Prediksi Olahraga

Argentina

Torneo Federal Estadio Guillermo Trama

Alvarado

Tips Kami

Ringkasan Peluang Gol Performa H2H Taktik Pemain Indeks Prediksi Aliran Laga Heatmap Risiko Akurasi Bandingkan

Ringkasan Pertandingan

This Torneo Federal encounter between Circulo Deportivo and Alvarado promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Circulo Deportivo averages 0.6 goals scored and 0.9 conceded in recent matches. Alvarado shows a form average of 0.7 goals scored and 0.6 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 0 wins for Circulo Deportivo, 2 wins for Alvarado, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 20.06.26 ended in a 1:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 0.32 for Circulo Deportivo and 0.88 for Alvarado, suggesting the primary value lies in the Alvarado double chance or over markets.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

25%

Circulo Deportivo

35%

Seri

40%

Alvarado

Proyeksi hasil seri: 35% Unggulan: Alvarado

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

76% / Tinggi Keyakinan

Circulo Deportivo mengumpulkan poin lebih banyak akhir-akhir ini dibanding Alvarado.
Model memprediksi ancaman gol lebih tinggi bagi tuan rumah (0.32 vs 0.88 xG).
Riwayat pertemuan menunjukkan pola jelas menguntungkan tim tamu.
Pertahanan kokoh memprediksi laga ketat dengan skor tipis.

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 91%

Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 40%

Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 22%

Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 13%

Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 7%

Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 19%

Circulo Deportivo Tanpa Kebobolan 25%

Alvarado Tanpa Kebobolan 25%

Gol Babak Pertama 36%

Gol Babak Kedua 38%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik	Circulo Deportivo	Alvarado
Main	28	28
Menang	6	8
Seri	11	13
Kalah	11	7
Gol Masuk	0.61	0.68
Gol Kemasukan	0.93	0.64
Expected Goals (xG)	0.13	1.25
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA)	0.50	0.50

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

20.06.26 Torneo Federal

Alvarado vs Circulo Deportivo

Penguasaan: 45% - 54% Kartu: 2 - 1

1:0

18.04.26 Torneo Federal

Circulo Deportivo vs Alvarado

Penguasaan: 47% - 53% Kartu: 3 - 3

0:1

Profil Taktis Pertandingan

Posisi Lapangan & Gaya Kontrol

Circulo Deportivo

Intensitas Tekanan Blok Sedang

Gaya Menyerang Serangan balik cepat

Frekuensi Umpan Sayap Membangun serangan dari tengah

Barisan Bertahan Bertahan dalam

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Alvarado

Intensitas Tekanan Blok Sedang

Gaya Menyerang Serangan balik cepat

Frekuensi Umpan Sayap Membangun serangan dari tengah

Barisan Bertahan Bertahan dalam

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Analisis Pemain Kunci Laga

Kontributor gol terbaik di lapangan

Circulo Deportivo Bandingkan

Pencetak Gol Terbanyak N/A

0 Gol

Pengumpan Terbanyak N/A

0 Ast

Rata-rata xG / laga 0.1

Rata-rata xA / laga 0.07

Alvarado Bandingkan

Pencetak Gol Terbanyak Fernandez T.

1 Gol

Pengumpan Terbanyak N/A

0 Ast

Rata-rata xG / laga 1.14

Rata-rata xA / laga 0.69

Peringatan Pemain Absen

No availability alerts or suspensions reported for this fixture.

Indeks Momentum Sokapicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Circulo Deportivo 28 / 100

Alvarado 41 / 100

Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

Circulo Deportivo Alvarado

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Double Chance: Alvarado or Draw (X2)

Pilihan Kedua Under 3.5 Goals

Hasil Babak Pertama Draw (HT)

Prediksi BTTS No (NG)

Pasaran Over/Under Under 2.5

Detetor Taruhan Value (+EV)

Pasaran di mana peluang model melebihi margin bandar

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +47%

5.88

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +37.5%

6.25

*EV represents Nilai Harapan. Nilai positif menunjukkan bandar menawarkan harga di bawah kemungkinan statistik riil.

