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Caerau Ely vs Newport City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru South
Jum, 20 Nov 2026
VS
07.45 PM
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

Caerau Ely host Newport City in the Cymru South. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Newport City have shipped 2.03 goals a game lately, while Caerau Ely have conceded 1.23 and scored 2.5. Head-to-head, Caerau Ely have won 1 to Newport City's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on 9 Jan 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.88 xG vs 1.44) point toward Caerau Ely. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

90%
Caerau Ely
6%
Seri
4%
Newport City
Proyeksi hasil seri: 6% Unggulan: Caerau Ely

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

95% / Sangat Tinggi Keyakinan
  • Newport City haven't matched Caerau Ely's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Caerau Ely's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Cymru South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 78%).

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 92%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 82%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 78%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 50.5%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 23%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 71.8%
Caerau Ely Tanpa Kebobolan 16%
Newport City Tanpa Kebobolan 10%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Caerau Ely Newport City
Main 30 29
Menang 17 7
Seri 6 7
Kalah 7 15
Gol Masuk 2.5 1.38
Gol Kemasukan 1.23 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.44
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

9 Jan 2026 Cymru South
Newport City vs Caerau Ely
1:1
21 Okt 2025 Cymru South
Caerau Ely vs Newport City
4:3
20 Des 2024 Cymru South
Newport City vs Caerau Ely
3:1
16 Agu 2024 Cymru South
Caerau Ely vs Newport City
1:2

Indeks Momentum SokaPicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Caerau Ely 84 / 100
Newport City 10 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Caerau Ely Newport City

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Caerau Ely Win (1)
Pilihan Kedua Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Caerau Ely's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Newport City has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Caerau Ely remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Tren Skor

Caerau Ely VS Newport City
2.5 Gol Dicetak 1.5
1.38 Gol Kebobolan 1.25
88% Atas 1.5 50%
75% Atas 2.5 38%
63% Atas 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Caerau Ely

(Home)
23 Oct
Caerau Ely
0 : 2
Llantwit Major
16 Oct
Caerau Ely
6 : 0
Llanelli
10 Oct
Aberystwyth
0 : 1
Caerau Ely
02 Oct
Caerau Ely
2 : 0
Afan Lido
26 Sept
Cardiff Draconians
1 : 3
Caerau Ely
Page 1 of 6

Newport City

(Away)
23 Oct
Newport City
4 : 4
Pontypridd United
17 Oct
Carmarthen Town
4 : 5
Newport City
09 Oct
Caerphilly
3 : 2
Newport City
03 Oct
Cardiff Draconians
1 : 1
Newport City
25 Sept
Afan Lido
0 : 0
Newport City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pure Swansea 9 6 3 0 30:11 21
2 Pontypridd United 11 6 3 2 28:21 21
3 Aberystwyth 9 6 1 2 22:9 19
4 Caerau Ely 11 6 1 4 22:20 19
5 Baglan Dragons 11 5 2 4 12:12 17
6 Ynyshir Albions 9 4 4 1 15:9 16
7 Trethomas Bluebirds 11 4 4 3 23:19 16
8 Carmarthen Town 11 4 3 4 23:24 15
9 Afan Lido 12 4 3 5 21:22 15
10 Caerphilly 11 4 2 5 15:20 14
11 Treowen 10 4 1 5 19:21 13
12 Llantwit Major 10 3 2 5 10:21 11
13 Pontardawe 9 3 1 5 15:17 10
14 Newport City 9 2 3 4 16:13 9
15 Cardiff Draconians 9 2 3 4 12:17 9
16 Llanelli 12 0 2 10 9:36 2
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