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Colwyn Bay vs Caernarfon

Wales Wales

Cymru Premier 2025/2026 Llanelian Road, Old Colwyn
Tips Kami

Acara Pertandingan

28'
Roberts E.
57' Event
Astles R.
Own Goal
65'
Sub
Edwards A. Masuk: Cumming J.
Keluar: Edwards A.

Ringkasan Pertandingan

The Cymru Premier 2025/2026 game between Colwyn Bay and Caernarfon finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Caernarfon.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

4%
Colwyn Bay
6%
Seri
90%
Caernarfon
Proyeksi hasil seri: 6% Unggulan: Caernarfon

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

95% / Sangat Tinggi Keyakinan
  • Colwyn Bay haven't matched Caernarfon's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Caernarfon a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 78%).
  • History favors Caernarfon here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 92%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 82%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 78%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 38%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 17%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 70.2%
Colwyn Bay Tanpa Kebobolan 16%
Caernarfon Tanpa Kebobolan 10%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Colwyn Bay Caernarfon
Main 29 28
Menang 12 14
Seri 5 4
Kalah 12 10
Gol Masuk 1.41 1.75
Gol Kemasukan 1.52 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.50
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

15 Agu 2026 Cymru Premier
Caernarfon vs Colwyn Bay
3:0
3 Apr 2026 Cymru Premier
Colwyn Bay vs Caernarfon
0:2
27 Feb 2026 Cymru Premier
Caernarfon vs Colwyn Bay
3:0
31 Jan 2026 FA Cup
Caernarfon vs Colwyn Bay
4:1
27 Des 2025 Cymru Premier
Caernarfon vs Colwyn Bay
1:2

Analisis Pemain Kunci Laga

Kontributor gol terbaik di lapangan

Colwyn Bay Bandingkan

Rata-rata xG / laga 1.25
Rata-rata xA / laga 0.81

Caernarfon Bandingkan

Pencetak Gol Terbanyak Clarke Z.
1 Gol
Rata-rata xG / laga 1.36
Rata-rata xA / laga 0.83

Indeks Momentum SokaPicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Colwyn Bay 10 / 100
Caernarfon 83 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Colwyn Bay Caernarfon

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Caernarfon Win (2)
Pilihan Kedua Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Colwyn Bay scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Caernarfon has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: Colwyn Bay stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Tren Skor

Colwyn Bay VS Caernarfon
1.25 Gol Dicetak 1.63
1.38 Gol Kebobolan 2
75% Atas 1.5 88%
50% Atas 2.5 75%
38% Atas 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Colwyn Bay

(Home)
28 Aug
TNS
5 : 1
Colwyn Bay
21 Aug
Colwyn Bay
1 : 0
Airbus UK Broughton FC
15 Aug
Caernarfon
3 : 0
Colwyn Bay
07 Aug
Ammanford Town
2 : 2
Colwyn Bay
31 Jul
Colwyn Bay
2 : 0
Trefelin
Page 1 of 6

Caernarfon

(Away)
28 Aug
Holywell Town FC
3 : 5
Caernarfon
21 Aug
Trefelin
0 : 2
Caernarfon
15 Aug
Caernarfon
3 : 0
Colwyn Bay
07 Aug
Caernarfon
1 : 2
Penybont
02 Aug
Connahs Q.
1 : 2
Caernarfon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 TNS 32 26 2 4 81:25 80
2 Connahs Q. 32 16 10 6 61:38 58
3 Barry Town 32 12 10 10 43:33 46
4 Caernarfon 32 12 9 11 56:47 45
5 Colwyn Bay 32 12 9 11 41:37 45
6 Penybont 32 11 8 13 39:49 41
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)