Perkiraan Alur Pertandingan

Proyeksi dominasi dan serangan dalam selang 15 menit

0' - 15' Indeks Dominasi

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

Circulo Deportivo 28%

Alvarado 32%

15' - 30' Indeks Dominasi

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

Circulo Deportivo 24%

Alvarado 42%

30' - 45' Indeks Dominasi

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

Circulo Deportivo 25%

Alvarado 40%

45' - 60' Indeks Dominasi

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

Circulo Deportivo 26%

Alvarado 38%

60' - 75' Indeks Dominasi

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

Circulo Deportivo 23%

Alvarado 44%

75' - 90' Indeks Dominasi

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

Circulo Deportivo 29%

Alvarado 46%

Peta Area Serangan & Tembakan

Tampilan panas dinamis yang dihitung dari zona serangan

Circulo Deportivo menyerang → ← menyerang Alvarado

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Circulo Deportivo have found the net in 36% of their last 28 matches.

Alvarado have conceded at least one goal in 36% of their last 28 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 1.00 goals per match.

Circulo Deportivo remained undefeated in 4 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Alvarado suffered defeat in 1 of their last 5 overall games.

Analisis Risiko

Menilai gangguan potensial dan variabel luar

Tingkat Risiko: Sedang

Faktor Risiko

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Faktor Risiko

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Faktor Risiko

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Kontrol Komparasi Tim

Perbandingan metrik tim berdampingan

29 Poin di 5 laga terakhir 37

0.13 Expected goals (xG) 1.25

0.50 Expected goals kemasukan (xGA) 0.50

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sportivo Belgrano	15	7	6	2	18:6	27
2	Douglas Haig	15	8	3	4	19:12	27
3	9 de Julio Rafaela	15	7	4	4	26:20	25
4	Gimnasia Chivilcoy	15	6	4	5	14:10	22
5	Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo	15	6	4	5	19:16	22
6	Sportivo Las Parejas	15	5	6	4	11:12	21
7	Independiente Chivilcoy	15	4	5	6	12:18	17
8	Atletico Escobar	15	5	2	8	16:25	17
9	El Linqueno	15	3	4	8	11:19	13
10	Gimnasia E.R.	15	3	4	8	9:17	13

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	San Martin Formosa	13	8	2	3	24:17	26
2	Bartolome Mitre	14	6	5	3	12:6	23
3	Sarmiento de La Banda	14	6	3	5	14:14	21
4	Sol de America	13	6	2	5	14:10	20
5	Defensores de Vilelas	15	6	1	8	21:25	19
6	Juventud Antoniana	13	5	3	5	13:10	18
7	Tucuman Central	13	5	1	7	12:14	16
8	Boca Unidos	13	4	3	6	15:19	15
9	Sarmiento Resistencia	14	2	6	6	10:20	12

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cipolletti	14	6	3	5	16:13	21
2	Biblioteca Atenas	13	6	3	4	11:10	21
3	Argentino MM	13	5	5	3	13:9	20
4	Huracan Las Heras	14	5	4	5	10:13	19
5	Costa Brava	15	4	6	5	12:12	18
6	Fundacion Amigos	13	3	7	3	14:13	16
7	Juventud U.U.	14	3	7	4	10:9	16
8	Deportivo Rincon	13	4	4	5	12:14	16
9	San Martin Mendoza	13	3	5	5	9:14	14

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Olimpo Bahia Blanca	13	6	6	1	10:4	24
2	Alvarado	14	6	5	3	14:7	23
3	Kimberley	14	5	7	2	12:7	22
4	Villa Mitre	13	4	6	3	8:5	18
5	Germinal	13	4	6	3	7:6	18
6	Sol de Mayo	13	4	5	4	10:10	17
7	Santamarina	14	2	6	6	9:15	12
8	Guillermo Brown	13	2	5	6	10:17	11
9	Circulo Deportivo	13	1	6	6	4:13	9