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BFC Daugavpils vs Ogre United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Latvia Latvia

Virsliga Stadions Celtnieks, Daugavpils
Tips Kami

Acara Pertandingan

41' Event
Mukwelle W.
(Penalti)
45' Event
Ndjiki R.
Assist: Mihalcovs G.
46'
Sub
Kumakura K. Masuk: Aditajs R.
Keluar: Kumakura K.

Ringkasan Pertandingan

The Virsliga game between BFC Daugavpils and Ogre United finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward BFC Daugavpils.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

30%
BFC Daugavpils
39%
Seri
31%
Ogre United
Proyeksi hasil seri: 39% Unggulan: Draw

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

65% / Sedang Keyakinan
  • Ogre United haven't matched BFC Daugavpils's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and BFC Daugavpils have taken 4 of them.

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 92%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 82%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 78%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 56.5%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 25%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 76.2%
BFC Daugavpils Tanpa Kebobolan 20%
Ogre United Tanpa Kebobolan 10%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik BFC Daugavpils Ogre United
Main 30 30
Menang 11 5
Seri 9 5
Kalah 10 20
Gol Masuk 1.3 1.2
Gol Kemasukan 1.1 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.00
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

14 Agu 2026 Latvian Cup
BFC Daugavpils vs Ogre United
3:1
19 Jul 2026 Virsliga
Ogre United vs BFC Daugavpils
0:4
21 Mei 2026 Virsliga
BFC Daugavpils vs Ogre United
3:1
7 Apr 2026 Virsliga
BFC Daugavpils vs Ogre United
2:1

Analisis Pemain Kunci Laga

Kontributor gol terbaik di lapangan

BFC Daugavpils Bandingkan

Pencetak Gol Terbanyak Ndjiki R.
1 Gol
Pengumpan Terbanyak Garzha A.
1 Ast
Rata-rata xG / laga 1.73
Rata-rata xA / laga 1.13

Ogre United Bandingkan

Pencetak Gol Terbanyak Pacepko M.
1 Gol
Rata-rata xG / laga 0.91
Rata-rata xA / laga 0.56

Indeks Momentum SokaPicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

BFC Daugavpils 31 / 100
Ogre United 30 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
BFC Daugavpils Ogre United

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama BFC Daugavpils Win (1)
Pilihan Kedua Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Defensive concern: Ogre United conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.75 goals.

BFC Daugavpils found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Ogre United lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Tren Skor

BFC Daugavpils VS Ogre United
1.63 Gol Dicetak 1.13
0.88 Gol Kebobolan 2.88
63% Atas 1.5 100%
50% Atas 2.5 100%
38% Atas 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

BFC Daugavpils

(Home)
19 Sept
FK Liepaja
0 : 0
BFC Daugavpils
13 Sept
BFC Daugavpils
1 : 2
RFS
07 Sept
Riga FC
1 : 1
BFC Daugavpils
02 Sept
BFC Daugavpils
2 : 3
FK Auda Riga
29 Aug
Grobina
1 : 0
BFC Daugavpils
Page 1 of 6

Ogre United

(Away)
20 Sept
Ogre United
1 : 0
Super Nova
16 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0
Ogre United
11 Sept
Ogre United
2 : 2
FK Liepaja
05 Sept
Tukums 2000
2 : 1
Ogre United
30 Aug
Ogre United
0 : 3
RFS
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RFS 30 23 5 2 71:22 74
2 Riga FC 31 22 7 2 86:30 73
3 FK Auda Riga 31 18 7 6 49:30 61
4 FK Liepaja 31 12 7 12 41:43 43
5 BFC Daugavpils 31 10 9 12 35:35 39
6 Super Nova 30 10 5 15 29:40 35
7 Jelgava 31 8 8 15 32:49 32
8 Grobina 31 5 11 15 21:52 26
9 Tukums 2000 31 5 9 17 44:61 24
10 Ogre United 31 4 6 21 30:76 18
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 1. Liga 2027 (Main)