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Burnley U23 vs Aston Villa U23

Inggris Inggris

Premier League 2 2021/2022 Lancashire County Ground
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

This Premier League 2 2021/2022 encounter between Burnley U23 and Aston Villa U23 promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Burnley U23 averages 1.7 goals scored and 1.5 conceded in recent matches. Aston Villa U23 shows a form average of 2.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 2 wins for Burnley U23, 1 wins for Aston Villa U23, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 25.04.22 ended in a 2:1 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 2.19 for Burnley U23 and 1.38 for Aston Villa U23, suggesting the primary value lies in the Burnley U23 double chance or over markets.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

46%
Burnley U23
21%
Seri
33%
Aston Villa U23
Proyeksi hasil seri: 21% Unggulan: Burnley U23

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

75% / Tinggi Keyakinan
  • Burnley U23 mengumpulkan poin lebih banyak akhir-akhir ini dibanding Aston Villa U23.
  • Model memprediksi ancaman gol lebih tinggi bagi tuan rumah (2.19 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Riwayat pertemuan menunjukkan pola jelas menguntungkan tuan rumah.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 70%).

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 90%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 94%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 70%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 42%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 21%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 73%
Burnley U23 Tanpa Kebobolan 17%
Aston Villa U23 Tanpa Kebobolan 10%
Gol Babak Pertama 85%
Gol Babak Kedua 89%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Burnley U23 Aston Villa U23
Main 30 30
Menang 13 10
Seri 6 6
Kalah 11 14
Gol Masuk 1.67 1.97
Gol Kemasukan 1.47 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.25
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.50 2.25

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

25.04.22 Premier League 2
Burnley U23 vs Aston Villa U23
2:1
22.11.21 Premier League 2
Aston Villa U23 vs Burnley U23
4:1
12.03.21 Premier League 2
Aston Villa U23 vs Burnley U23
2:3
09.11.20 Premier League 2
Burnley U23 vs Aston Villa U23
2:2

Profil Taktis Pertandingan

Posisi Lapangan & Gaya Kontrol

Burnley U23

Intensitas Tekanan Pressing ketat (PPDA < 9.5)
Gaya Menyerang Menguasai bola
Frekuensi Umpan Sayap Banyak umpan silang
Barisan Bertahan Garis pertahanan tinggi (Jebakan offside)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Aston Villa U23

Intensitas Tekanan Blok Sedang
Gaya Menyerang Serangan balik cepat
Frekuensi Umpan Sayap Banyak umpan silang
Barisan Bertahan Garis pertahanan tinggi (Jebakan offside)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Analisis Pemain Kunci Laga

Kontributor gol terbaik di lapangan

Burnley U23 Bandingkan

Pencetak Gol Terbanyak Costelloe D.
1 Gol
Pengumpan Terbanyak Sassi D.
1 Ast
Rata-rata xG / laga 1.64
Rata-rata xA / laga 1.06

Aston Villa U23 Bandingkan

Pencetak Gol Terbanyak Patterson T.
1 Gol
Pengumpan Terbanyak N/A
0 Ast
Rata-rata xG / laga 1.14
Rata-rata xA / laga 0.69

Peringatan Pemain Absen

No availability alerts or suspensions reported for this fixture.

Indeks Momentum Sokapicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Burnley U23 45 / 100
Aston Villa U23 32 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Burnley U23 Aston Villa U23

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Double Chance: Burnley U23 or Draw (1X)
Pilihan Kedua Under 3.5 Goals
Hasil Babak Pertama Home Win (HT)
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Detetor Taruhan Value (+EV)

Pasaran di mana peluang model melebihi margin bandar

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21%
2.63
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.2%
1.56
*EV represents Nilai Harapan. Nilai positif menunjukkan bandar menawarkan harga di bawah kemungkinan statistik riil.

Perkiraan Alur Pertandingan

Proyeksi dominasi dan serangan dalam selang 15 menit

0' - 15' Indeks Dominasi

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

Burnley U23 51%
Aston Villa U23 26%
15' - 30' Indeks Dominasi

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

Burnley U23 44%
Aston Villa U23 35%
30' - 45' Indeks Dominasi

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

Burnley U23 46%
Aston Villa U23 33%
45' - 60' Indeks Dominasi

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

Burnley U23 48%
Aston Villa U23 31%
60' - 75' Indeks Dominasi

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

Burnley U23 41%
Aston Villa U23 36%
75' - 90' Indeks Dominasi

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

Burnley U23 53%
Aston Villa U23 38%

Peta Area Serangan & Tembakan

Tampilan panas dinamis yang dihitung dari zona serangan

Burnley U23 menyerang → ← menyerang Aston Villa U23

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Burnley U23 have found the net in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Aston Villa U23 have conceded at least one goal in 90% of their last 30 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 4.25 goals per match.

Burnley U23 remained undefeated in 4 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Aston Villa U23 suffered defeat in 4 of their last 5 overall games.

Analisis Risiko

Menilai gangguan potensial dan variabel luar

Tingkat Risiko: Sedang
Faktor Risiko

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Faktor Risiko

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Faktor Risiko

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Kontrol Komparasi Tim

Perbandingan metrik tim berdampingan

45 Poin di 5 laga terakhir 36
2.13 Expected goals (xG) 1.25
1.50 Expected goals kemasukan (xGA) 2.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Manchester City U2326166465:3254
2West Ham U2326153859:3948
3Arsenal U23261011556:4841
4Liverpool U2326117847:3740
5Crystal Palace U23261231154:5039
6Manchester United U2326116946:4339
7Tottenham U2326107949:4537
8Leicester U2326107938:5337
9Blackburn U232698950:5635
10Brighton U2326971041:4134
11Everton U2326851333:5429
12Chelsea U2326771239:4728
13Leeds U2326761344:4927
14Derby U2326431931:5815
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Fulham U2326202464:2762
2Wolves U2326145746:3747
3Stoke City U2326127734:3643
4Nottingham U2326126852:3142
5Norwich U23261231164:5239
6Burnley U2326116946:3939
7Southampton U23261231145:4239
8Newcastle Utd U23261221251:5638
9West Brom U23261051144:5435
10Aston Villa U2326951253:5132
11Birmingham U2326751434:5126
12Middlesbrough U2326821631:5026
13Sunderland U2326731635:4924
14Reading U2326581332:5623