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Chainat Hornbill vs Nakhon Pathom

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 2 Chai Nat Provincial Stadium
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

This Thai League 2 encounter between Chainat Hornbill and Nakhon Pathom promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Chainat Hornbill averages 1.3 goals scored and 1.6 conceded in recent matches. Nakhon Pathom shows a form average of 0.9 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 2 wins for Chainat Hornbill, 1 wins for Nakhon Pathom, and 2 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 18.01.26 ended in a 1:1 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.63 for Chainat Hornbill and 1.38 for Nakhon Pathom, suggesting the primary value lies in the Nakhon Pathom double chance or over markets.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

34%
Chainat Hornbill
30%
Seri
36%
Nakhon Pathom
Proyeksi hasil seri: 30% Unggulan: Nakhon Pathom

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

69% / Sedang Keyakinan
  • Chainat Hornbill mengumpulkan poin lebih banyak akhir-akhir ini dibanding Nakhon Pathom.
  • Model memprediksi ancaman gol lebih tinggi bagi tuan rumah (1.63 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Riwayat pertemuan menunjukkan pola jelas menguntungkan tim tamu.
  • Pertahanan kokoh memprediksi laga ketat dengan skor tipis.

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 92%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 69%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 38%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 23%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 11%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 46%
Chainat Hornbill Tanpa Kebobolan 17%
Nakhon Pathom Tanpa Kebobolan 10%
Gol Babak Pertama 62%
Gol Babak Kedua 66%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Chainat Hornbill Nakhon Pathom
Main 30 30
Menang 8 10
Seri 8 7
Kalah 14 13
Gol Masuk 1.27 0.87
Gol Kemasukan 1.57 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.88 1.88

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

18.01.26 Thai League 2
Chainat Hornbill vs Nakhon Pathom
1:1
27.08.25 Thai League 2
Nakhon Pathom vs Chainat Hornbill
0:1
19.03.23 Thai League 2
Chainat Hornbill vs Nakhon Pathom
0:0
13.11.22 Thai League 2
Nakhon Pathom vs Chainat Hornbill
2:1
25.03.22 Thai League 2
Chainat Hornbill vs Nakhon Pathom
3:0

Profil Taktis Pertandingan

Posisi Lapangan & Gaya Kontrol

Chainat Hornbill

Intensitas Tekanan Blok Sedang
Gaya Menyerang Serangan balik cepat
Frekuensi Umpan Sayap Membangun serangan dari tengah
Barisan Bertahan Garis pertahanan tinggi (Jebakan offside)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Nakhon Pathom

Intensitas Tekanan Blok Sedang
Gaya Menyerang Serangan balik cepat
Frekuensi Umpan Sayap Membangun serangan dari tengah
Barisan Bertahan Bertahan dalam
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Analisis Pemain Kunci Laga

Kontributor gol terbaik di lapangan

Chainat Hornbill Bandingkan

Pencetak Gol Terbanyak Amarildo
1 Gol
Pengumpan Terbanyak N/A
0 Ast
Rata-rata xG / laga 1.06
Rata-rata xA / laga 0.69

Nakhon Pathom Bandingkan

Pencetak Gol Terbanyak Douglas Tardin
1 Gol
Pengumpan Terbanyak N/A
0 Ast
Rata-rata xG / laga 0.8
Rata-rata xA / laga 0.49

Peringatan Pemain Absen

No availability alerts or suspensions reported for this fixture.

Indeks Momentum Sokapicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Chainat Hornbill 34 / 100
Nakhon Pathom 34 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Chainat Hornbill Nakhon Pathom

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Double Chance: Nakhon Pathom or Draw (X2)
Pilihan Kedua Under 3.5 Goals
Hasil Babak Pertama Draw (HT)
Prediksi BTTS No (NG)
Pasaran Over/Under Under 2.5

Detetor Taruhan Value (+EV)

Pasaran di mana peluang model melebihi margin bandar

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +30.9%
3.85
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +18.9%
3.13
*EV represents Nilai Harapan. Nilai positif menunjukkan bandar menawarkan harga di bawah kemungkinan statistik riil.

Perkiraan Alur Pertandingan

Proyeksi dominasi dan serangan dalam selang 15 menit

0' - 15' Indeks Dominasi

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

Chainat Hornbill 37%
Nakhon Pathom 29%
15' - 30' Indeks Dominasi

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

Chainat Hornbill 32%
Nakhon Pathom 38%
30' - 45' Indeks Dominasi

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

Chainat Hornbill 34%
Nakhon Pathom 36%
45' - 60' Indeks Dominasi

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

Chainat Hornbill 36%
Nakhon Pathom 34%
60' - 75' Indeks Dominasi

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

Chainat Hornbill 31%
Nakhon Pathom 40%
75' - 90' Indeks Dominasi

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

Chainat Hornbill 39%
Nakhon Pathom 41%

Peta Area Serangan & Tembakan

Tampilan panas dinamis yang dihitung dari zona serangan

Chainat Hornbill menyerang → ← menyerang Nakhon Pathom

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Chainat Hornbill have found the net in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Nakhon Pathom have conceded at least one goal in 67% of their last 30 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 1.80 goals per match.

Chainat Hornbill remained undefeated in 2 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Nakhon Pathom suffered defeat in 2 of their last 5 overall games.

Analisis Risiko

Menilai gangguan potensial dan variabel luar

Tingkat Risiko: Sedang
Faktor Risiko

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Faktor Risiko

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Faktor Risiko

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Kontrol Komparasi Tim

Perbandingan metrik tim berdampingan

32 Poin di 5 laga terakhir 37
1.38 Expected goals (xG) 0.88
1.88 Expected goals kemasukan (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Rasisalai United342011364:3571
2Sisaket United341612649:3160
3Pattani341610849:4558
4Nong Bua Pitchaya341661259:5954
5Police Tero341581150:4453
6Chainat Hornbill3412101250:4646
7Khonkaen United3411121160:5245
8Mahasarakham341291347:4245
9Trat FC341281449:5344
10Chiangmai United341411955:5843
11Phrae United3410131140:5043
12Pattaya United3410121245:4242
13Songkhla341181537:4641
14Chanthaburi3410101444:4640
15Nakhon Pathom341091529:3739
16Kasetsart349111446:4938
17Nakhon Si United348121432:5436
18Bangkok FC34981740:5635
19Lampang F.C.00000:00