likely look to assert dominance early, testing the hosts' defensive structure.
Balassagyarmat SE will look to tighten their defensive lines to neutralize Ujpest II's early runs.
Expect Ujpest II to mount counter-attacks, exploiting gaps as Balassagyarmat SE tries to push forward.
Tactical adjustments will see Ujpest II increase their pressing intensity in the opposition half.
Fatigue may set in for Balassagyarmat SE's defense, opening up opportunities for Ujpest II's forward line.
Expect Ujpest II to manage the closing stages, while Balassagyarmat SE searches for late drama.
Peta Area Serangan & Tembakan
Tampilan panas dinamis yang dihitung dari zona serangan
Insight Pintar
Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis
Balassagyarmat SE have found the net in 0% of their last 1 matches.
Ujpest II have conceded at least one goal in 83% of their last 30 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 1.50 goals per match.
Balassagyarmat SE remained undefeated in 0 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Ujpest II suffered defeat in 2 of their last 5 overall games.
Analisis Risiko
Menilai gangguan potensial dan variabel luar
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Kontrol Komparasi Tim
Perbandingan metrik tim berdampingan
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ivancsa | 34 | 27 | 2 | 5 | 86:33 | 79 |
| 2 | Hodmezovasarhely | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 67:33 | 74 |
| 3 | ESMTK Budapest | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 57:27 | 65 |
| 4 | MTK Budapest II | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 73:40 | 59 |
| 5 | Honved II | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 51:46 | 58 |
| 6 | Ferencvaros II | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 60:43 | 56 |
| 7 | PTE-PEAC | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 47:31 | 56 |
| 8 | Dunaujvaros | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 67:49 | 51 |
| 9 | Ujpest II | 34 | 16 | 2 | 16 | 42:56 | 50 |
| 10 | Monori | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 58:54 | 45 |
| 11 | Paks II | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 55:58 | 43 |
| 12 | Szolnoki MAV | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 50:56 | 41 |
| 13 | Szekszardi | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 35:48 | 40 |
| 14 | Majosi | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 37:50 | 39 |
| 15 | Kecskemeti TE II | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 44:67 | 35 |
| 16 | FC Dabas | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 29:66 | 30 |
| 17 | Cegledi | 34 | 8 | 3 | 23 | 40:81 | 27 |
| 18 | Bank | 34 | 5 | 1 | 28 | 30:90 | 12 |
| 19 | Balassagyarmat SE | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 20 | Makoi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |