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Stadium Background

Concarneau vs Bastia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Prancis Prancis

Ligue 3 Stade Guy Piriou, Concarneau
Sab, 17 Okt 2026
VS
12.45 PM
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

Concarneau host Bastia in the Ligue 3. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Concarneau at 1.23 goals for, 1.13 against; Bastia at 0.96 for, 1.29 against. Head-to-head, Concarneau have won 0 to Bastia's 2, with 3 draws. They last met on 23 Apr 2024, ending 2:0. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 0.81) point toward Concarneau. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

90%
Concarneau
6%
Seri
4%
Bastia
Proyeksi hasil seri: 6% Unggulan: Concarneau

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

95% / Sangat Tinggi Keyakinan
  • Look at the last few games and Concarneau come out ahead of Bastia on wins alone.
  • Concarneau are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Ligue 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 78%).

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 92%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 82%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 78%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 19%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 9%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 70.6%
Concarneau Tanpa Kebobolan 20%
Bastia Tanpa Kebobolan 10%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Concarneau Bastia
Main 30 28
Menang 10 6
Seri 11 12
Kalah 9 10
Gol Masuk 1.23 0.96
Gol Kemasukan 1.13 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.81
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

23 Apr 2024 Ligue 2
Bastia vs Concarneau
2:0
5 Agu 2023 Ligue 2
Concarneau vs Bastia
0:0
5 Mar 2021 Ligue 3
Bastia vs Concarneau
1:1
2 Okt 2020 Ligue 3
Concarneau vs Bastia
1:1
5 Jan 2019 Coupe de France
Bastia vs Concarneau
3:2

Indeks Momentum SokaPicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Concarneau 85 / 100
Bastia 10 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Concarneau Bastia

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Concarneau Win (1)
Pilihan Kedua Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Recent resilience: Concarneau stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Concarneau scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Bastia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Tren Skor

Concarneau VS Bastia
1.75 Gol Dicetak 0.75
0.88 Gol Kebobolan 1.25
88% Atas 1.5 50%
38% Atas 2.5 25%
25% Atas 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Concarneau

(Home)
03 Oct
Concarneau
2 : 1
Paris 13 Atletico
26 Sept
Bourg Peronnas
1 : 1
Concarneau
19 Sept
Concarneau
2 : 0
Caen
12 Sept
Aubagne FC
1 : 2
Concarneau
05 Sept
Concarneau
2 : 2
Thionville
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Bastia

(Away)
01 Oct
Bastia
1 : 1
Orleans
26 Sept
Paris 13 Atletico
1 : 0
Bastia
17 Sept
Bastia
1 : 1
Cannes
12 Sept
Bourg Peronnas
0 : 1
Bastia
05 Sept
Bastia
0 : 3
Amiens SC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Roche Vendee 9 6 3 0 15:8 21
2 Rouen 9 6 2 1 17:5 20
3 Concarneau 9 4 4 1 12:8 16
4 Versailles 9 5 1 3 13:12 16
5 Amiens SC 9 4 3 2 12:3 15
6 Cannes 9 3 6 0 11:4 15
7 Caen 9 5 0 4 17:12 15
8 Le Puy-en-Velay 9 4 1 4 11:9 13
9 Thionville 9 3 3 3 14:14 12
10 Fleury 91 9 3 3 3 15:12 12
11 Paris 13 Atletico 9 3 3 3 7:9 12
12 Bastia 9 3 2 4 7:11 11
13 Quevilly 9 2 4 3 8:12 10
14 Orleans 9 2 3 4 7:11 9
15 Valenciennes 9 2 2 5 9:14 8
16 Aubagne FC 9 2 1 6 6:12 7
17 Bourg Peronnas 9 1 2 6 5:15 5
18 Villefranche 9 1 1 7 7:22 4
Promotion - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Relegation)