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Castelfidardo vs Recanatese - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italia Italia

Serie D - Group F 2025/2026
Tips Kami

Acara Pertandingan

12' Event
Chiarella M.
20' Event
Gallo M.
30' Event
Gallo M.
(Penalti)

Ringkasan Pertandingan

The Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 game between Castelfidardo and Recanatese finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Castelfidardo.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

18%
Castelfidardo
22%
Seri
60%
Recanatese
Proyeksi hasil seri: 22% Unggulan: Recanatese

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

82% / Sangat Tinggi Keyakinan
  • Recanatese carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Recanatese's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Pertahanan kokoh memprediksi laga ketat dengan skor tipis.

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 94%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 84%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 25%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 22%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 10%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 37.6%
Castelfidardo Tanpa Kebobolan 10%
Recanatese Tanpa Kebobolan 68%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Castelfidardo Recanatese
Main 30 31
Menang 6 9
Seri 5 10
Kalah 19 12
Gol Masuk 0.97 1.35
Gol Kemasukan 1.9 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 0.90 1.88
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

15 Mar 2026 Serie D - Group F
Castelfidardo vs Recanatese
2:1
2 Nov 2025 Serie D - Group F
Recanatese vs Castelfidardo
3:1
9 Mar 2025 Serie D - Group F
Castelfidardo vs Recanatese
1:1
3 Nov 2024 Serie D - Group F
Recanatese vs Castelfidardo
0:3
11 Mei 2022 Serie D - Group F
Recanatese vs Castelfidardo
2:3

Analisis Pemain Kunci Laga

Kontributor gol terbaik di lapangan

Castelfidardo Bandingkan

Pencetak Gol Terbanyak Gallo M.
1 Gol
Rata-rata xG / laga 0.69
Rata-rata xA / laga 0.45

Recanatese Bandingkan

Pencetak Gol Terbanyak Chiarella M.
1 Gol
Rata-rata xG / laga 1.71
Rata-rata xA / laga 1.04

Indeks Momentum SokaPicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Castelfidardo 18 / 100
Recanatese 68 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Castelfidardo Recanatese

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Recanatese Win (2)
Pilihan Kedua Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
Prediksi BTTS No (NG)
Pasaran Over/Under Under 2.5

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Castelfidardo found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Recanatese has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Solid form: Castelfidardo remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Tren Skor

Castelfidardo VS Recanatese
0.8 Gol Dicetak 1.75
2 Gol Kebobolan 1
80% Atas 1.5 88%
60% Atas 2.5 63%
60% Atas 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Castelfidardo

(Home)
03 May
Castelfidardo
0 : 2
AS Sora
26 Apr
Fossombrone
3 : 1
Castelfidardo
19 Apr
Castelfidardo
1 : 3
Vigor Senigallia
12 Apr
Giulianova
0 : 0
Castelfidardo
02 Apr
Castelfidardo
2 : 2
Maceratese
Page 1 of 6

Recanatese

(Away)
04 Oct
Recanatese
2 : 3
Maceratese
27 Sept
Lanciano FC
4 : 1
Recanatese
20 Sept
Recanatese
0 : 0
Montecchio Gallo
16 Sept
Recanatese
4 : 1
Foligno
12 Sept
Santegidiese
1 : 1
Recanatese
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ostiamare 34 24 7 3 65:25 79
2 Ancona 34 23 7 4 59:22 76
3 Teramo 34 21 11 2 65:29 74
4 Atletico Ascoli 34 14 13 7 55:35 55
5 Notaresco Calcio 34 13 12 9 43:31 51
6 Aquila Calcio 34 14 9 11 53:44 51
7 Giulianova 34 11 16 7 40:31 49
8 Vigor Senigallia 34 12 13 9 45:40 49
9 Fossombrone 34 11 11 12 28:34 44
10 Unipomezia 34 10 12 12 43:42 42
11 Termoli 34 8 15 11 27:30 39
12 Maceratese 34 11 5 18 43:49 38
13 AS Sora 34 9 11 14 40:50 38
14 Recanatese 34 8 8 18 39:57 32
15 San Marino Calcio 34 8 7 19 33:61 31
16 Calcio Chieti 34 8 11 15 31:55 24
17 Castelfidardo 34 6 5 23 30:65 23
18 Sammaurese 34 5 7 22 30:69 20
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 (Play Out)