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Bournemouth vs Aston Villa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Inggris Inggris

EFL Cup Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth
Rab, 28 Okt 2026
VS
07.45 PM
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

A one-off knockout match in the EFL Cup. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Bournemouth have averaged 2.07 scored and 1.11 conceded recently, against Aston Villa's 2.07 scored and 1.43 conceded. Past meetings favor Aston Villa slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 7 Feb 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.69 xG vs 1.94) point toward Bournemouth. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

27%
Bournemouth
33%
Seri
40%
Aston Villa
Proyeksi hasil seri: 33% Unggulan: Aston Villa

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

70% / Sedang Keyakinan
  • Form's been kind to Aston Villa lately — more wins on the board than Bournemouth.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Aston Villa taking it.
  • Aston Villa arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Aston Villa, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 78%).

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 99%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 88%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 78%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 70%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 32%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 76.2%
Bournemouth Tanpa Kebobolan 10%
Aston Villa Tanpa Kebobolan 10%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Bournemouth Aston Villa
Main 28 30
Menang 12 15
Seri 12 3
Kalah 4 12
Gol Masuk 2.07 2.07
Gol Kemasukan 1.11 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.94
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

7 Feb 2026 Premier League
Bournemouth vs Aston Villa
1:1
9 Nov 2025 Premier League
Aston Villa vs Bournemouth
4:0
10 Mei 2025 Premier League
Bournemouth vs Aston Villa
0:1
26 Okt 2024 Premier League
Aston Villa vs Bournemouth
1:1
21 Apr 2024 Premier League
Aston Villa vs Bournemouth
3:1

Indeks Momentum SokaPicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Bournemouth 26 / 100
Aston Villa 38 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Bournemouth Aston Villa

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Aston Villa Win (2)
Pilihan Kedua Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 4:6
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Bournemouth's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Aston Villa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Bournemouth stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Tren Skor

Bournemouth VS Aston Villa
2.13 Gol Dicetak 2.75
1.13 Gol Kebobolan 1.25
88% Atas 1.5 88%
75% Atas 2.5 88%
38% Atas 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Bournemouth

(Home)
22 Oct
Bournemouth
3 : 0
AC Milan
18 Oct
Bournemouth
2 : 0
Sunderland
15 Oct
Bournemouth
3 : 0
Sturm Graz
10 Oct
Chelsea
5 : 1
Bournemouth
20 Sept
Bournemouth
0 : 1
Liverpool
Page 1 of 6

Aston Villa

(Away)
21 Oct
Aston Villa
3 : 1
Viking
17 Oct
Newcastle Utd
0 : 1
Aston Villa
14 Oct
Aston Villa
6 : 0
Fenerbahce
10 Oct
Aston Villa
2 : 2
Brentford
02 Oct
Sevilla
1 : 3
Aston Villa
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Fleetwood Town 1
Chesterfield 0
Salford 1
Shrewsbury 2
Burton 1
Blackburn 2
Mansfield 0
Sheffield Utd 3
Ipswich -
TBD -
Leicester 1
Northampton 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal -
Manchester City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cardiff 3
Swindon 2
Norwich 4
Milton Keynes Dons 1
Manchester United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brighton -
Preston 2
Huddersfield 1
TBD -
Everton -
Sheffield Wed 1
Bolton 0
Wolves 3
Port Vale 0
Cambridge Utd 2
Barnet 1
QPR 1
Millwall 2
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
Rotherham 1
West Brom 4
Sunderland -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stoke City 2
Oldham 0
TBD -
Hull City -
Wycombe 1
Stevenage 2
Bromley 1
Reading 2
Swansea 0
Birmingham 1
TBD -
Brentford -
Liverpool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tottenham -
TBD -
Cheltenham 1
Charlton 3
Chelsea -
TBD -
Gillingham 0
Luton 3
Nottingham -
TBD -
TBD -
Leeds -
Bristol City 0
Walsall 1
Leyton Orient 2
Oxford Utd 0
Bradford City 2
Rochdale 0
Burnley 2
Notts County 1
Watford 1
Crawley Town 0
Bristol Rovers 0
Peterborough 1
Barnsley 2
Wigan 1
Crewe 2
Accrington 1
Colchester 0
Southampton 2
West Ham 3
Portsmouth 1
Fulham -
TBD -
AFC Wimbledon 2
Newport 1
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stockport County 1
Doncaster 2
Middlesbrough 1
Wrexham 0
Bournemouth -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Grimsby 1
Blackpool 3
Derby 1
Lincoln City 2
Plymouth 2
Exeter 0
TBD -
Coventry -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/32-finals
Fleetwood Town 4
Shrewsbury 0
Blackburn 1
Sheffield Utd 2
Ipswich 3
Leicester 1
TBD -
Arsenal -
Manchester City -
TBD -
Cardiff 1
Norwich 2
Manchester United -
TBD -
TBD -
Brighton -
Preston 0
Everton 4
Sheffield Wed 0
Wolves 2
Cambridge Utd 0
Millwall 1
Newcastle Utd 3
West Brom 2
Sunderland -
TBD -
Stoke City 1
Hull City 2
Stevenage 0
Reading 3
Birmingham 1
Brentford 6
Liverpool -
TBD -
Tottenham 5
Charlton 1
Chelsea 2
Luton 0
Nottingham 0
Leeds 2
Walsall 0
Leyton Orient 1
Bradford City 1
Burnley 0
Watford 1
Peterborough 5
Barnsley 3
Crewe 2
Southampton 1
West Ham 4
Fulham 3
AFC Wimbledon 0
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
Doncaster 1
Middlesbrough 3
Bournemouth -
TBD -
Blackpool 1
Lincoln City 4
Plymouth 2
Coventry 4
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/16-finals
Fleetwood Town 1
Sheffield Utd 0
Ipswich 2
Arsenal 4
Manchester City 5
Norwich 0
Manchester United 2
Brighton 3
Everton 1
Wolves 0
Millwall 0
Newcastle Utd 1
Sunderland 1
Hull City 0
Reading 1
Brentford 2
Liverpool 3
Tottenham 1
Chelsea 6
Leeds 3
Leyton Orient 1
Bradford City 3
Peterborough 4
Barnsley 3
West Ham 2
Fulham 3
Crystal Palace 3
Middlesbrough 0
Bournemouth 4
Lincoln City 0
Coventry 1
Aston Villa 3
1/8-finals
Fleetwood Town -
Arsenal -
Manchester City -
Brighton -
Everton -
Newcastle Utd -
Sunderland -
Brentford -
Liverpool -
Chelsea -
Bradford City -
Peterborough -
Fulham -
Crystal Palace -
Bournemouth -
Aston Villa -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -