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Stadium Background

Caerau Ely vs Pure Swansea - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru South
Tips Kami

Acara Pertandingan

17' Event
Bishop L.
57' Event
Hughes J.
67' Event
Coughlin C.

Ringkasan Pertandingan

The Cymru South game between Caerau Ely and Pure Swansea finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pure Swansea.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

31%
Caerau Ely
40%
Seri
29%
Pure Swansea
Proyeksi hasil seri: 40% Unggulan: Draw

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

66% / Sedang Keyakinan
  • Look at the last few games and Caerau Ely come out ahead of Pure Swansea on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 82%).
  • Pure Swansea have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 99%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 94%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 82%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 70%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 32%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 71.8%
Caerau Ely Tanpa Kebobolan 10%
Pure Swansea Tanpa Kebobolan 10%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Caerau Ely Pure Swansea
Main 29 30
Menang 16 13
Seri 6 7
Kalah 7 10
Gol Masuk 2.41 1.73
Gol Kemasukan 1.34 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.88
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

21 Agu 2026 Cymru South
Caerau Ely vs Pure Swansea
1:5
1 Apr 2020 Cymru South
Pure Swansea vs Caerau Ely
0:0
28 Sep 2019 Cymru South
Caerau Ely vs Pure Swansea
1:4

Analisis Pemain Kunci Laga

Kontributor gol terbaik di lapangan

Caerau Ely Bandingkan

Pencetak Gol Terbanyak Bishop L.
1 Gol
Rata-rata xG / laga 1.25
Rata-rata xA / laga 0.81

Pure Swansea Bandingkan

Pencetak Gol Terbanyak Gibbings B.
2 Gol
Pengumpan Terbanyak Hughes J.
1 Ast
Rata-rata xG / laga 2.62
Rata-rata xA / laga 1.6

Indeks Momentum SokaPicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Caerau Ely 30 / 100
Pure Swansea 28 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Caerau Ely Pure Swansea

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Draw (X)
Pilihan Kedua Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Caerau Ely found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 3.67 goals.

Pure Swansea let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Caerau Ely has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Tren Skor

Caerau Ely VS Pure Swansea
2.5 Gol Dicetak 3.13
2.63 Gol Kebobolan 0.75
100% Atas 1.5 88%
88% Atas 2.5 88%
75% Atas 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Caerau Ely

(Home)
02 Oct
Caerau Ely
2 : 0
Afan Lido
26 Sept
Cardiff Draconians
1 : 3
Caerau Ely
11 Sept
Caerau Ely
3 : 0
Llanelli
31 Aug
Caerau Ely
3 : 2
Treowen
28 Aug
Baglan Dragons
3 : 1
Caerau Ely
Page 1 of 6

Pure Swansea

(Away)
03 Oct
Pure Swansea
3 : 1
Caerphilly
25 Sept
Aberystwyth
0 : 0
Pure Swansea
11 Sept
Pure Swansea
4 : 0
Pontardawe
28 Aug
Pure Swansea
4 : 4
Pontypridd United
21 Aug
Caerau Ely
1 : 5
Pure Swansea
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pure Swansea 8 6 2 0 25:6 20
2 Aberystwyth 8 6 1 1 22:8 19
3 Pontypridd United 9 6 1 2 23:16 19
4 Caerau Ely 9 5 1 3 21:18 16
5 Baglan Dragons 10 5 1 4 11:11 16
6 Carmarthen Town 9 4 2 3 20:19 14
7 Ynyshir Albions 8 3 4 1 9:7 13
8 Treowen 9 4 1 4 18:18 13
9 Afan Lido 10 3 2 5 13:17 11
10 Trethomas Bluebirds 9 2 4 3 17:17 10
11 Pontardawe 8 3 0 5 14:16 9
12 Newport City 7 2 2 3 10:6 8
13 Cardiff Draconians 7 2 2 3 9:12 8
14 Caerphilly 9 2 2 5 9:17 8
15 Llantwit Major 8 2 1 5 7:20 7
16 Llanelli 10 0 2 8 7:27 2
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)