Prediksi Olahraga
Base Abaran vs Calasparra FC
Spanyol
Tercera Division - Group 13 2010/2011 Ringkasan Pertandingan
Base Abaran play Calasparra FC in the Tercera Division - Group 13 2010/2011. It looks like a close match. Recently, Base Abaran averaged 1.21 goals scored and 2.15 conceded. Calasparra FC averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. In past meetings, Base Abaran won 2, Calasparra FC won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on 20 Feb 2011 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.72 for Base Abaran and 1.44 for Calasparra FC. This points to a Calasparra FC double chance or over markets.
Peluang Kemenangan
Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang
Keyakinan Model
Skor indikator gabungan
- Base Abaran mengumpulkan poin lebih banyak akhir-akhir ini dibanding Calasparra FC.
- Model memprediksi ancaman gol lebih tinggi bagi tuan rumah (0.72 vs 1.44 xG).
- Riwayat pertemuan menunjukkan pola jelas menguntungkan tim tamu.
- Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 56%).
Peluang Gol
Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG
Analisis Performa Terakhir
Rata-rata per laga
| Metrik | Base Abaran | Calasparra FC |
|---|---|---|
| Main | 34 | 30 |
| Menang | 6 | 8 |
| Seri | 7 | 5 |
| Kalah | 21 | 17 |
| Gol Masuk | 1.21 | 1.13 |
| Gol Kemasukan | 2.15 | 1.83 |
H2H
Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama
Indeks Momentum Sokapicks
Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)
Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan
Prediksi Mesin
Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama
Detetor Taruhan Value (+EV)
Pasaran di mana peluang model melebihi margin bandar
Peta Area Serangan & Tembakan
Tampilan panas dinamis yang dihitung dari zona serangan
Insight Pintar
Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis
Base Abaran scored in 65% of their last 34 games.
Calasparra FC let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 1.75 goals.
Base Abaran went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Calasparra FC lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Analisis Risiko
Menilai gangguan potensial dan variabel luar
Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.
Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.
Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.
Kontrol Komparasi Tim
Perbandingan metrik tim berdampingan
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UCAM Murcia | 38 | 27 | 5 | 6 | 81:22 | 86 |
| 2 | Real Murcia B | 38 | 25 | 9 | 4 | 69:18 | 84 |
| 3 | Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC | 38 | 25 | 8 | 5 | 85:28 | 83 |
| 4 | Cartagena La Union | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 72:36 | 81 |
| 5 | Ciudad Cieza | 38 | 25 | 5 | 8 | 74:28 | 80 |
| 6 | Bala Azul | 38 | 18 | 12 | 8 | 59:45 | 66 |
| 7 | Lorca FC | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 58:51 | 60 |
| 8 | CA Pulpileno | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 53:42 | 57 |
| 9 | Molina | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 60:45 | 53 |
| 10 | Pinatar | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 50:51 | 52 |
| 11 | Club Edeco Fortuna | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 39:57 | 52 |
| 12 | Plus Ultra | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 44:57 | 48 |
| 13 | Santomera | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 43:57 | 45 |
| 14 | Cartagena FC UCAM | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 43:61 | 43 |
| 15 | Moratalla | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 44:69 | 41 |
| 16 | Calasparra FC | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 45:64 | 41 |
| 17 | Base Abaran | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 28:47 | 36 |
| 18 | FC Puente Tocinos | 38 | 9 | 6 | 23 | 42:85 | 33 |
| 19 | Beniel | 38 | 4 | 3 | 31 | 32:93 | 15 |
| 20 | Lorca Deportiva | 38 | 2 | 2 | 34 | 7:72 | 8 |