Prediksi Olahraga

Stadium Background

Chile vs Peru

World World

Friendly International 2025 Fisht Olympic Stadium
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

This Friendly International 2025 encounter between Chile and Peru promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Chile averages 1.2 goals scored and 1.3 conceded in recent matches. Peru shows a form average of 0.7 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 3 wins for Chile, 0 wins for Peru, and 2 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 18.11.25 ended in a 2:1 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.25 for Chile and 1.13 for Peru, suggesting the primary value lies in the Chile double chance or over markets.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

43%
Chile
29%
Seri
28%
Peru
Proyeksi hasil seri: 29% Unggulan: Chile

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

76% / Tinggi Keyakinan
  • Chile mengumpulkan poin lebih banyak akhir-akhir ini dibanding Peru.
  • Model memprediksi ancaman gol lebih tinggi bagi tuan rumah (1.25 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Riwayat pertemuan menunjukkan pola jelas menguntungkan tuan rumah.
  • Pertahanan kokoh memprediksi laga ketat dengan skor tipis.

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 92%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 64%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 42%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 25%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 13%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 35%
Chile Tanpa Kebobolan 21%
Peru Tanpa Kebobolan 11%
Gol Babak Pertama 58%
Gol Babak Kedua 61%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Chile Peru
Main 30 31
Menang 10 7
Seri 6 9
Kalah 14 15
Gol Masuk 1.2 0.74
Gol Kemasukan 1.33 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.63
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.63 1.13

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

18.11.25 Friendly International
Chile vs Peru
2:1
10.10.25 Friendly International
Chile vs Peru
2:1
16.11.24 World Championship
Peru vs Chile
0:0
22.06.24 Copa América
Peru vs Chile
0:0
13.10.23 World Championship
Chile vs Peru
2:0

Profil Taktis Pertandingan

Posisi Lapangan & Gaya Kontrol

Chile

Intensitas Tekanan Blok Sedang
Gaya Menyerang Serangan balik cepat
Frekuensi Umpan Sayap Membangun serangan dari tengah
Barisan Bertahan Garis pertahanan tinggi (Jebakan offside)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Peru

Intensitas Tekanan Blok Sedang
Gaya Menyerang Serangan balik cepat
Frekuensi Umpan Sayap Membangun serangan dari tengah
Barisan Bertahan Bertahan dalam
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Analisis Pemain Kunci Laga

Kontributor gol terbaik di lapangan

Chile Bandingkan

Pencetak Gol Terbanyak Loyola F.
1 Gol
Pengumpan Terbanyak Osorio D.
1 Ast
Rata-rata xG / laga 1.06
Rata-rata xA / laga 0.69

Peru Bandingkan

Pencetak Gol Terbanyak N/A
0 Gol
Pengumpan Terbanyak N/A
0 Ast
Rata-rata xG / laga 0.57
Rata-rata xA / laga 0.35

Peringatan Pemain Absen

No availability alerts or suspensions reported for this fixture.

Indeks Momentum Sokapicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Chile 43 / 100
Peru 27 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Chile Peru

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Double Chance: Chile or Draw (1X)
Pilihan Kedua Under 3.5 Goals
Hasil Babak Pertama Home Win (HT)
Prediksi BTTS No (NG)
Pasaran Over/Under Under 2.5

Detetor Taruhan Value (+EV)

Pasaran di mana peluang model melebihi margin bandar

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23%
2.86
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +16.8%
2.78
*EV represents Nilai Harapan. Nilai positif menunjukkan bandar menawarkan harga di bawah kemungkinan statistik riil.

Perkiraan Alur Pertandingan

Proyeksi dominasi dan serangan dalam selang 15 menit

0' - 15' Indeks Dominasi

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

Chile 47%
Peru 22%
15' - 30' Indeks Dominasi

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

Chile 41%
Peru 29%
30' - 45' Indeks Dominasi

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

Chile 43%
Peru 28%
45' - 60' Indeks Dominasi

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

Chile 45%
Peru 27%
60' - 75' Indeks Dominasi

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

Chile 39%
Peru 31%
75' - 90' Indeks Dominasi

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

Chile 49%
Peru 32%

Peta Area Serangan & Tembakan

Tampilan panas dinamis yang dihitung dari zona serangan

Chile menyerang → ← menyerang Peru

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Chile have found the net in 50% of their last 30 matches.

Peru have conceded at least one goal in 71% of their last 31 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 1.60 goals per match.

Chile remained undefeated in 3 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Peru suffered defeat in 2 of their last 5 overall games.

Analisis Risiko

Menilai gangguan potensial dan variabel luar

Tingkat Risiko: Sedang
Faktor Risiko

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Faktor Risiko

Friendly match context where both Chile and Peru will focus on tactical prep rather than league table pressure.

Faktor Risiko

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Kontrol Komparasi Tim

Perbandingan metrik tim berdampingan

36 Poin di 5 laga terakhir 30
1.38 Expected goals (xG) 0.63
1.63 Expected goals kemasukan (xGA) 1.13