Prediksi Olahraga

Australia

NPL Victoria Kingston Heath Soccer Complex

South Melbourne

Tips Kami

Ringkasan Peluang Gol Performa H2H Taktik Pemain Indeks Prediksi Aliran Laga Heatmap Risiko Akurasi Bandingkan

Ringkasan Pertandingan

This NPL Victoria encounter between Bentleigh Greens and South Melbourne promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Bentleigh Greens averages 1.1 goals scored and 1.7 conceded in recent matches. South Melbourne shows a form average of 2.1 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 0 wins for Bentleigh Greens, 5 wins for South Melbourne, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 19.06.26 ended in a 1:5 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.38 for Bentleigh Greens and 2.69 for South Melbourne, suggesting the primary value lies in the South Melbourne double chance or over markets.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

35%

Bentleigh Greens

15%

Seri

50%

South Melbourne

Proyeksi hasil seri: 15% Unggulan: South Melbourne

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

76% / Tinggi Keyakinan

Bentleigh Greens mengumpulkan poin lebih banyak akhir-akhir ini dibanding South Melbourne.
Model memprediksi ancaman gol lebih tinggi bagi tuan rumah (1.38 vs 2.69 xG).
Riwayat pertemuan menunjukkan pola jelas menguntungkan tim tamu.
Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 62%).

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 89%

Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 79%

Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 62%

Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 37%

Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 19%

Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 43%

Bentleigh Greens Tanpa Kebobolan 10%

South Melbourne Tanpa Kebobolan 10%

Gol Babak Pertama 71%

Gol Babak Kedua 75%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik	Bentleigh Greens	South Melbourne
Main	29	29
Menang	11	15
Seri	6	2
Kalah	12	12
Gol Masuk	1.07	2.07
Gol Kemasukan	1.69	1.59
Expected Goals (xG)	0.50	2.00
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA)	3.38	2.25

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

19.06.26 NPL Victoria

Bentleigh Greens vs South Melbourne

Penguasaan: 47% - 54% Kartu: 4 - 1

1:5

07.03.26 NPL Victoria

South Melbourne vs Bentleigh Greens

Penguasaan: 54% - 54% Kartu: 3 - 1

1:0

15.07.23 NPL Victoria

Bentleigh Greens vs South Melbourne

Penguasaan: 51% - 45% Kartu: 3 - 3

0:2

15.04.23 NPL Victoria

South Melbourne vs Bentleigh Greens

Penguasaan: 54% - 51% Kartu: 4 - 2

1:0

28.05.22 NPL Victoria

South Melbourne vs Bentleigh Greens

Penguasaan: 52% - 50% Kartu: 2 - 3

3:2

Profil Taktis Pertandingan

Posisi Lapangan & Gaya Kontrol

Bentleigh Greens

Intensitas Tekanan Blok Sedang

Gaya Menyerang Serangan balik cepat

Frekuensi Umpan Sayap Membangun serangan dari tengah

Barisan Bertahan Garis pertahanan tinggi (Jebakan offside)

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

South Melbourne

Intensitas Tekanan Pressing ketat (PPDA < 9.5)

Gaya Menyerang Menguasai bola

Frekuensi Umpan Sayap Banyak umpan silang

Barisan Bertahan Garis pertahanan tinggi (Jebakan offside)

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Analisis Pemain Kunci Laga

Kontributor gol terbaik di lapangan

Bentleigh Greens Bandingkan

Pencetak Gol Terbanyak Petratos Y.

1 Gol

Pengumpan Terbanyak N/A

0 Ast

Rata-rata xG / laga 0.38

Rata-rata xA / laga 0.25

South Melbourne Bandingkan

Pencetak Gol Terbanyak Cocks A.

1 Gol

Pengumpan Terbanyak Bonada N.

1 Ast

Rata-rata xG / laga 1.82

Rata-rata xA / laga 1.11

Peringatan Pemain Absen

No availability alerts or suspensions reported for this fixture.

Indeks Momentum Sokapicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Bentleigh Greens 34 / 100

South Melbourne 47 / 100

Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

Bentleigh Greens South Melbourne

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Double Chance: South Melbourne or Draw (X2)

Pilihan Kedua Under 3.5 Goals

Hasil Babak Pertama Draw (HT)

Prediksi BTTS No (NG)

Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Detetor Taruhan Value (+EV)

Pasaran di mana peluang model melebihi margin bandar

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +29.5%

3.70

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11%

1.79

*EV represents Nilai Harapan. Nilai positif menunjukkan bandar menawarkan harga di bawah kemungkinan statistik riil.

Perkiraan Alur Pertandingan

Proyeksi dominasi dan serangan dalam selang 15 menit

0' - 15' Indeks Dominasi

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

Bentleigh Greens 39%

South Melbourne 40%

15' - 30' Indeks Dominasi

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

Bentleigh Greens 33%

South Melbourne 53%

30' - 45' Indeks Dominasi

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

Bentleigh Greens 35%

South Melbourne 50%

45' - 60' Indeks Dominasi

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

Bentleigh Greens 37%

South Melbourne 48%

60' - 75' Indeks Dominasi

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

Bentleigh Greens 32%

South Melbourne 55%

75' - 90' Indeks Dominasi

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

Bentleigh Greens 40%

South Melbourne 57%

Peta Area Serangan & Tembakan

Tampilan panas dinamis yang dihitung dari zona serangan

Bentleigh Greens menyerang → ← menyerang South Melbourne

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Bentleigh Greens have found the net in 59% of their last 29 matches.

South Melbourne have conceded at least one goal in 72% of their last 29 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 3.00 goals per match.

Bentleigh Greens remained undefeated in 0 of their last 5 overall matchups.

South Melbourne suffered defeat in 2 of their last 5 overall games.

Analisis Risiko

Menilai gangguan potensial dan variabel luar

Tingkat Risiko: Sedang

Faktor Risiko

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Faktor Risiko

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Faktor Risiko

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Kontrol Komparasi Tim

Perbandingan metrik tim berdampingan

39 Poin di 5 laga terakhir 47

0.50 Expected goals (xG) 2.00

3.38 Expected goals kemasukan (xGA) 2.25

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Oakleigh Cannons	19	12	5	2	41:18	41
2	Hume City	19	12	4	3	39:22	40
3	Avondale FC	19	11	1	7	53:25	34
4	Heidelberg Utd	19	9	4	6	31:24	31
5	Melbourne City U21	18	8	5	5	35:20	29
6	Preston Lions	18	11	2	5	28:15	29
7	South Melbourne	19	9	1	9	29:32	28
8	George Cross	19	6	8	5	25:26	26
9	Dandenong City SC	19	7	5	7	26:25	22
10	St Albans	19	6	4	9	21:34	22
11	Altona Magic	19	5	4	10	21:35	19
12	Bentleigh Greens	19	4	4	11	17:42	16
13	Dandenong Thunder	19	3	3	13	20:42	12
14	Green Gully	19	2	4	13	13:39	10