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Connahs Q. vs Porthmadog - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

FAW Welsh Cup Essity Stadium, Flint
Jum, 16 Okt 2026
VS
06.45 PM
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Ringkasan Pertandingan

The first leg ended 3-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This one's hard to separate. Connahs Q. have averaged 1.77 scored and 1 conceded recently, against Porthmadog's 1.64 scored and 1.89 conceded. Head-to-head, Connahs Q. have won 2 to Porthmadog's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on 27 Jan 2018, ending 3:1. xG projections (1.69 - 1.13) back Connahs Q. to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

60%
Connahs Q.
22%
Seri
18%
Porthmadog
Proyeksi hasil seri: 22% Unggulan: Connahs Q.

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

82% / Sangat Tinggi Keyakinan
  • Connahs Q. have won more games recently than Porthmadog.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Connahs Q. taking it.
  • Connahs Q. have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Porthmadog, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Tingkat konversi tinggi memprediksi laga banyak gol (Peluang Over 2.5: 78%).

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 92%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 82%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 78%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 25.5%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 11%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 77%
Connahs Q. Tanpa Kebobolan 20%
Porthmadog Tanpa Kebobolan 10%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Connahs Q. Porthmadog
Main 30 28
Menang 15 13
Seri 8 4
Kalah 7 11
Gol Masuk 1.77 1.64
Gol Kemasukan 1 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.13
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

27 Jan 2018 FAW Welsh Cup
Connahs Q. vs Porthmadog
3:1
18 Feb 2012 Cymru Alliance
Connahs Q. vs Porthmadog
1:1
22 Okt 2011 Cymru Alliance
Porthmadog vs Connahs Q.
2:0
12 Feb 2011 Cymru Alliance
Connahs Q. vs Porthmadog
1:2
8 Jan 2011 Cymru Alliance
Porthmadog vs Connahs Q.
1:3

Indeks Momentum SokaPicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Connahs Q. 58 / 100
Porthmadog 18 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Connahs Q. Porthmadog

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Connahs Q. Win (1)
Pilihan Kedua Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
Prediksi BTTS Yes (GG)
Pasaran Over/Under Over 2.5

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Connahs Q. found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Porthmadog has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Connahs Q. has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Tren Skor

Connahs Q. VS Porthmadog
2.13 Gol Dicetak 1.63
0.63 Gol Kebobolan 1.25
88% Atas 1.5 75%
63% Atas 2.5 63%
13% Atas 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Connahs Q.

(Home)
09 Oct
Briton Ferry
1 : 2
Connahs Q.
03 Oct
Connahs Q.
1 : 0
Penybont
26 Sept
Barry Town
1 : 4
Connahs Q.
18 Sept
Connahs Q.
1 : 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University
15 Sept
Connahs Q.
3 : 0
Airbus UK Broughton FC
Page 1 of 6

Porthmadog

(Away)
03 Oct
Porthmadog
1 : 0
Bangor 1876
26 Sept
Newtown
0 : 1
Porthmadog
12 Sept
Porthmadog
3 : 0
Ruthin Town
05 Sept
Porthmadog
1 : 2
Bala
31 Aug
Holyhead
2 : 2
Porthmadog
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
TNS -
Coedpoeth -
Guilsfield -
Llannefydd -
Llandudno FC -
Newtown -
Llanuwchllyn -
Bala -
Holyhead -
Connahs Q. -
Porthmadog -
Penycae FC -
Dolgellau Athletic -
Aberystwyth -
Prestatyn -
Flint Town -
Caernarfon -
Llay Welfare -
Holywell Town FC -
Buckley -
Colwyn Bay -
Brickfield Rangers -
Llangefni -
Denbigh -
Bangor 1876 -
Cefn Albion -
Felinheli -
Llysfaen -
Mochdre Sports -
Pontarddulais -
Goytre Utd -
Trefelin -
Llantwit Major -
Afan Lido -
Penybont -
Caerau Ely -
Llanelli -
Blaen-y-Maes -
Ely Rangers -
Radnor Valley -
Cardiff Draconians -
Barry Town -
Tredegar Town -
Cwmaman Institute -
Ammanford Town -
Llangennech -
Pontardawe -
Caerphilly -
Chepstow Town -
Evans Williams -
Rockspur -
Briton Ferry -
Afan United -
Llantwit Fardre -
Baglan Dragons -
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
Ynyshir Albions -
Cambrian United -
Trethomas Bluebirds -
Carmarthen Town -
Newport City -
Haverfordwest -
Cardiff Corries -
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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