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Chapada vs Uniao Rondonopolis - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brasil Brasil

Copa FMF (Mato Grosso)
Sab, 10 Okt 2026
VS
06.00 PM
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

The first leg ended 1-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Uniao Rondonopolis have shipped 1.23 goals a game lately, while Chapada have conceded 1.05 and scored 1.86. Head-to-head, Chapada have won 1 to Uniao Rondonopolis's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on 23 Sep 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.51 vs 0.85, favoring Chapada. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

80%
Chapada
11%
Seri
9%
Uniao Rondonopolis
Proyeksi hasil seri: 11% Unggulan: Chapada

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

93% / Sangat Tinggi Keyakinan
  • Chapada carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Chapada's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Chapada have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Chapada, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 78%).

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 92%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 82%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 78%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 26%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 12%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 66.6%
Chapada Tanpa Kebobolan 20%
Uniao Rondonopolis Tanpa Kebobolan 10%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Chapada Uniao Rondonopolis
Main 22 30
Menang 11 9
Seri 5 9
Kalah 6 12
Gol Masuk 1.86 0.9
Gol Kemasukan 1.05 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.51 0.85
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

23 Sep 2026 Copa FMF (Mato Grosso)
Uniao Rondonopolis vs Chapada
1:0
4 Feb 2026 Matogrossense
Chapada vs Uniao Rondonopolis
3:2

Indeks Momentum SokaPicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Chapada 76 / 100
Uniao Rondonopolis 10 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Chapada Uniao Rondonopolis

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Chapada Win (1)
Pilihan Kedua Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Chapada found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (22 games).

Defensive concern: Uniao Rondonopolis conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Chapada remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Tren Skor

Chapada VS Uniao Rondonopolis
1.14 Gol Dicetak 1.13
0.57 Gol Kebobolan 1.88
43% Atas 1.5 75%
14% Atas 2.5 63%
14% Atas 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Chapada

(Home)
07 Oct
Chapada
3 : 0
Várzea Grande EC
30 Sept
Chapada
2 : 0
Santa Cruz MT
27 Sept
Várzea Grande EC
2 : 5
Chapada
23 Sept
Uniao Rondonopolis
1 : 0
Chapada
16 Sept
Chapada
1 : 1
Uirapuru
Page 1 of 5

Uniao Rondonopolis

(Away)
07 Oct
Uniao Rondonopolis
1 : 0
Santa Cruz MT
03 Oct
Uirapuru
1 : 2
Uniao Rondonopolis
30 Sept
Uniao Rondonopolis
0 : 0
Uirapuru
27 Sept
Santa Cruz MT
4 : 0
Uniao Rondonopolis
23 Sept
Uniao Rondonopolis
1 : 0
Chapada
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uniao Rondonopolis 6 4 1 1 7:6 13
2 Chapada 5 3 1 1 11:4 10
3 Santa Cruz MT 5 2 0 3 8:7 6
4 Várzea Grande EC 5 2 0 3 9:13 6
5 Uirapuru 5 0 2 3 5:10 2
Promotion - Copa FMF (Mato Grosso) (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cuiaba 4 4 0 0 13:2 12
2 Sorriso EC 4 2 0 2 9:7 6
3 Cacerense 4 2 0 2 7:10 6
4 Campo Novo 4 0 0 4 3:13 0
Promotion - Copa FMF (Mato Grosso) (Play Offs)