Prediksi Olahraga

Stadium Background

Balassagyarmat SE vs Ujpest II

Hungary Hungary

NB III - Centre
Min, 26 Mar 2023
VS
11.00 AM
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

Ujpest II is highly favored to claim all three points on their visit to Balassagyarmat SE, backed by a win probability of 60%. Balassagyarmat SE averages 0.0 goals scored and 4.0 conceded in recent matches. Ujpest II shows a form average of 1.6 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 0 wins for Balassagyarmat SE, 1 wins for Ujpest II, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 26.03.23 ended in a 0:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.35 for Balassagyarmat SE and 1.30 for Ujpest II, suggesting the primary value lies in the Ujpest II double chance or over markets.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

15%
Balassagyarmat SE
25%
Seri
60%
Ujpest II
Proyeksi hasil seri: 25% Unggulan: Ujpest II

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

91% / Sangat Tinggi Keyakinan
  • Balassagyarmat SE mengumpulkan poin lebih banyak akhir-akhir ini dibanding Ujpest II.
  • Model memprediksi ancaman gol lebih tinggi bagi tuan rumah (1.35 vs 1.30 xG).
  • Riwayat pertemuan menunjukkan pola jelas menguntungkan tim tamu.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 67%).

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 92%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 82%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 67%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 40%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 20%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 61%
Balassagyarmat SE Tanpa Kebobolan 19%
Ujpest II Tanpa Kebobolan 10%
Gol Babak Pertama 74%
Gol Babak Kedua 78%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Balassagyarmat SE Ujpest II
Main 1 30
Menang 0 10
Seri 0 8
Kalah 1 12
Gol Masuk 0 1.63
Gol Kemasukan 4 1.5

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

26.03.23 NB III - Centre
Balassagyarmat SE vs Ujpest II
0:0
11.09.22 NB III - Centre
Ujpest II vs Balassagyarmat SE
2:1

Profil Taktis Pertandingan

Posisi Lapangan & Gaya Kontrol

Balassagyarmat SE

Intensitas Tekanan Blok Sedang
Gaya Menyerang Serangan balik cepat
Frekuensi Umpan Sayap Membangun serangan dari tengah
Barisan Bertahan Garis pertahanan tinggi (Jebakan offside)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Ujpest II

Intensitas Tekanan Pressing ketat (PPDA < 9.5)
Gaya Menyerang Menguasai bola
Frekuensi Umpan Sayap Banyak umpan silang
Barisan Bertahan Garis pertahanan tinggi (Jebakan offside)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Indeks Momentum Sokapicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Balassagyarmat SE 17 / 100
Ujpest II 56 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Balassagyarmat SE Ujpest II

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Ujpest II Win (2)
Pilihan Kedua Ujpest II & Over 2.5
Hasil Babak Pertama Draw (HT)
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Detetor Taruhan Value (+EV)

Pasaran di mana peluang model melebihi margin bandar

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +114.3%
14.29
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.64
*EV represents Nilai Harapan. Nilai positif menunjukkan bandar menawarkan harga di bawah kemungkinan statistik riil.

Perkiraan Alur Pertandingan

Proyeksi dominasi dan serangan dalam selang 15 menit

0' - 15' Indeks Dominasi

Ujpest II will likely look to assert dominance early, testing the hosts' defensive structure.

Balassagyarmat SE 17%
Ujpest II 48%
15' - 30' Indeks Dominasi

Balassagyarmat SE will look to tighten their defensive lines to neutralize Ujpest II's early runs.

Balassagyarmat SE 14%
Ujpest II 63%
30' - 45' Indeks Dominasi

Expect Ujpest II to mount counter-attacks, exploiting gaps as Balassagyarmat SE tries to push forward.

Balassagyarmat SE 15%
Ujpest II 60%
45' - 60' Indeks Dominasi

Tactical adjustments will see Ujpest II increase their pressing intensity in the opposition half.

Balassagyarmat SE 16%
Ujpest II 57%
60' - 75' Indeks Dominasi

Fatigue may set in for Balassagyarmat SE's defense, opening up opportunities for Ujpest II's forward line.

Balassagyarmat SE 14%
Ujpest II 66%
75' - 90' Indeks Dominasi

Expect Ujpest II to manage the closing stages, while Balassagyarmat SE searches for late drama.

Balassagyarmat SE 17%
Ujpest II 69%

Peta Area Serangan & Tembakan

Tampilan panas dinamis yang dihitung dari zona serangan

Balassagyarmat SE menyerang → ← menyerang Ujpest II

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Balassagyarmat SE have found the net in 0% of their last 1 matches.

Ujpest II have conceded at least one goal in 83% of their last 30 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 1.50 goals per match.

Balassagyarmat SE remained undefeated in 0 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Ujpest II suffered defeat in 2 of their last 5 overall games.

Analisis Risiko

Menilai gangguan potensial dan variabel luar

Tingkat Risiko: Rendah
Faktor Risiko

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Faktor Risiko

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Faktor Risiko

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Kontrol Komparasi Tim

Perbandingan metrik tim berdampingan

0 Poin di 5 laga terakhir 38
0.00 Expected goals (xG) 1.50
0.00 Expected goals kemasukan (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Ivancsa34272586:3379
2Hodmezovasarhely34235667:3374
3ESMTK Budapest34198757:2765
4MTK Budapest II341851173:4059
5Honved II341771051:4658
6Ferencvaros II341751260:4356
7PTE-PEAC341681047:3156
8Dunaujvaros341561367:4951
9Ujpest II341621642:5650
10Monori341361558:5445
11Paks II3411101355:5843
12Szolnoki MAV341181550:5641
13Szekszardi341171635:4840
14Majosi341161737:5039
15Kecskemeti TE II341051944:6735
16FC Dabas34862029:6630
17Cegledi34832340:8127
18Bank34512830:9012
19Balassagyarmat SE00000:00
20Makoi00000:00