Prediksi Olahraga

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Crateus vs Cariri FC

Brasil Brasil

Cearense 2 Estadio Juvenal Melo
Rab, 20 Mei 2026
1 - 0
11.00 PM
Tips Kami

Ringkasan Pertandingan

This Cearense 2 encounter between Crateus and Cariri FC promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Crateus averages 1.0 goals scored and 0.6 conceded in recent matches. Cariri FC shows a form average of 0.8 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 1 wins for Crateus, 0 wins for Cariri FC, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 20.05.26 ended in a 1:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.06 for Crateus and 0.63 for Cariri FC, suggesting the primary value lies in the Crateus double chance or over markets.

Peluang Kemenangan

Dihasilkan dari 10.000 simulasi berdasarkan performa & keuntungan kandang

54%
Crateus
24%
Seri
22%
Cariri FC
Proyeksi hasil seri: 24% Unggulan: Crateus

Keyakinan Model

Skor indikator gabungan

84% / Tinggi Keyakinan
  • Crateus mengumpulkan poin lebih banyak akhir-akhir ini dibanding Cariri FC.
  • Model memprediksi ancaman gol lebih tinggi bagi tuan rumah (1.06 vs 0.63 xG).
  • Riwayat pertemuan menunjukkan pola jelas menguntungkan tuan rumah.
  • Pertahanan kokoh memprediksi laga ketat dengan skor tipis.

Peluang Gol

Estimasi model untuk pasar gol berdasarkan riwayat xG

Lebih dari 0.5 Gol 91%
Lebih dari 1.5 Gol 54%
Lebih dari 2.5 Gol 36%
Lebih dari 3.5 Gol 22%
Lebih dari 4.5 Gol 11%
Kedua Tim Cetak Gol (BTTS) 30%
Crateus Tanpa Kebobolan 29%
Cariri FC Tanpa Kebobolan 14%
Gol Babak Pertama 49%
Gol Babak Kedua 51%

Analisis Performa Terakhir

Rata-rata per laga

Metrik Crateus Cariri FC
Main 19 30
Menang 10 7
Seri 4 8
Kalah 5 15
Gol Masuk 1 0.83
Gol Kemasukan 0.58 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.75
Expected Goals Kemasukan (xGA) 0.50 0.88

H2H

Tingkat keberhasilan historis di pasaran utama

20.05.26 Cearense 2
Crateus vs Cariri FC
1:0

Profil Taktis Pertandingan

Posisi Lapangan & Gaya Kontrol

Crateus

Intensitas Tekanan Blok Sedang
Gaya Menyerang Serangan balik cepat
Frekuensi Umpan Sayap Membangun serangan dari tengah
Barisan Bertahan Bertahan dalam
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Cariri FC

Intensitas Tekanan Blok Sedang
Gaya Menyerang Serangan balik cepat
Frekuensi Umpan Sayap Membangun serangan dari tengah
Barisan Bertahan Garis pertahanan tinggi (Jebakan offside)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Indeks Momentum Sokapicks

Indeks performa saat ini disesuaikan dengan stamina & lawan (0-100)

Crateus 54 / 100
Cariri FC 23 / 100
Cara menghitungnya: Formula tertimbang berdasarkan tren performa (60%), gol (20%), kandang/tandang (10%) dan ketersediaan pemain (10%).

Indeks Kemampuan Serangan & Pertahanan

MENYERANG BERTAHAN PENGUASAAN KEDISIPLINAN
Crateus Cariri FC

Prediksi Mesin

Frekuensi prediksi skor dan pasaran utama

Pilihan Utama Crateus Win (1)
Pilihan Kedua Crateus & Under 3.5
Hasil Babak Pertama Home Win (HT)
Prediksi BTTS No (NG)
Pasaran Over/Under Under 2.5

Detetor Taruhan Value (+EV)

Pasaran di mana peluang model melebihi margin bandar

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.2%
2.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +19.9%
3.33
*EV represents Nilai Harapan. Nilai positif menunjukkan bandar menawarkan harga di bawah kemungkinan statistik riil.

Perkiraan Alur Pertandingan

Proyeksi dominasi dan serangan dalam selang 15 menit

0' - 15' Indeks Dominasi

Crateus is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.

Crateus 59%
Cariri FC 18%
15' - 30' Indeks Dominasi

Cariri FC will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of Crateus's attacks.

Crateus 51%
Cariri FC 23%
30' - 45' Indeks Dominasi

Expect Crateus to create chances through sustained possession before the break.

Crateus 54%
Cariri FC 22%
45' - 60' Indeks Dominasi

Tactical adjustments at half-time will see Crateus vary their attacking width.

Crateus 57%
Cariri FC 21%
60' - 75' Indeks Dominasi

Fatigue may set in for Cariri FC, allowing Crateus's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.

Crateus 49%
Cariri FC 24%
75' - 90' Indeks Dominasi

Expect a final offensive push from Crateus, while Cariri FC takes risks to salvage a result.

Crateus 62%
Cariri FC 25%

Peta Area Serangan & Tembakan

Tampilan panas dinamis yang dihitung dari zona serangan

Crateus menyerang → ← menyerang Cariri FC

Insight Pintar

Pola unik yang terdeteksi otomatis

Crateus have found the net in 58% of their last 19 matches.

Cariri FC have conceded at least one goal in 73% of their last 30 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 1.00 goals per match.

Crateus remained undefeated in 4 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Cariri FC suffered defeat in 3 of their last 5 overall games.

Analisis Risiko

Menilai gangguan potensial dan variabel luar

Tingkat Risiko: Rendah
Faktor Risiko

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Faktor Risiko

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Faktor Risiko

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Kontrol Komparasi Tim

Perbandingan metrik tim berdampingan

34 Poin di 5 laga terakhir 29
1.25 Expected goals (xG) 0.75
0.50 Expected goals kemasukan (xGA) 0.88