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Chiba vs V-Varen Nagasaki - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J1 League Fukuda Denshi Arena, Chiba
Min, 11 Okt 2026
1 - 0
05.00 AM
Tips Kami

Acara Pertandingan

5' Event
Thiago
Own Goal
13'
Thiago

Ringkasan Pertandingan

Chiba host V-Varen Nagasaki in the J1 League. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. V-Varen Nagasaki have shipped 1.68 goals a game lately, while Chiba have conceded 1.96 and scored 1.07. Past meetings favor V-Varen Nagasaki slightly — 0-5-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 4 Okt 2025, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 1.20 vs 1.00, favoring V-Varen Nagasaki. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 0-1.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

36%
Chiba
44%
Seri
20%
V-Varen Nagasaki
Proyeksi hasil seri: 44% Unggulan: Draw

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

71% / Sedang Keyakinan
  • Look at the last few games and V-Varen Nagasaki come out ahead of Chiba on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Pertahanan kokoh memprediksi laga ketat dengan skor tipis.
  • V-Varen Nagasaki have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 99%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 88%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 25%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 22%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 10%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 33.6%
Chiba Tanpa Kebobolan 23%
V-Varen Nagasaki Tanpa Kebobolan 68%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Chiba V-Varen Nagasaki
Main 28 28
Menang 5 10
Seri 2 2
Kalah 21 16
Gol Masuk 1.07 1.18
Gol Kemasukan 1.96 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

4 Okt 2025 J2 League
Chiba vs V-Varen Nagasaki
0:2
25 Mei 2025 J2 League
V-Varen Nagasaki vs Chiba
1:0
3 Nov 2024 J2 League
Chiba vs V-Varen Nagasaki
1:2
25 Mei 2024 J2 League
V-Varen Nagasaki vs Chiba
1:0
12 Nov 2023 J2 League
Chiba vs V-Varen Nagasaki
1:3

Indeks Momentum SokaPicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Chiba 37 / 100
V-Varen Nagasaki 32 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Chiba V-Varen Nagasaki

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama V-Varen Nagasaki Win (2)
Pilihan Kedua Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
Prediksi BTTS No (NG)
Pasaran Over/Under Under 2.5

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

V-Varen Nagasaki has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Attacking prowess: Chiba scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Chiba went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Tren Skor

Chiba VS V-Varen Nagasaki
1.38 Gol Dicetak 1.25
1.75 Gol Kebobolan 1.63
88% Atas 1.5 88%
50% Atas 2.5 50%
25% Atas 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Chiba

(Home)
07 Oct
Okayama
1 : 0
Chiba
29 Sept
Iwata
4 : 2
Chiba
19 Sept
Shimizu S-Pulse
2 : 1
Chiba
13 Sept
Verdy
1 : 1
Chiba
09 Sept
Kamatamare Sanuki
0 : 2
Chiba
Page 1 of 6

V-Varen Nagasaki

(Away)
07 Oct
Shimizu S-Pulse
2 : 1
V-Varen Nagasaki
29 Sept
Gainare Tottori
2 : 0
V-Varen Nagasaki
19 Sept
V-Varen Nagasaki
1 : 1
Cerezo Osaka
12 Sept
V-Varen Nagasaki
2 : 0
Nagoya Grampus
09 Sept
Kochi United
0 : 1
V-Varen Nagasaki
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kashiwa Reysol 9 7 0 2 21:14 21
2 Machida Zelvia 9 6 2 1 22:10 20
3 FC Tokyo 9 6 2 1 17:8 20
4 Vissel Kobe 9 6 1 2 14:9 19
5 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 8 5 2 1 20:6 17
6 Kashima Antlers 9 5 1 3 19:16 16
7 Yokohama F. Marinos 9 4 3 2 13:9 15
8 Kawasaki Frontale 8 3 4 1 16:12 13
9 Okayama 9 4 1 4 12:12 13
10 Urawa Reds 9 4 0 5 16:21 12
11 Cerezo Osaka 9 3 3 3 7:12 12
12 Shimizu S-Pulse 8 3 1 4 6:8 10
13 Mito 8 2 3 3 11:11 9
14 Kyoto 9 2 2 5 11:16 8
15 V-Varen Nagasaki 8 2 2 4 10:15 8
16 Avispa Fukuoka 9 2 1 6 11:13 7
17 Nagoya Grampus 8 2 0 6 7:14 6
18 Gamba Osaka 9 1 3 5 8:16 6
19 Verdy 8 0 4 4 4:12 4
20 Chiba 8 1 1 6 7:18 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)