Prediksi Olahraga

Stadium Background

CD Fontellas vs Subiza

Spanyol Spanyol

Tercera Division - Group 15 2020/2021
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

Subiza is highly favored to claim all three points on their visit to CD Fontellas, backed by a win probability of 63%. CD Fontellas averages 0.8 goals scored and 2.5 conceded in recent matches. Subiza shows a form average of 1.6 goals scored and 0.9 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 0 wins for CD Fontellas, 3 wins for Subiza, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 26.06.21 ended in a 1:3 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 0.97 for CD Fontellas and 1.11 for Subiza, suggesting the primary value lies in the Subiza double chance or over markets.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

19%
CD Fontellas
18%
Seri
63%
Subiza
Proyeksi hasil seri: 18% Unggulan: Subiza

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

90% / Sangat Tinggi Keyakinan
  • CD Fontellas mengumpulkan poin lebih banyak akhir-akhir ini dibanding Subiza.
  • Model memprediksi ancaman gol lebih tinggi bagi tuan rumah (0.97 vs 1.11 xG).
  • Riwayat pertemuan menunjukkan pola jelas menguntungkan tim tamu.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 62%).

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 92%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 73%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 62%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 37%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 19%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 46%
CD Fontellas Tanpa Kebobolan 21%
Subiza Tanpa Kebobolan 15%
Gol Babak Pertama 66%
Gol Babak Kedua 69%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik CD Fontellas Subiza
Main 30 44
Menang 6 24
Seri 2 9
Kalah 22 11
Gol Masuk 0.83 1.57
Gol Kemasukan 2.47 0.95

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

26.06.21 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Fontellas vs Subiza
1:3
22.05.21 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Subiza vs CD Fontellas
3:1
29.03.20 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Subiza vs CD Fontellas
0:0
09.11.19 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Fontellas vs Subiza
1:2

Profil Taktis Pertandingan

Posisi Lapangan & Gaya Kontrol

CD Fontellas

Intensitas Tekanan Blok Sedang
Gaya Menyerang Serangan balik cepat
Frekuensi Umpan Sayap Membangun serangan dari tengah
Barisan Bertahan Garis pertahanan tinggi (Jebakan offside)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Subiza

Intensitas Tekanan Blok Sedang
Gaya Menyerang Serangan balik cepat
Frekuensi Umpan Sayap Banyak umpan silang
Barisan Bertahan Bertahan dalam
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Indeks Momentum Sokapicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

CD Fontellas 21 / 100
Subiza 60 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
CD Fontellas Subiza

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Subiza Win (2)
Pilihan Kedua Subiza & Over 2.5
Hasil Babak Pertama Draw (HT)
Prediksi BTTS No (NG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Detetor Taruhan Value (+EV)

Pasaran di mana peluang model melebihi margin bandar

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +72.7%
9.09
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.79
*EV represents Nilai Harapan. Nilai positif menunjukkan bandar menawarkan harga di bawah kemungkinan statistik riil.

Perkiraan Alur Pertandingan

Proyeksi dominasi dan serangan dalam selang 15 menit

0' - 15' Indeks Dominasi

Subiza will likely look to assert dominance early, testing the hosts' defensive structure.

CD Fontellas 21%
Subiza 50%
15' - 30' Indeks Dominasi

CD Fontellas will look to tighten their defensive lines to neutralize Subiza's early runs.

CD Fontellas 18%
Subiza 66%
30' - 45' Indeks Dominasi

Expect Subiza to mount counter-attacks, exploiting gaps as CD Fontellas tries to push forward.

CD Fontellas 19%
Subiza 63%
45' - 60' Indeks Dominasi

Tactical adjustments will see Subiza increase their pressing intensity in the opposition half.

CD Fontellas 20%
Subiza 60%
60' - 75' Indeks Dominasi

Fatigue may set in for CD Fontellas's defense, opening up opportunities for Subiza's forward line.

CD Fontellas 17%
Subiza 69%
75' - 90' Indeks Dominasi

Expect Subiza to manage the closing stages, while CD Fontellas searches for late drama.

CD Fontellas 22%
Subiza 72%

Peta Area Serangan & Tembakan

Tampilan panas dinamis yang dihitung dari zona serangan

CD Fontellas menyerang → ← menyerang Subiza

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

CD Fontellas have found the net in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Subiza have conceded at least one goal in 59% of their last 44 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 2.75 goals per match.

CD Fontellas remained undefeated in 0 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Subiza suffered defeat in 2 of their last 5 overall games.

Analisis Risiko

Menilai gangguan potensial dan variabel luar

Tingkat Risiko: Rendah
Faktor Risiko

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Faktor Risiko

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Faktor Risiko

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Kontrol Komparasi Tim

Perbandingan metrik tim berdampingan

20 Poin di 5 laga terakhir 81
0.00 Expected goals (xG) 1.13
0.00 Expected goals kemasukan (xGA) 0.75