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Stadium Background

Caerphilly vs Caerau Ely - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru South
Caerphilly Logo

Caerphilly

Jum, 30 Okt 2026
VS
07.45 PM
Caerau Ely Logo

Caerau Ely

Tips Kami
Ringkasan Peluang Gol Performa H2H Taktik Pemain Indeks Prediksi Aliran Laga Akurasi Bandingkan

Ringkasan Pertandingan

Caerphilly host Caerau Ely in the Cymru South. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Caerphilly have averaged 1.31 scored and 2.06 conceded recently, against Caerau Ely's 2.59 scored and 1.26 conceded. Head-to-head, Caerphilly have won 0 to Caerau Ely's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on 20 Jun 2025, ending 0:4. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 2.25, favoring Caerau Ely. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

4%
Caerphilly
6%
Seri
90%
Caerau Ely
Proyeksi hasil seri: 6% Unggulan: Caerau Ely

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

95% / Sangat Tinggi Keyakinan
  • Caerau Ely have won more games recently than Caerphilly.
  • Model gives Caerau Ely a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Cymru South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 79%).

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 99%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 88%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 79%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 56.5%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 25%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 73.8%
Caerphilly Tanpa Kebobolan 10%
Caerau Ely Tanpa Kebobolan 10%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Caerphilly Caerau Ely
Main 16 34
Menang 5 21
Seri 2 6
Kalah 9 7
Gol Masuk 1.31 2.59
Gol Kemasukan 2.06 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.25
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

20 Jun 2025 Club Friendly
Caerphilly vs Caerau Ely
0:4

Indeks Momentum SokaPicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Caerphilly 10 / 100
Caerau Ely 83 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Caerphilly Caerau Ely

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Caerau Ely Win (2)
Pilihan Kedua Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Caerphilly's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 16 recent games.

Caerau Ely let in goals in 59% of their last 34 matches.

Solid form: Caerphilly remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Tren Skor

Caerphilly VS Caerau Ely
1.5 Gol Dicetak 2.5
2 Gol Kebobolan 1.38
88% Atas 1.5 88%
88% Atas 2.5 75%
50% Atas 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Caerphilly

(Home)
17 Oct
Caerphilly
1 : 0
Chepstow Town
09 Oct
Caerphilly
3 : 2
Newport City
03 Oct
Pure Swansea
3 : 1
Caerphilly
25 Sept
Caerphilly
1 : 2
Pontypridd United
12 Sept
Caerphilly
2 : 3
Aberystwyth
Page 1 of 4

Caerau Ely

(Away)
16 Oct
Caerau Ely
6 : 0
Llanelli
10 Oct
Aberystwyth
0 : 1
Caerau Ely
02 Oct
Caerau Ely
2 : 0
Afan Lido
26 Sept
Cardiff Draconians
1 : 3
Caerau Ely
11 Sept
Caerau Ely
3 : 0
Llanelli
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pure Swansea 9 6 3 0 30:11 21
2 Pontypridd United 10 6 2 2 24:17 20
3 Aberystwyth 9 6 1 2 22:9 19
4 Caerau Ely 10 6 1 3 22:18 19
5 Baglan Dragons 11 5 2 4 12:12 17
6 Ynyshir Albions 9 4 4 1 15:9 16
7 Carmarthen Town 10 4 3 3 22:21 15
8 Trethomas Bluebirds 10 3 4 3 20:18 13
9 Treowen 10 4 1 5 19:21 13
10 Afan Lido 11 3 3 5 18:22 12
11 Caerphilly 10 3 2 5 12:19 11
12 Pontardawe 9 3 1 5 15:17 10
13 Cardiff Draconians 8 2 3 3 11:14 9
14 Newport City 8 2 2 4 12:9 8
15 Llantwit Major 9 2 2 5 8:21 8
16 Llanelli 11 0 2 9 9:33 2
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