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Chingale de Tete vs Ferroviario Nacala - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mozambique Mozambique

Mocambola
Min, 25 Okt 2026
VS
01.00 PM
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

Chingale de Tete host Ferroviario Nacala in the Mocambola. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Recent numbers: Chingale de Tete at 0.62 goals for, 0.96 against; Ferroviario Nacala at 0.73 for, 0.62 against. Past meetings favor Chingale de Tete slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 1 Agu 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (0.56 - 0.76) back Ferroviario Nacala to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

31%
Chingale de Tete
39%
Seri
30%
Ferroviario Nacala
Proyeksi hasil seri: 39% Unggulan: Draw

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

65% / Sedang Keyakinan
  • Form's been kind to Ferroviario Nacala lately — more wins on the board than Chingale de Tete.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 78%).

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 92%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 82%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 78%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 6.5%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 3%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 58.2%
Chingale de Tete Tanpa Kebobolan 20%
Ferroviario Nacala Tanpa Kebobolan 20%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Chingale de Tete Ferroviario Nacala
Main 26 26
Menang 5 11
Seri 7 6
Kalah 14 9
Gol Masuk 0.62 0.73
Gol Kemasukan 0.96 0.62
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 0.76
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

1 Agu 2026 Mocambola
Ferroviario Nacala vs Chingale de Tete
0:1
30 Nov 2025 Mocambola
Ferroviario Nacala vs Chingale de Tete
1:0
12 Agu 2025 Mocambola
Chingale de Tete vs Ferroviario Nacala
1:0
30 Jul 2017 Mocambola
Chingale de Tete vs Ferroviario Nacala
1:0
16 Apr 2017 Mocambola
Ferroviario Nacala vs Chingale de Tete
1:0

Indeks Momentum SokaPicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Chingale de Tete 32 / 100
Ferroviario Nacala 31 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Chingale de Tete Ferroviario Nacala

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Ferroviario Nacala Win (2)
Pilihan Kedua Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Attacking prowess: Chingale de Tete scored in 38% of their last 26 outings.

Ferroviario Nacala's defensive record shows goals conceded in 46% of 26 matches.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Chingale de Tete stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Tren Skor

Chingale de Tete VS Ferroviario Nacala
0.38 Gol Dicetak 0.63
0.88 Gol Kebobolan 0.75
25% Atas 1.5 13%
13% Atas 2.5 13%
0% Atas 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Chingale de Tete

(Home)
13 Oct
Baia de Pemba
1 : 2
Chingale de Tete
09 Oct
AD Pemba
1 : 0
Chingale de Tete
19 Sept
Chingale de Tete
1 : 0
Maxaquene
16 Sept
Chingale de Tete
0 : 1
Costa do Sol
02 Sept
Associacao Black Bulls
2 : 1
Chingale de Tete
Page 1 of 6

Ferroviario Nacala

(Away)
13 Oct
Ferroviario Nacala
2 : 0
Ferroviario Beira
10 Oct
Ferroviario Nacala
3 : 2
Sofala
16 Sept
Ferroviario Lichinga
0 : 0
Ferroviario Nacala
02 Sept
Ferroviario Nacala
1 : 0
ENH Vilankulo
25 Aug
Baia de Pemba
1 : 0
Ferroviario Nacala
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Associacao Black Bulls 20 13 6 1 30:11 45
2 Costa do Sol 20 12 4 4 28:12 40
3 Ferroviario Beira 21 9 7 5 23:17 34
4 Ferroviario Nampula 19 10 4 5 23:21 34
5 UD Songo 21 7 10 4 22:16 31
6 Ferroviario Maputo 20 8 5 7 15:11 29
7 Ferroviario Lichinga 19 8 5 6 16:15 29
8 Ferroviario Nacala 19 7 5 7 13:14 26
9 Baia de Pemba 19 5 7 7 11:14 22
10 ENH Vilankulo 19 4 9 6 21:19 21
11 AD Pemba 20 6 3 11 10:20 21
12 Sofala 22 4 7 11 10:24 19
13 Chingale de Tete 21 3 6 12 7:19 15
14 Maxaquene 20 1 8 11 8:24 11
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)