Prediksi Olahraga

Stadium Background

Bali United vs PSBS Biak Numfor

Indonesia Indonesia

Super League Kapten I Wayan Dipta Stadium
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

Bali United enters this Super League fixture as the clear favorite, carrying a strong win probability of 63%. Bali United averages 1.7 goals scored and 1.3 conceded in recent matches. PSBS Biak Numfor shows a form average of 0.9 goals scored and 2.9 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 2 wins for Bali United, 2 wins for PSBS Biak Numfor, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 06.04.26 ended in a 6:1 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 3.19 for Bali United and 0.94 for PSBS Biak Numfor, suggesting the primary value lies in the Bali United double chance or over markets.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

63%
Bali United
15%
Seri
22%
PSBS Biak Numfor
Proyeksi hasil seri: 15% Unggulan: Bali United

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

89% / Sangat Tinggi Keyakinan
  • Bali United mengumpulkan poin lebih banyak akhir-akhir ini dibanding PSBS Biak Numfor.
  • Model memprediksi ancaman gol lebih tinggi bagi tuan rumah (3.19 vs 0.94 xG).
  • Riwayat pertemuan menunjukkan pola jelas menguntungkan tuan rumah.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 63%).

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 88%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 77%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 63%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 38%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 19%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 50%
Bali United Tanpa Kebobolan 24%
PSBS Biak Numfor Tanpa Kebobolan 10%
Gol Babak Pertama 69%
Gol Babak Kedua 73%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Bali United PSBS Biak Numfor
Main 30 30
Menang 13 4
Seri 7 5
Kalah 10 21
Gol Masuk 1.67 0.9
Gol Kemasukan 1.3 2.87
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 0.25
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.63 4.00

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

06.04.26 Super League
Bali United vs PSBS Biak Numfor
6:1
22.12.25 Super League
PSBS Biak Numfor vs Bali United
0:3
11.03.25 Super League
Bali United vs PSBS Biak Numfor
0:2
03.11.24 Super League
PSBS Biak Numfor vs Bali United
2:0

Profil Taktis Pertandingan

Posisi Lapangan & Gaya Kontrol

Bali United

Intensitas Tekanan Pressing ketat (PPDA < 9.5)
Gaya Menyerang Menguasai bola
Frekuensi Umpan Sayap Banyak umpan silang
Barisan Bertahan Garis pertahanan tinggi (Jebakan offside)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

PSBS Biak Numfor

Intensitas Tekanan Blok Sedang
Gaya Menyerang Serangan balik cepat
Frekuensi Umpan Sayap Membangun serangan dari tengah
Barisan Bertahan Garis pertahanan tinggi (Jebakan offside)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Analisis Pemain Kunci Laga

Kontributor gol terbaik di lapangan

Bali United Bandingkan

Pencetak Gol Terbanyak Ferrari J.
2 Gol
Pengumpan Terbanyak Yachida T.
1 Ast
Rata-rata xG / laga 1.83
Rata-rata xA / laga 1.19

PSBS Biak Numfor Bandingkan

Pencetak Gol Terbanyak Hassan M.
1 Gol
Pengumpan Terbanyak N/A
0 Ast
Rata-rata xG / laga 0.23
Rata-rata xA / laga 0.14

Peringatan Pemain Absen

No availability alerts or suspensions reported for this fixture.

Indeks Momentum Sokapicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Bali United 62 / 100
PSBS Biak Numfor 22 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Bali United PSBS Biak Numfor

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Bali United Win (1)
Pilihan Kedua Bali United & Over 2.5
Hasil Babak Pertama Home Win (HT)
Prediksi BTTS No (NG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Detetor Taruhan Value (+EV)

Pasaran di mana peluang model melebihi margin bandar

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +14.7%
1.82
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Nilai Harapan. Nilai positif menunjukkan bandar menawarkan harga di bawah kemungkinan statistik riil.

Perkiraan Alur Pertandingan

Proyeksi dominasi dan serangan dalam selang 15 menit

0' - 15' Indeks Dominasi

Bali United is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.

Bali United 69%
PSBS Biak Numfor 18%
15' - 30' Indeks Dominasi

PSBS Biak Numfor will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of Bali United's attacks.

Bali United 60%
PSBS Biak Numfor 23%
30' - 45' Indeks Dominasi

Expect Bali United to create chances through sustained possession before the break.

Bali United 63%
PSBS Biak Numfor 22%
45' - 60' Indeks Dominasi

Tactical adjustments at half-time will see Bali United vary their attacking width.

Bali United 66%
PSBS Biak Numfor 21%
60' - 75' Indeks Dominasi

Fatigue may set in for PSBS Biak Numfor, allowing Bali United's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.

Bali United 57%
PSBS Biak Numfor 24%
75' - 90' Indeks Dominasi

Expect a final offensive push from Bali United, while PSBS Biak Numfor takes risks to salvage a result.

Bali United 72%
PSBS Biak Numfor 25%

Peta Area Serangan & Tembakan

Tampilan panas dinamis yang dihitung dari zona serangan

Bali United menyerang → ← menyerang PSBS Biak Numfor

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Bali United have found the net in 73% of their last 30 matches.

PSBS Biak Numfor have conceded at least one goal in 90% of their last 30 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 3.50 goals per match.

Bali United remained undefeated in 3 of their last 5 overall matchups.

PSBS Biak Numfor suffered defeat in 5 of their last 5 overall games.

Analisis Risiko

Menilai gangguan potensial dan variabel luar

Tingkat Risiko: Rendah
Faktor Risiko

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Faktor Risiko

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Faktor Risiko

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Kontrol Komparasi Tim

Perbandingan metrik tim berdampingan

46 Poin di 5 laga terakhir 17
2.38 Expected goals (xG) 0.25
1.63 Expected goals kemasukan (xGA) 4.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Persib Bandung34247359:2279
2Borneo34254574:3179
3Persija Jakarta34225765:2971
4Persebaya341610861:3558
5FC Bhayangkara341651353:4553
6Malut United341581168:5353
7Dewa United341651344:3753
8Bali United341491157:4851
9Arema FC341391253:4748
10Persita341361538:3745
11PSIM Yogyakarta3411121143:4445
12Persik Kediri341161742:6139
13Persijap Jepara34991631:4536
14Madura United34981737:5435
15PSM Makassar348101639:4934
16Persis Solo348101639:5934
17Semen Padang34552422:6520
18PSBS Biak Numfor34462431:9518