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Caerau Ely vs Llanelli - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

FAW Welsh Cup
Jum, 16 Okt 2026
VS
06.45 PM
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

A one-off knockout match in the FAW Welsh Cup. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Llanelli have shipped 2.79 goals a game lately, while Caerau Ely have conceded 1.48 and scored 2.37. Past meetings favor Llanelli slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 11 Sep 2026, ending 3:0. xG projections (2.50 - 1.44) back Caerau Ely to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

90%
Caerau Ely
6%
Seri
4%
Llanelli
Proyeksi hasil seri: 6% Unggulan: Caerau Ely

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

95% / Sangat Tinggi Keyakinan
  • Form's been kind to Caerau Ely lately — more wins on the board than Llanelli.
  • Win probability leans Caerau Ely's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Caerau Ely have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Llanelli, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 78%).
  • History favors Llanelli here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 99%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 100%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 78%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 56.5%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 25%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 71.8%
Caerau Ely Tanpa Kebobolan 16%
Llanelli Tanpa Kebobolan 10%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Caerau Ely Llanelli
Main 27 28
Menang 14 1
Seri 5 5
Kalah 8 22
Gol Masuk 2.37 0.57
Gol Kemasukan 1.48 2.79
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.44
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

11 Sep 2026 Cymru South
Caerau Ely vs Llanelli
3:0
7 Mar 2025 Cymru South
Llanelli vs Caerau Ely
3:1
11 Okt 2024 Cymru South
Caerau Ely vs Llanelli
1:2
3 Nov 2023 Cymru South
Llanelli vs Caerau Ely
4:0
27 Okt 2023 Cymru South
Caerau Ely vs Llanelli
1:2

Indeks Momentum SokaPicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Caerau Ely 84 / 100
Llanelli 10 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Caerau Ely Llanelli

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Caerau Ely Win (1)
Pilihan Kedua Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Caerau Ely found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (27 games).

Defensive concern: Llanelli conceded in 96% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Away concern: Llanelli has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Tren Skor

Caerau Ely VS Llanelli
2.38 Gol Dicetak 0.63
2.25 Gol Kebobolan 2.63
100% Atas 1.5 100%
88% Atas 2.5 63%
75% Atas 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Caerau Ely

(Home)
02 Oct
Caerau Ely
2 : 0
Afan Lido
26 Sept
Cardiff Draconians
1 : 3
Caerau Ely
11 Sept
Caerau Ely
3 : 0
Llanelli
31 Aug
Caerau Ely
3 : 2
Treowen
28 Aug
Baglan Dragons
3 : 1
Caerau Ely
Page 1 of 6

Llanelli

(Away)
02 Oct
Llanelli
1 : 2
Baglan Dragons
26 Sept
Llantwit Major
2 : 0
Llanelli
11 Sept
Caerau Ely
3 : 0
Llanelli
04 Sept
Llanelli
0 : 2
Treowen
31 Aug
Aberystwyth
4 : 0
Llanelli
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
TNS -
Coedpoeth -
Guilsfield -
Llannefydd -
Llandudno FC -
Newtown -
Llanuwchllyn -
Bala -
Holyhead -
Connahs Q. -
Porthmadog -
Penycae FC -
Dolgellau Athletic -
Aberystwyth -
Prestatyn -
Flint Town -
Caernarfon -
Llay Welfare -
Holywell Town FC -
Buckley -
Colwyn Bay -
Brickfield Rangers -
Llangefni -
Denbigh -
Bangor 1876 -
Cefn Albion -
Felinheli -
Llysfaen -
Mochdre Sports -
Pontarddulais -
Goytre Utd -
Trefelin -
Llantwit Major -
Afan Lido -
Penybont -
Caerau Ely -
Llanelli -
Blaen-y-Maes -
Ely Rangers -
Radnor Valley -
Cardiff Draconians -
Barry Town -
Tredegar Town -
Cwmaman Institute -
Ammanford Town -
Llangennech -
Pontardawe -
Caerphilly -
Chepstow Town -
Evans Williams -
Rockspur -
Briton Ferry -
Afan United -
Llantwit Fardre -
Baglan Dragons -
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
Ynyshir Albions -
Cambrian United -
Trethomas Bluebirds -
Carmarthen Town -
Newport City -
Haverfordwest -
Cardiff Corries -
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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